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0xc4cdca12b56cc84f57e7f314ea4ed03be488a98d
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 3 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.99 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.1 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:23:50 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $2.12k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $3.66k | $20.8k | $46.9k | $99.2k |
| Win rate | 86% | 68% | 70% | 80% |
| ROI | 61% | 22% | 37% | 51% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.409 | -0.048 | -0.026 |
| Markets | 11 | 85 | 91 | 297 |
| Best day | $1.19k | $4.86k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 5.25 | 2.52 | 4.41 | 5.76 |
| Mean trade PnL | $523 | $353 | $744 | $561 |
| Median trade PnL | $470 | $458 | $470 | $447 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.87 | 1.20 | 1.91 | 1.42 |
| Largest win | $1.43k | $4.1k | $22.4k | $22.4k |
| Largest loss | $-862 | $-1.39k | $-1.39k | $-2k |
| Expectancy | $523 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $8.09k | $6.26k | $3.57k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.272 | -0.045 | -0.024 |
| Calmar | -0.268 | -0.268 | -0.268 | -0.268 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 27% | 8% | 31% | 16% |
| Concentration top-5 | 85% | 23% | 45% | 24% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 34% | 53% | 31% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 9 | 9 | 34 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 27 | 239 | 255 | 662 |
| Unique markets | 11 | 85 | 91 | 297 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 120% | 62% | 40% |
| Avg entry price | 0.491 | 0.491 | 0.486 | 0.486 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.271 | 0.184 | 0.141 | 0.056 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 3.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 10 | 63 | 69 | 263 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.07 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| Add-to-winner share | 33% | 39% | 39% | 42% |
| Average-down share | 67% | 59% | 59% | 57% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.25 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 91% | 74% | 75% | 86% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2260 | 0.2535 | 0.2558 | 0.2518 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2250 | 0.2424 | 0.2428 | 0.2525 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.996 | 0.996 | 0.996 | 0.990 |
| Exit quality ($) | $20 | $-700 | $-485 | $-183 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 2.0% | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0062 | -0.0062 | -0.0062 | -0.0062 |
| Alpha ($) | $17 | $17 | $17 | $17 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.026 | -0.026 | -0.026 | -0.026 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0061 | 0.0061 | 0.0061 | 0.0061 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $23.9k |
| $23.9k |
| Worst day | $1.19k | $-20.2k | $-20.2k | $-20.2k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $353 |
| $744 |
| $561 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 33% | 33% | 65% | 5% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 83% | 69% | 71% | 84% | 88% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 65% | 7% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 27.00 | 239.00 | 255.00 | 662.00 |
| Capital velocity | 4.61 | 2.00 | 1.76 | 1.81 |
| Avg ticket | $1.02k | $777 | $870 | $536 |
| Median ticket | $256 | $277 | $294 | $295 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 223.00 | 5.88 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 0.58 |
| 0.52 |
| 0.85 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $67.6k | 82% | 155 |
| Sports | $30.9k | 80% | 15 |
| uncategorized | $1.38k | 100% | 3 |
| Politics | $-268 | 0% | 1 |
| Bitcoin | $-228 | 0% | 1 |
| Ethereum | $-175 | 0% | 1 |
| Big Tech | $-9 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb83b484… | $23.2k | $30.5k | 75.9% |
| 0x23c671b3… | $4.1k | $4k | 102.6% |
| 0x7fcba412… | $2.37k | $3k | 79.0% |
| 0xc0750a50… | $2.36k | $2k | 118.2% |
| 0x3e00aad3… | $2.34k | $3k | 78.0% |
| 0x6262a7ae… | $-2k | $2k | -100.0% |
| 0x3bb3c702… | $-2k | $2k | -100.0% |
| 0x3c77271f… | $1.98k | $2k | 99.2% |
| 0x88ed1e67… | $1.94k | $3k | 64.5% |
| 0xec9741cc… | $1.88k | $2k | 94.1% |
| 0x12eccc69… | $1.56k | $2k | 77.9% |
| 0x84805931… | $1.54k | $1.5k | 102.5% |
| 0x9cbb5a80… | $1.51k | $1.5k | 100.8% |
| 0xdb1935bb… | $1.48k | $1.5k | 98.5% |
| 0x6ba7970c… | $1.43k | $1k | 142.8% |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 9 |