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0xc3c3…eec8 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xc3c3…eec8
0xc3c3b3ef304ddbea39fa2246e683a71da5d0eec8
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 28067 with median hold 0.6 hours, maker share only 67%.
Capital velocity 0.3 and held-to-resolution 48% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:29:53 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $46.6k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $127k | $654k | $2.39M | $22.5M |
| Win rate | 100% | 99% | 99% | 94% |
| ROI | 72% | 72% | 67% | 73% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.359 | -0.200 | -0.136 |
| Markets | 40 | 251 | 679 | 692 |
| Best day | $44.4k | $44.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 360.30 | 168.74 | 13.08 |
| Mean trade PnL | $5.07k | $4.96k | $6.88k | $10.9k |
| Median trade PnL | $3.37k | $4.08k | $4.74k | $9k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 2.75 | 2.47 | 0.78 |
| Largest win | $32.2k | $40.3k | $40.8k | $162k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-1.82k | $-6.5k | $-123k |
| Expectancy | $5.07k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $67k | $53.7k | $41.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.250 | -0.172 | -0.124 |
| Calmar | -0.987 | -0.987 | -0.987 | -0.987 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 598.5 | 598.5 | 598.5 | 598.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 25% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 56% | 18% | 8% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 75% | 27% | 14% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 25 | 111 | 119 | 357 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 24 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 1575 | 5979 | 26078 | 28067 |
| Unique markets | 40 | 251 | 679 | 692 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.425 | 0.491 | 0.542 | 0.541 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.038 | 0.010 | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | 53% | 46% | 67% | 67% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Max concurrent | 24 | 158 | 337 | 340 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 97% | 96% | 96% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 56% | 62% | 48% | 48% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1660 | 0.1727 | 0.1639 | 0.1981 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1586 | 0.2088 | 0.2139 | 0.2219 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.798 | 0.478 | 0.526 | 0.527 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-213 | $-463 | $-455 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.8% | -4.2% | -1.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1419 | 0.1419 | 0.1419 | 0.1419 |
| Alpha ($) | $-364 | $-364 | $-364 | $-364 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.232 | -0.232 | -0.232 | -0.232 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0032 | 0.0032 | 0.0032 | 0.0032 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 54.6%
- Tilted Gambler: 50.0%
- Favorite Grinder: 36.9%
- News Sniper: 36.3%
- Contrarian Fader: 29.9%
| Worst day | $44.4k | $-153k | $-153k | $-238k |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 86% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 98% | 98% | 98% | 46% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 99% | 99% | 33% |
| Spread capture | -0.0413 | -0.0497 | -0.0646 | -0.0644 |
| Inventory turnover | 1575.00 | 5979.00 | 26078.00 | 28067.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.78 | 2.11 | 2.14 | 0.26 |
| Avg ticket | $199 | $319 | $293 | $279 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -552.20 | 593.90 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $22.5M | 99% | 1788 |
| Tennis | $469k | 97% | 90 |
| potusbanner | $311k | 100% | 2 |
| Bitcoin | $-259k | 20% | 15 |
| Politics | $-181k | 60% | 15 |
| US Election | $151k | 100% | 2 |
| uncategorized | $135k | 100% | 14 |
| Geopolitics | $-125k | 50% | 10 |
| Trump | $-120k | 0% | 5 |
| Middle East | $104k | 33% | 3 |
| State Presidential Election | $99.5k | 100% | 2 |
| Elections | $99.4k | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xc6485bb7… | $162k | $180k | 90.0% |
| 0xdd22472e… | $149k | $241k | 61.9% |
| 0x9cb4e70a… | $-123k | $133k | -92.6% |
| 0x57d84abe… | $112k | $57.3k | 196.2% |
| 0x2010ff39… | $108k | $54.7k | 198.3% |
| 0xfb745fe4… | $104k | $31k | 334.8% |
| 0xcd1b6b71… | $100k | $73.3k | 137.1% |
| 0xce295bc2… | $99.4k | $51.1k | 194.8% |
| 0x1814188b… | $98.8k | $25.5k | 387.6% |
| 0x03e5ec7f… | $92.3k | $32.7k | 281.7% |
| 0x065bec39… | $90k | $35k | 257.1% |
| 0x36866727… | $-88.4k | $88.4k | -100.0% |
| 0x424f9586… | $87.7k | $62.3k | 140.8% |
| 0x45847d20… | $80.6k | $73.8k | 109.2% |
| 0xee7c7b45… | $80k | $53.5k | 149.5% |