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0xc3ed109b65de5026da25cf80ce91779dfc2c9f79
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 2 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.99 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 2.9 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:19:35 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $103k | $198k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $98k | $47k | $130k | $99.6k |
| Win rate | 47% | 38% | 41% | 41% |
| ROI | 32% | 13% | 24% | 14% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.224 | 0.135 | 0.075 |
| Markets | 11 | 15 | 38 | 79 |
| Best day | $0 | $160k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 2.05 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.34 |
| Mean trade PnL | $5.16k | $1.96k | $3.17k | $1.24k |
| Median trade PnL | $-500 | $-3.77k | $-3k | $-1.49k |
| Payoff ratio | 2.28 | 2.21 | 2.32 | 1.91 |
| Largest win | $150k | $150k | $150k | $150k |
| Largest loss | $-40.2k | $-40.2k | $-40.2k | $-40.2k |
| Expectancy | $5.16k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $66.2k | $33.8k | $28.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.432 | 0.201 | 0.124 |
| Calmar | 0.871 | 0.871 | 0.871 | 0.871 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 41.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 | 41.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 53% | 45% | 28% | 22% |
| Concentration top-5 | 77% | 69% | 54% | 42% |
| Concentration top-10 | 89% | 81% | 67% | 52% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Max loss streak | 6 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 29 | 39 | 74 | 122 |
| Unique markets | 11 | 15 | 38 | 79 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 37% | 53% |
| Avg entry price | 0.487 | 0.486 | 0.474 | 0.484 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.509 | 0.385 | 0.181 | 0.127 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.8 | 2.2 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Max concurrent | 5 | 10 | 31 | 70 |
| Disposition ratio | 3.27 | 0.71 | 0.87 | 0.84 |
| Add-to-winner share | 67% | 75% | 70% | 69% |
| Average-down share | 33% | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.39 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 10% | 36% | 70% | 82% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2701 | 0.2774 | 0.2767 | 0.2714 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2205 | 0.2342 | 0.2577 | 0.2586 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.995 | 0.996 | 0.997 | 0.993 |
| Exit quality ($) | $196 | $528 | $-339 | $-141 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 6.3% | 7.2% | -0.1% | 1.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0528 | -0.0528 | -0.0528 | -0.0528 |
| Alpha ($) | $-19 | $-19 | $-19 | $-19 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0592 | -0.0592 | -0.0592 | -0.0592 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $160k |
| $160k |
| Worst day | $0 | $-47.7k | $-47.7k | $-47.7k |
Completeness: complete. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.96k |
| $3.17k |
| $1.24k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 55% | 43% | 40% | 42% | 76% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 75% | 60% | 57% | 46% | 14% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 29.00 | 39.00 | 74.00 | 122.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.96 | 1.90 | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| Avg ticket | $20.5k | $17.7k | $14.6k | $10.7k |
| Median ticket | $10k | $10k | $8.13k | $5.37k |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 4.70 | -0.61 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 0.63 |
| 0.62 |
| 0.76 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $99.6k | 41% | 80 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc41f543c… | $150k | $135k | 110.8% |
| 0x95f726bb… | $54.8k | $50k | 109.5% |
| 0x776956c5… | $-40.2k | $40.2k | -100.0% |
| 0xdbbbbd6e… | $24k | $9.4k | 255.0% |
| 0x0f5e01cf… | $18.4k | $20k | 92.1% |
| 0x2f204628… | $-16.9k | $16.9k | -100.0% |
| 0xccc07a83… | $14.4k | $19.5k | 73.8% |
| 0x9814196a… | $-13.3k | $13.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x5038cb8d… | $-11.3k | $11.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x7bed81b0… | $-10.8k | $10.8k | -100.0% |
| 0x821b5304… | $10.6k | $15.3k | 69.3% |
| 0x1eb724a7… | $-10k | $10k | -100.0% |
| 0x3045a441… | $-10k | $10k | -100.0% |
| 0xf4bbf063… | $-10k | $10k | -100.0% |
| 0xaf767784… | $-9.33k | $10k | -93.3% |
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