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0xc96e5287ab294ac0388c2ddb00180fc464cff1f9
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
49% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (74%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.53).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:27:59 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $415k |
| Realized PnL | $255 | $2.84k | $38.7k | $420k |
| Win rate | 100% | 92% | 77% | 74% |
| ROI | 1% | 3% | 3% | 10% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.160 | 0.211 | 0.161 |
| Markets | 11 | 45 | 197 | 454 |
| Best day | $105 | $2.53k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 3.56 | 1.16 | 1.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | $25 | $77 | $191 | $888 |
| Median trade PnL | $15 | $8 | $6 | $11 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.53 |
| Largest win | $110 | $2.32k | $65.3k | $102k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-501 | $-40.4k | $-52.7k |
| Expectancy | $25 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.59k | $15.3k | $25.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.100 | 0.345 | 0.183 |
| Calmar | 3.760 | 3.760 | 3.760 | 3.760 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 43% | 46% | 12% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 91% | 77% | 39% | 19% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 92% | 59% | 33% |
| Max win streak | 10 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 10 | 10 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 118 | 431 | 2679 | 7361 |
| Unique markets | 11 | 45 | 197 | 454 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 93% |
| Avg entry price | 0.994 | 0.814 | 0.354 | 0.591 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.200 | 0.057 | 0.029 | 0.017 |
| Maker share (notional) | 47% | 56% | 78% | 61% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 17.2 | 25.1 | 37.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 22 | 95 | 292 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.03 | 0.02 | 1.33 |
| Add-to-winner share | 91% | 76% | 79% | 42% |
| Average-down share | 9% | 24% | 16% | 53% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 20% | 45% | 47% | 64% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0004 | 0.0223 | 0.1043 | 0.1291 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0091 | 0.0287 | 0.1074 | 0.1286 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.677 | 0.725 | 0.676 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-54 | $40 | $15 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.8% | -0.9% | -68.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0432 | 0.0432 | 0.0432 | 0.0432 |
| Alpha ($) | $-760 | $-760 | $-760 | $-760 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -24.2% | -24.2% | -24.2% | -24.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.188 | 0.188 | 0.188 | 0.188 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0040 | -0.0040 | -0.0040 | -0.0040 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.66e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $72.5k |
| $103k |
| Worst day | $105 | $-5.87k | $-15.2k | $-67.7k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $77 |
| $191 |
| $888 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 43% |
| 30% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 50% | 39% | 49% | 17% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 67% | 62% | 59% | 18% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 75% | 69% | 67% | 16% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 96% | 49% |
| 4% |
| 5% |
| 7% |
| Spread capture | 0.0027 | 0.0311 | -0.0091 | -0.0171 |
| Inventory turnover | 118.00 | 431.00 | 2679.00 | 7361.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.03 | 1.22 |
| Avg ticket | $279 | $282 | $438 | $664 |
| Median ticket | $98 | $39 | $30 | $32 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -137.60 | 17.39 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.86 |
| 1.35 |
| 1.09 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $384k | 75% | 274 |
| Tennis | $31.6k | 100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $-21.8k | 60% | 10 |
| Economy | $16.3k | 100% | 1 |
| Politics | $10.1k | 76% | 62 |
| Esports | $-3.99k | 0% | 3 |
| Middle East | $-3.4k | 50% | 8 |
| Trump | $3.33k | 100% | 14 |
| Enrich | $3k | 100% | 2 |
| Israel | $2.75k | 100% | 3 |
| Iran | $-2.16k | 73% | 62 |
| Strait of Hormuz | $2.06k | 33% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3ceb5b63… | $102k | $52.4k | 194.1% |
| 0x053f9573… | $74.7k | $56.3k | 132.6% |
| 0x4b4fbe43… | $74.6k | $42k | 177.8% |
| 0x163dc371… | $70k | $35.5k | 196.9% |
| 0xff1ec56e… | $65.3k | $32.2k | 202.8% |
| 0x1772b481… | $57.9k | $32.6k | 177.8% |
| 0x3f544b93… | $56k | $41.3k | 135.6% |
| 0xa17b3bd2… | $54.6k | $27.1k | 201.4% |
| 0x94a2b2a1… | $53.9k | $71.4k | 75.4% |
| 0x9c183f63… | $53k | $59.8k | 88.7% |
| 0xaa18c0e9… | $-52.7k | $52.7k | -100.0% |
| 0x9bb9f7c7… | $-40.4k | $40.4k | -100.0% |
| 0x68baa454… | $-40.1k | $40.1k | -100.0% |
| 0x27b9120c… | $39k | $25.1k | 155.1% |
| 0x0ca314b5… | $-37.3k | $74.3k | -50.2% |
| 551 |
| 551 |
| 551 |
| 551 |