This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
43% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (87%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.37).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:23:46 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$331k
Open PnL
$-729k
Max drawdown
$11.8k
Underwater days
63
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL (leaderboard)
N/A
$30.6k
$77.1k
N/A
Realized PnL
$24.2k
$30.7k
$688k
$1.05M
Win rate
100%
83%
97%
87%
ROI
5%
2%
6%
5%
Sharpe (daily)
N/A
0.508
0.656
0.282
Markets
18
42
42
42
Best day
$435
$24k
Performance
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Profit factor
N/A
25.49
10.70
2.44
Mean trade PnL
$2.02k
$878
$754
$384
Median trade PnL
$1.4k
$90
$538
$100
Payoff ratio
N/A
5.27
0.29
0.37
Largest win
$9.82k
$9.82k
$11.6k
$34.9k
Largest loss
N/A
$-511
$-10.8k
$-29.8k
Expectancy
$2.02k
Risk
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
PnL volatility
N/A
$8.66k
$6.71k
$3.19k
Sortino (daily)
N/A
N/A
1.072
0.609
Calmar
27.952
27.952
27.952
27.952
Drawdown duration (days)
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
Consistency
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Concentration top-1
41%
30%
1%
3%
Concentration top-5
81%
62%
7%
11%
Concentration top-10
100%
86%
12%
19%
Max win streak
12
18
137
188
Max loss streak
N/A
1
2
11
Odds bucket
24h win rate
7d win rate
30d win rate
All-time win rate
Notional (all)
Activity
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Trade count
1704
5998
5998
5998
Unique markets
18
42
42
42
Active days ratio
200%
100%
100%
100%
Avg entry price
0.850
0.909
0.909
0.909
Portfolio HHI
0.100
0.053
0.053
0.053
Maker share (notional)
97%
95%
95%
95%
Two-sided share
17%
Behavior
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Holding time avg (h)
2.5
10.4
10.4
10.4
Holding time median (h)
2.9
3.6
3.6
3.6
Max concurrent
9
25
25
25
Disposition ratio
38.66
0.44
0.44
0.44
Add-to-winner share
72%
0%
0%
0%
Average-down share
26%
0%
0%
0%
Tilt ratio
N/A
Markets / calibration
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
Held to resolution
71%
64%
64%
64%
Brier (weighted)
0.0144
0.0293
0.0237
0.0906
Brier (unweighted)
0.0889
0.0569
0.0235
0.0660
Entry timing mean
0.943
0.783
0.783
0.783
Exit quality ($)
$-4.54k
$-2.65k
$-585
$-391
Exit quality ROI gap
-48.9%
-12.5%
-1.8%
-0.2%
Style
Metric
24h
7d
30d
All-time
CLV mean
0.0122
0.0122
0.0122
0.0122
Alpha ($)
$-845
$-845
$-845
$-845
Alpha ROI gap
-118.4%
-118.4%
-118.4%
-118.4%
Contrarian score
0.154
0.154
0.154
0.154
Post-fill drift
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
0.0023
Post-fill candles (mean)
5.0
5.0
5.0
5.0
Post-fill observations
Archetype scores
Favorite Grinder: 65.0%
Scalper: 45.0%
News Sniper: 42.9%
Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 24.6%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 6.23e-237; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.