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0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8
Secondary: Favorite Grinder
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 1.25 and disposition ratio 4.29, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 255.3), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Favorite Grinder, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:23:33 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $476k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $-198 | $1.06M |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 67% | 68% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | -0% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.680 | -0.050 | 0.089 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 257 |
| Best day | $39 | $364 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 0.97 | 2.38 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $-40 | $4.11k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $0 | $126 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.49 | 1.10 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $6.01k | $362k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-7.1k | $-101k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $930 | $1.03k | $13.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.391 | -0.065 | 0.078 |
| Calmar | 2.047 | 2.047 | 2.047 | 2.047 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 175.0 | 175.0 | 175.0 | 175.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 51% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 45% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 57% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 21 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 12 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7671 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 1 | 257 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 100% | 46% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.888 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 1.000 | 0.058 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 100% | 71% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 195.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19.7 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 162 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.29 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 81% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 14% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 62% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0242 | 0.0115 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0468 | 0.0773 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.542 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-0 | $-56 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -0.0% | 145.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0248 | 0.0248 | 0.0248 | 0.0248 |
| Alpha ($) | $325 | $325 | $325 | $325 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.178 | -0.178 | -0.178 | -0.178 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0077 | -0.0077 | -0.0077 | -0.0077 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $4.24k |
| $117k |
| Worst day | $39 | $-2.07k | $-2.07k | $-116k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $-40 |
| $4.11k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 39% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 46% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 0% | 58% | 35% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 77% | 4% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 84% | 61% |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 16% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0195 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 8.00 | 7671.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 0.00 | 0.75 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | $819 | $4.88k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | $13 | $166 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.01 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | 0 | 8 |
| N/A |
| 1.25 |
| 1.25 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Eurovision | $301k | 8% | 13 |
| nyc | $288k | 67% | 6 |
| Iran | $200k | 86% | 7 |
| Sports | $-173k | 45% | 42 |
| Geopolitics | $126k | 87% | 15 |
| Israel | $61.3k | 80% | 5 |
| Hide From New | $-58.9k | 0% | 1 |
| Parent For Derivative | $53.8k | 71% | 7 |
| Politics | $52.2k | 58% | 48 |
| Global Elections | $50.7k | 100% | 2 |
| Culture | $29.9k | 85% | 20 |
| Economy | $23.1k | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff081c52… | $362k | $7.4k | 4900.0% |
| 0xebddfcf7… | $287k | $513k | 56.0% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $197k | $3.57M | 5.5% |
| 0x9eff1fc7… | $-100k | $122k | -82.2% |
| 0x2c6c5841… | $-58.9k | $58.9k | -100.0% |
| 0x6a275bcc… | $49k | $15.1k | 324.8% |
| 0xc49142a0… | $47.3k | $33.8k | 139.8% |
| 0xd4bbf7f6… | $46.5k | $4.43M | 1.1% |
| 0xa8b74472… | $44k | $156k | 28.2% |
| 0xfddae56d… | $-38.2k | $38.2k | -100.0% |
| 0x59d1576e… | $33.3k | $15.1k | 219.9% |
| 0x4fdc0cd2… | $-32.3k | $32.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x0aaff307… | $31.5k | $18.5k | 170.3% |
| 0xac9c6628… | $30.8k | $273k | 11.3% |
| 0x6d0e09d0… | $-29.9k | $1.32M | -2.3% |
| 1239 |
| 1239 |
| 1239 |
| 1239 |