0xc4b1…d21f

0xc4b10add55ece98d6f7d6a5005e4dafd3bf2d21f

ScalperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 5292 with median hold 0.1 hours, maker share only 22%.

Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 13:23:49 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$1.5k

Open PnL

$-38

Max drawdown

$6.91k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$2.5k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$695	$-1.88k	$2.42k	$1.5k
Win rate	27%	38%	39%	42%
ROI	7%	-5%	1%	1%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	-0.070	0.034	0.018
Markets	15	58	523	701
Best day	$1.61k	$3.34k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	1.19	0.89	1.03	1.02
Mean trade PnL	$63	$-38	$5	$2
Median trade PnL	$-30	$-32	$-25	$-11
Payoff ratio	3.17	1.46	1.63	1.43
Largest win	$2.38k	$2.38k	$2.38k	$2.38k
Largest loss	$-1.89k	$-2.5k	$-2.5k	$-2.5k
Expectancy	$63

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$2.39k	$2.06k	$1.9k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	-0.064	0.033	0.017
Calmar	0.182	0.182	0.182	0.182
Drawdown duration (days)	15.0	15.0	15.0	15.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	30%	8%	1%	1%
Concentration top-5	88%	31%	7%	6%
Concentration top-10	100%	52%	12%	11%
Max win streak	1	6	7	16
Max loss streak	4	7	10	15

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	26	270	4298	5292
Unique markets	15	58	523	701
Active days ratio	200%	100%	100%	100%
Avg entry price	0.369	0.335	0.307	0.306
Portfolio HHI	0.138	0.039	0.007	0.006
Maker share (notional)	0%	20%	22%	22%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	4.1	5.6	1.3	1.3
Holding time median (h)	4.2	1.8	0.1	0.1
Max concurrent	13	53	483	611
Disposition ratio	1.80	1.80	0.68	0.71
Add-to-winner share	38%	44%	60%	58%
Average-down share	50%	52%	39%	40%
Tilt ratio	1.09

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	78%	90%	89%	84%
Brier (weighted)	0.2089	0.2056	0.2084	0.2080
Brier (unweighted)	0.1333	0.1731	0.1793	0.1762
Entry timing mean	0.590	0.302	0.861	0.871
Exit quality ($)	$94	$23	$5	$4
Exit quality ROI gap	10.4%	0.2%	0.2%	-0.3%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0473	0.0473	0.0473	0.0473
Alpha ($)	$2	$2	$2	$2
Alpha ROI gap	14.4%	14.4%	14.4%	14.4%
Contrarian score	-0.097	-0.097	-0.097	-0.097
Post-fill drift	0.0797	0.0797	0.0797	0.0797
Post-fill candles (mean)	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1
Post-fill observations	89

Archetype scores

Scalper: 73.8%
News Sniper: 59.9%
Tilted Gambler: 52.2%
Contrarian Fader: 35.8%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.4%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.51e-35; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xccf3bbf592… entry 0.280 timing 0.99
0x153cee891e… entry 0.291 timing 1.00
0xc300f9b7d9… entry 0.288 timing 1.00
0xb2c6495ab9… entry 0.140 timing 0.99
0xdaa99a9e1d… entry 0.269 timing 1.00
0xa1c04dfabe… entry 0.206 timing 1.00
0x9a42062ad4… entry 0.173 timing 1.00
0x187651dbb6… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0x9e9014ddc6… entry 0.286 timing 1.00
0x0ddb2c5c59… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xb1f2c55d95… entry 0.202 timing 0.09
0x2b4abd4c4f… entry 0.270
0x805f6cf2e5… entry 0.159 timing 1.00
0xe6c8d11cfd… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xfec6b25448… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0x5b2226d0c9… entry 0.140 timing 1.00
0xc4d464622d… entry 0.203 timing 1.00
0xf454c6045a… entry 0.236 timing 1.00
0xed81cf4b30… entry 0.270 timing 1.00

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0xc4b1…d21f

0xc4b10add55ece98d6f7d6a5005e4dafd3bf2d21f

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 5292 with median hold 0.1 hours, maker share only 22%.

Capital velocity 1.6 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$2.5k

N/A

Realized PnL

$695

$-1.88k

$2.42k

$1.5k

Win rate

27%

38%

39%

42%

ROI

-5%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

-0.070

0.034

0.018

Markets

523

701

Best day

$1.61k

$3.34k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

1.19

0.89

1.03

1.02

Mean trade PnL

$63

$-38

Median trade PnL

$-30

$-32

$-25

$-11

Payoff ratio

3.17

1.46

1.63

1.43

Largest win

$2.38k

Largest loss

$-1.89k

$-2.5k

Expectancy

$63

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$2.39k

$2.06k

$1.9k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

-0.064

0.033

0.017

Calmar

0.182

Drawdown duration (days)

15.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

30%

Concentration top-5

88%

31%

Concentration top-10

100%

52%

12%

11%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

270

4298

5292

Unique markets

523

701

Active days ratio

200%

100%

Avg entry price

0.369

0.335

0.307

0.306

Portfolio HHI

0.138

0.039

0.007

0.006

Maker share (notional)

20%

22%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

4.1

5.6

1.3

Holding time median (h)

4.2

1.8

0.1

Max concurrent

483

611

Disposition ratio

1.80

0.68

0.71

Add-to-winner share

38%

44%

60%

58%

Average-down share

50%

52%

39%

40%

Tilt ratio

1.09

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

78%

90%

89%

84%

Brier (weighted)

0.2089

0.2056

0.2084

0.2080

Brier (unweighted)

0.1333

0.1731

0.1793

0.1762

Entry timing mean

0.590

0.302

0.861

0.871

Exit quality ($)

$94

$23

Exit quality ROI gap

10.4%

0.2%

-0.3%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0473

Alpha ($)

Alpha ROI gap

14.4%

Contrarian score

-0.097

Post-fill drift

0.0797

Post-fill candles (mean)

4.1

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Scalper: 73.8%

News Sniper: 59.9%

Tilted Gambler: 52.2%

Contrarian Fader: 35.8%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.4%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 6.51e-35; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0xccf3bbf592… entry 0.280 timing 0.99
0x153cee891e… entry 0.291 timing 1.00
0xc300f9b7d9… entry 0.288 timing 1.00
0xb2c6495ab9… entry 0.140 timing 0.99
0xdaa99a9e1d… entry 0.269 timing 1.00
0xa1c04dfabe… entry 0.206 timing 1.00
0x9a42062ad4… entry 0.173 timing 1.00
0x187651dbb6… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0x9e9014ddc6… entry 0.286 timing 1.00
0x0ddb2c5c59… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xb1f2c55d95… entry 0.202 timing 0.09
0x2b4abd4c4f… entry 0.270
0x805f6cf2e5… entry 0.159 timing 1.00
0xe6c8d11cfd… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xfec6b25448… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0x5b2226d0c9… entry 0.140 timing 1.00
0xc4d464622d… entry 0.203 timing 1.00
0xf454c6045a… entry 0.236 timing 1.00
0xed81cf4b30… entry 0.270 timing 1.00

Tennis	$6.72k	55%	85
Sports	$-2.81k	36%	269
Up or Down	$-2.15k	43%	366
uncategorized	$-260	0%	2
2026 FIFA World Cup	$0	N/A	0

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x25eae453…	$-2.5k	$2.5k	-100.0%
0xeb59effa…	$2.38k	$2.47k	96.1%
0x9e9014dd…	$2.37k	$950	249.7%
0xf95968b1…	$2.12k	$1.17k	182.2%
0x304f6556…	$2.03k	$1.47k	138.1%
0x65670c7c…	$1.92k	$1.68k	114.1%
0xc41f543c…	$-1.89k	$1.93k	-97.7%
0x6f3f77b5…	$-1.82k	$1.82k	-100.0%
0x800d48e0…	$-1.77k	$1.77k	-100.0%
0x83d646ac…	$1.74k	$1.61k	108.3%
0xd490eca0…	$1.73k	$892	194.1%
0xf5c66fd8…	$-1.7k	$1.7k	-100.0%
0x8ec11c54…	$1.66k	$1.28k	129.6%
0x06bbc2f7…	$1.66k	$1.25k	132.6%
0x5b0535b3…	$-1.65k	$1.65k	-100.0%

0xc4b1…d21f

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xc4b1…d21f

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

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