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0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
83% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (68%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.73).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:24:45 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$510k
Open PnL
$17.3k
Max drawdown
$155k
Underwater days
79
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $510k |
| Realized PnL | $3.27k | $-46.7k | $51.8k | $495k |
| Win rate | 100% | 22% | 65% | 68% |
| ROI | 2% | -14% | 3% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.169 | 0.197 | 0.113 |
| Markets | 3 | 14 | 76 | 761 |
| Best day | $992 | $5.76k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.09 | 1.24 | 1.59 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.63k | $-2.59k | $750 | $576 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.63k | $-197 | $13 | $51 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| Largest win | $2.31k | $2.31k | $130k | $130k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-27.1k | $-64.8k | $-85.4k |
| Expectancy | $1.63k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $10.6k | $7.53k | $10.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.071 | 0.135 | 0.087 |
| Calmar | 3.283 | 3.283 | 3.283 | 3.283 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 | 80.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 71% | 49% | 27% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 87% | 76% | 19% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 98% | 90% | 31% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 3 | 18 | 18 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 252 | 601 | 1676 | 31887 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 14 | 76 | 761 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 93% |
| Avg entry price | 0.940 | 0.775 | 0.658 | 0.744 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.871 | 0.354 | 0.071 | 0.028 |
| Maker share (notional) | 78% | 76% | 50% | 61% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.0 | 3.5 | 40.3 | 107.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.7 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 12 | 65 | 566 |
| Disposition ratio | 14.43 | 13.25 | 549.93 | 1.49 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 67% | 43% | 63% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 33% | 48% | 35% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 67% | 81% | 70% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0011 | 0.0514 | 0.0528 | 0.0201 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0011 | 0.2358 | 0.1206 | 0.0816 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.316 | 0.953 | 0.739 | 0.456 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-2.61k | $-291 | $-205 | $-31 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -1.8% | -104.6% | 216.9% | 30.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0127 | -0.0127 | -0.0127 | -0.0127 |
| Alpha ($) | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 | $-41 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -13.3% | -13.3% | -13.3% | -13.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.078 | -0.078 | -0.078 | -0.078 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0036 | -0.0036 | -0.0036 | -0.0036 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 70.0%
- Scalper: 52.4%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 45.3%
- Tilted Gambler: 37.9%
- Contrarian Fader: 32.2%