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0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
69% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (79%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.60).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:30:01 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.24k | N/A | N/A | $597k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $211 | $39.7k | $562k |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 86% | 79% |
| ROI | N/A | 0% | 6% | 5% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.889 | 0.235 | 0.149 |
| Markets | 0 | 7 | 40 | 630 |
| Best day | $399 | $399 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 2.57 | 2.21 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $106 | $1.04k | $834 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $106 | $189 | $22 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Largest win | N/A | $150 | $39.6k | $86.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-12.6k | $-99.2k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.61k | $7.04k | $7.35k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.455 | 0.809 | 0.158 |
| Calmar | 8.270 | 8.270 | 8.270 | 8.270 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 109.0 | 109.0 | 109.0 | 109.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 71% | 48% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 80% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 92% | 36% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 2 | 16 | 62 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 15 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 15 | 482 | 9645 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 7 | 40 | 630 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 71% | 43% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.793 | 0.872 | 0.833 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.260 | 0.087 | 0.012 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 21% | 49% | 34% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 15.8 | 30.0 | 408.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 15.8 | 2.6 | 30.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 7 | 28 | 521 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.00 | 2.71 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 14% | 45% | 71% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 86% | 55% | 27% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 100% | 67% | 81% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0000 | 0.0477 | 0.0372 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0002 | 0.0613 | 0.0704 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.295 | 0.498 | 0.578 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $740 | $28 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 | -0.0100 |
| Alpha ($) | $-47 | $-47 | $-47 | $-47 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -15.3% | -15.3% | -15.3% | -15.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.020 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0056 | 0.0056 | 0.0056 | 0.0056 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $37.3k |
| $63.4k |
| Worst day | $399 | $-3.1k | $-3.1k | $-59.6k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $106 |
| $1.04k |
| $834 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 18% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 50% | 34% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 67% | 56% | 7% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 75% | 76% | 22% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 95% | 94% | 69% |
| N/A |
| 5% |
| 5% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | -0.0088 | -0.0059 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 15.00 | 482.00 | 9645.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 1.25 | 0.82 | 1.23 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $4.4k | $1.08k | $1.36k |
| Median ticket | N/A | $1.73k | $41 | $68 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -42.20 | 2.10 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 0 | 19 |
| N/A |
| 2.97 |
| 2.34 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Iran | $129k | 74% | 23 |
| US Election | $-99.2k | 0% | 1 |
| Bitcoin | $74.9k | 100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $55.1k | 100% | 14 |
| Economy | $49.4k | 50% | 10 |
| Parent For Derivative | $48.5k | 47% | 19 |
| Music | $39.7k | 100% | 5 |
| Politics | $39.4k | 72% | 75 |
| Soccer | $36.8k | 80% | 5 |
| Trump | $29.1k | 85% | 27 |
| nyc | $22.4k | 100% | 3 |
| Gaza | $19.7k | 100% | 4 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x265366ed… | $-99.2k | $99.4k | -99.8% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $86.4k | $267k | 32.4% |
| 0x80026f98… | $67.5k | $101k | 66.6% |
| 0x3733a1b6… | $51.2k | $290k | 17.7% |
| 0xdcc87b9c… | $49.9k | $49.4k | 101.1% |
| 0x5fc28bfc… | $-40.9k | $47.2k | -86.7% |
| 0x86f5b0f1… | $35.6k | $83.1k | 42.8% |
| 0xd1e760f5… | $28.9k | $229k | 12.6% |
| 0x87822b3d… | $28.5k | $39.6k | 71.9% |
| 0x2e94bb8d… | $-27.9k | $27.9k | -100.0% |
| 0xaf51603d… | $-27.3k | $29.2k | -93.7% |
| 0x27619d61… | $-22.9k | $22.9k | -100.0% |
| 0xebddfcf7… | $21.9k | $146k | 15.0% |
| 0x2a46bac8… | $21.6k | $16.1k | 134.2% |
| 0x4348ad9d… | $-21.3k | $21.3k | -100.0% |
| 295 |
| 295 |
| 295 |
| 295 |