Loading trader…
P Prediction Market News
Cross-venue Polymarket and Kalshi odds, consensus prices, volume, open interest, spread, and resolution rules. Not investment advice.
0xcc50…4c82 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News
Traders / 0xcc50…4c82 0xcc50…4c82 0xcc500cbcc8b7cf5bd21975ebbea34f21b5644c82
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 17679 with median hold 4.0 hours, maker share only 48%.
Capital velocity 0.5 and held-to-resolution 71% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 16:00:44 UTC
Window metrics Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL (leaderboard) N/A N/A $66.5k ∞ Realized PnL $40.7k $68k $219k $532k Win rate 91% 79% 85% 59% ROI 7% 8% 9% 7% Sharpe (daily) N/A -0.228 0.611 0.199 Markets 45 276 1283 2071 Best day $-1.11k $15.3k
Performance Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Profit factor 2.40 1.92 1.83 1.45 Mean trade PnL $1.51k $382 $228 $113 Median trade PnL $11 $16 $21 $3 Payoff ratio 0.24 0.50 0.33 1.02 Largest win $52.5k $52.5k $52.5k $52.5k Largest loss $-27.8k $-27.8k $-27.8k $-44.5k Expectancy $1.51k
Risk Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time PnL volatility N/A $9.27k $8.66k $14.8k Sortino (daily) 0.244 -0.267 0.803 0.201 Calmar 9.214 9.214 9.214 9.214 Drawdown duration (days) 83.0 83.0 83.0 83.0
Consistency Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Concentration top-1 53% 24% 7% 3% Concentration top-5 99% 63% 21% 9% Concentration top-10 100% 82% 35% 14% Max win streak 10 18 37 37 Max loss streak 1 4 4 80
Odds bucket 24h win rate 7d win rate 30d win rate All-time win rate Notional (all)
Activity Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Trade count 128 2126 11280 17679 Unique markets 45 276 1283 2071 Active days ratio 200% 114% 103% 100% Avg entry price 0.558 0.444 0.475 0.496 Portfolio HHI 0.155 0.043 0.015 0.011 Maker share (notional) 71% 49% 44% 48% Two-sided share 11%
Behavior Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Holding time avg (h) 0.4 9.0 23.3 25.2 Holding time median (h) 0.1 1.8 5.1 4.0 Max concurrent 35 224 1039 1682 Disposition ratio 0.88 0.79 0.87 0.78 Add-to-winner share 69% 68% 63% 60% Average-down share 15% 30% 35% 37% Tilt ratio 0.10
Markets / calibration Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time Held to resolution 78% 73% 72% 71% Brier (weighted) 0.2908 0.0612 0.0713 0.0846 Brier (unweighted) 0.2516 0.1813 0.1824 0.1830 Entry timing mean 0.820 0.582 0.563 0.554 Exit quality ($) $-89 $-24 $-250 $-74 Exit quality ROI gap -23.0% 42.4% 86.3% 48.3%
Style Metric 24h 7d 30d All-time CLV mean 0.0262 0.0262 0.0262 0.0262 Alpha ($) $2.23k $2.23k $2.23k $2.23k Alpha ROI gap 132.7% 132.7% 132.7% 132.7% Contrarian score -0.023 -0.023 -0.023 -0.023 Post-fill drift 0.0049 0.0049 0.0049 0.0049 Post-fill candles (mean) 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 Post-fill observations
Archetype scores Scalper: 52.8% Early-Bird Forecaster: 38.8% News Sniper: 31.0% Contrarian Fader: 30.4% Conviction Holder: 30.1% Worst day $-1.11k $-16k $-16k $-76.5k
0.40–0.60 100% 96% 96% 63% 15%
Spread capture 0.0321 0.0011 0.0035 0.0076
Inventory turnover 128.00 2126.00 11280.00 17679.00
Capital velocity 0.03 0.45 0.78 0.46
Avg ticket $137 $191 $176 $190
Median ticket $10 $18 $12 $12
Activity slope (fills/week) N/A N/A -568.30 -305.82
Category PnL (all) Win rate n
Crypto $288k 55% 884 Bitcoin $136k 55% 83 Up or Down $106k 60% 3479 Price Milestone $27.7k 75% 4 Solana $-22k 20% 54 uncategorized $-3.82k 58% 128
Market (condition) PnL Cost ROI 0x752fa61c… $52.5k $207k 25.4% 0x024b68f7… $-27.8k $190k -14.6% 0x2745c38f… $-26.7k $70.1k -38.1% 0xdc1f1090… $26.4k $5.36k 492.9% 0xc791b09a… $24.7k $80.5k 30.7% 0xf326a071… $20.7k $42.4k 48.9% 0xadebd6bb… $-19.7k $83.9k -23.5% 0x5bc7bb46… $-17k $25.1k -67.9% 0xcae5fa3e… $16.4k $26.8k 61.1% 0x472c9035… $16k $1.7k 942.2% 0xce3c54c3… $16k $153k 10.4% 0x3396c5cb… $15.5k $17.2k 90.2% 0x18076e7d… $15.3k $3.24k 471.3% 0x582b6ceb… $14.5k $43.1k 33.5% 0x903a1387… $14.4k $4.37k 328.7%
0x6ec89a8615… entry 0.220
0x45777b61c0… entry 0.239
0xfa8e322116… entry 0.203
0x6bc7b818a4… entry 0.080
0x1a2e55d472… entry 0.010
0x68bfbc7439… entry 0.231
0x7511916275… entry 0.037
0xfd7cdd953b… entry 0.077
0xf7d8032c29… entry 0.288
0x20e83a41d5… entry 0.220
0x5ecc19a01b… entry 0.280
0x5ecc19a01b… entry 0.069
0xb7f93168d7… entry 0.024
0xfc38117c11… entry 0.042
0x27ad7baca4… entry 0.171
0x58078283e2… entry 0.091
0x83572ae45e… entry 0.070
0xc29f9bb8cd… entry 0.010
0x74db81f076… entry 0.090
0xc359320599… entry 0.210
0x25c1037af3… entry 0.102
0x1a5454a485… entry 0.200
0x1a5454a485… entry 0.237
0xba89444039… entry 0.259
0xba89444039… entry 0.010
0x9e82a95038… entry 0.210
0x2987747a6f… entry 0.110
0x740d65f3ef… entry 0.026
0x212619589c… entry 0.063
0x624bae4626… entry 0.050
0x7373209c88… entry 0.290
0x9d44c410ed… entry 0.199
0x1ba14331de… entry 0.220
0x8b7fc9aa83… entry 0.258
0xafdc75fc4a… entry 0.032
0x8739665816… entry 0.043
0xc990d259ad… entry 0.081
0xdd2d05d78d… entry 0.145
0x8afd58f57a… entry 0.180
0x9b73dda1c1… entry 0.020
0xfeab9d7cb1… entry 0.238
0x57e6c7ce70… entry 0.284
0xedbd92a7ff… entry 0.011
0x0689168dbb… entry 0.290
0x29d718e8c6… entry 0.217
0x47ecab9199… entry 0.166
0x47ecab9199… entry 0.280
0x582843e222… entry 0.210
0xbfb15b1ccc… entry 0.220
0x51a1f33810… entry 0.022
0x27380f929a… entry 0.150
0xba83c881cb… entry 0.169
0x201b92715a… entry 0.143
0xe23cac6437… entry 0.050
0xde7055cda0… entry 0.063
0xa31b1c7338… entry 0.274
0xb987913f05… entry 0.032
0xc56825224a… entry 0.082
0xe5816efc6b… entry 0.040
0x41dd5292dd… entry 0.186
0x0aa5fd1cb7… entry 0.022
0x4f18931591… entry 0.209
0x1e911d68ad… entry 0.172
0xbf0742b85e… entry 0.271
0x7c2bc865a5… entry 0.128
0xf04b742bdf… entry 0.280
0x524d7a25e5… entry 0.010
0xdd9c8a771a… entry 0.020
0xc23b3abe39… entry 0.206
0x2aacdbed03… entry 0.085
0x2de954c6ac… entry 0.117
0xc6224deba7… entry 0.128
0xfa085a10a7… entry 0.060
0xdf0cc7493c… entry 0.032
0x4e1d103a1e… entry 0.120
0xf9966f15cd… entry 0.024
0x65773fcb75… entry 0.210
0x7da9e8c49b… entry 0.080
0x2c16bcfa63… entry 0.297
0x8560875504… entry 0.220
0x11c338d832… entry 0.040
0xd8a5843555… entry 0.040
0x5ed566f3b8… entry 0.270
0x35bd3fe08f… entry 0.260
0xe58b7d31ff… entry 0.170
0xa7ac60c46b… entry 0.020
0xf12e2fec30… entry 0.240
0xf12e2fec30… entry 0.280
0x0289b98fd1… entry 0.070
0x81c7b20d68… entry 0.050
0xf0a4c0bc8a… entry 0.109
0xc2bca9b473… entry 0.012
0x5f2a7aedbf… entry 0.130
0x67d49d47ad… entry 0.021
0x783c532b1e… entry 0.043
0x85352e26f2… entry 0.085
0x43cd288830… entry 0.150
0x1c65bfe623… entry 0.236
0x83db00ca4f… entry 0.103
0xe6ca9df950… entry 0.014
0x24c23ab048… entry 0.146
0x96c7650600… entry 0.051
0xb4ade59ee6… entry 0.158
0x579e127fdc… entry 0.299
0x64aac59bf2… entry 0.184
0x122cdbc0ca… entry 0.285
0x76628f9bff… entry 0.056
0x7cd5cd6bda… entry 0.137
0x5d83fd45a3… entry 0.064
0xfe73df6f84… entry 0.030
0xbe17fb3639… entry 0.125
0x2218edf9cb… entry 0.250
0x2218edf9cb… entry 0.230
0x5aae40b8fc… entry 0.210
0x30d510ef6e… entry 0.240
0xf2c6266417… entry 0.050
0x40102cddb7… entry 0.160
0xdd406585d0… entry 0.271
0xb117460d8b… entry 0.238
0xb117460d8b… entry 0.198
0xed0464cc24… entry 0.070
0x59a17d2abf… entry 0.206
0xd4943b06f2… entry 0.231
0x478e1d1208… entry 0.250
0xbf2cdd5139… entry 0.279
0x292254f4ee… entry 0.153
0x37465c6c8b… entry 0.289
0x1067d52abf… entry 0.044
0x8c2c0a7ab0… entry 0.214
0x81eebbc4bf… entry 0.140
0x30dcae81d0… entry 0.040
0xeac0de4c85… entry 0.232
0x4f28887640… entry 0.220
0x3040cb2a54… entry 0.218
0xe318a55bbd… entry 0.200
0x4215dc3e95… entry 0.147
0xd73dfde165… entry 0.034
0x08db025540… entry 0.250
0xfcf7526ff2… entry 0.190
0xee5101a453… entry 0.130
0xf0690e115e… entry 0.140
0x6123b5cc75… entry 0.065
0x85b26ef81a… entry 0.050
0x5771367ca7… entry 0.027
0xeb8b69522c… entry 0.016
0x9b52d7867b… entry 0.140
0x50f4437592… entry 0.030
0xd66dc4cdf6… entry 0.260
0xf899c1e230… entry 0.050
0xdd694ed679… entry 0.140
0xd3b75582cf… entry 0.060
0x5e2a2b3b03… entry 0.152
0x2f0190a879… entry 0.088
0xca3327593a… entry 0.029
0x6e1fbd722b… entry 0.034
0x7656efb753… entry 0.271
0x32ec476e2d… entry 0.192
0x00888393d0… entry 0.050
0x6403108ced… entry 0.217
0x042cc96c4a… entry 0.250
0x06a804e8bd… entry 0.122
0xc185f6ce2c… entry 0.100
0xf326a07132… entry 0.024
0xd3270330a3… entry 0.200
0x19cf0d6b12… entry 0.028
0x9affeb38bc… entry 0.132
0x5692873ef1… entry 0.266
0xd8c942350a… entry 0.130
0xc47181c442… entry 0.043
0x7357b65aa6… entry 0.268
0xfde7421cc9… entry 0.084
0xf440fab6f5… entry 0.060
0x4811e90829… entry 0.120
0x291bfaeb9d… entry 0.300
0x2c550c58e4… entry 0.280
0x526bc449ae… entry 0.231
0x3bce444857… entry 0.060
0xc9f68a9572… entry 0.070
0x89df4539c9… entry 0.013
0x41ef7c9a12… entry 0.132
0xc205b80864… entry 0.088
0x3f233651aa… entry 0.040
0x2520c2eead… entry 0.060
0xaf4eb23bcb… entry 0.100
0xc087ecd54c… entry 0.277
0x340a4976a2… entry 0.261
0x32dffdeab9… entry 0.240
0xb1591e0c62… entry 0.118
0xd549d6e125… entry 0.235
0xa4bb8c0f4a… entry 0.227
0x9259a3459e… entry 0.200
0x98b1ed209f… entry 0.220
0xd4dd22010f… entry 0.290
0x92c4055fff… entry 0.160
0xdffa3a4a31… entry 0.060
0x21cec1774c… entry 0.262
0x9bf9d86e73… entry 0.120
0x9bf9d86e73… entry 0.180
0x1d1999e425… entry 0.254
0x341ebbec15… entry 0.287
0xae2c5709b8… entry 0.049
0xe42bc345ad… entry 0.069
0xdf7d7a5147… entry 0.094
0x018ad889b7… entry 0.140
0x3560de701f… entry 0.161
0xc4a158510b… entry 0.202
0xcf1bfdc136… entry 0.128
0xcaa8216a82… entry 0.070
0x13a7e4b016… entry 0.020
0xc22692e8e6… entry 0.282
0x0122951f7a… entry 0.289
0x0122951f7a… entry 0.239
0x1d2fb46a03… entry 0.290
0x67ddf03c59… entry 0.230
0x9537ad5814… entry 0.165
0x3ab780b81e… entry 0.011
0x81fa1fd3dd… entry 0.019
0xc00dd75aa7… entry 0.111
0x14cc257074… entry 0.040
0x927e21b899… entry 0.125
0x99a5028a07… entry 0.280
0xd7c9496fca… entry 0.277
0xb8228ba347… entry 0.260
0xb8228ba347… entry 0.270
0x77cc6a2588… entry 0.215
0x3eae32321b… entry 0.250
0x3af107f3fb… entry 0.243
0x3af107f3fb… entry 0.030
0x47c47f1d19… entry 0.276
0x79b8e743e3… entry 0.108
0x1ac6f73f6f… entry 0.032
0xdfd8403f64… entry 0.097
0x2050f8bcfd… entry 0.046
0x06f99b2a97… entry 0.024
0xe7a5c4ac6f… entry 0.239
0xfc0fd859c5… entry 0.120
0xc5ddd983bf… entry 0.244
0x84c1b253c2… entry 0.270
0x4a26936011… entry 0.230
0x02deb9538f… entry 0.266 timing 0.59
0xbe23041b05… entry 0.240
0xda2ca4881b… entry 0.099
0xf2f43b528c… entry 0.134
0x817def70c4… entry 0.132
0x04fe2dec29… entry 0.014
0x2f0cb744c1… entry 0.267
0x2f0cb744c1… entry 0.120
0xeec8a3b513… entry 0.129
0xe10b837036… entry 0.250
0x7f3f5b3175… entry 0.203
0x3a1514308b… entry 0.217
0xf1b2fda93a… entry 0.255
0xea2cc2417e… entry 0.040
0xdc1f10909a… entry 0.117
0x7aa576687b… entry 0.200
0xfeb49fd8eb… entry 0.043
0x12ccdb816a… entry 0.207
0xc015f9730c… entry 0.143
0x42fd14c1b0… entry 0.091
0x85983340ff… entry 0.051
0x95b21d0ff4… entry 0.030
0x38866f5793… entry 0.255
0x5da9b9c981… entry 0.188
0xf51551b39d… entry 0.206
0xf51551b39d… entry 0.104
0x8166886a3b… entry 0.193
0x05ac19264e… entry 0.130
0x62485cbdbf… entry 0.044
0x817fad755d… entry 0.299
0x613679b98b… entry 0.224
0xcf6f856484… entry 0.239
0x5894f31d09… entry 0.286
0x5894f31d09… entry 0.182
0x7932ba47d3… entry 0.040
0xd543446e69… entry 0.030
0xf822ee803b… entry 0.010
0xe7d398b662… entry 0.285
0x9aa7949a80… entry 0.086
0x658d42d49c… entry 0.144
0xcb64ba3380… entry 0.175
0x4ab7e5d271… entry 0.124
0x8d8fe143ab… entry 0.121
0x377e4fc7b3… entry 0.125
0x1c1bb58f6c… entry 0.136
0x842bc98c9f… entry 0.287
0x73ac320d84… entry 0.081
0x7371e7e170… entry 0.226
0x5ba365b6b8… entry 0.260
0xcd5c9357c3… entry 0.190
0x86fda2a0a2… entry 0.090
0x4b13e14a02… entry 0.280
0x8837537afe… entry 0.179
0x66000a8d67… entry 0.280
0xe041583f94… entry 0.150
0xfe3cb5c3ca… entry 0.012
0x42836f7c98… entry 0.232
0x42836f7c98… entry 0.280