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0xc1ff…25f1
0xc1ff0721be94d8353e422b72ea38b4d56fe525f1
Secondary: Longshot Hunter
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.10 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 45%.
Holds stretch longer (median 16.4 days) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Longshot Hunter, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:22:18 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$96.3k
Open PnL
$-28.7k
Max drawdown
$127k
Underwater days
348
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $45.5k | $60.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7.83k | $78.1k | $71.2k | $71.2k |
| Win rate | 50% | 60% | 26% | 26% |
| ROI | 41% | 98% | 44% | 44% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.610 | 0.436 | 0.027 |
| Markets | 20 | 102 | 293 | 851 |
| Best day | $-129 | $28.3k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 15.17 | 34.93 | 3.06 | 3.06 |
| Mean trade PnL | $783 | $1.24k | $285 | $285 |
| Median trade PnL | $4 | $15 | $-38 | $-38 |
| Payoff ratio | 15.17 | 22.98 | 8.85 | 8.85 |
| Largest win | $6.67k | $26.1k | $26.1k | $26.1k |
| Largest loss | $-376 | $-741 | $-4.95k | $-4.95k |
| Expectancy | $783 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $10.7k | $5.42k | $6.04k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.032 | 28.960 | 11.664 | 0.018 |
| Calmar | 0.755 | 0.755 | 0.755 | 0.755 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 91% | 34% | 20% | 20% |
| Concentration top-5 | 99% | 89% | 60% | 60% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 96% | 74% | 74% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 4 | 26 | 26 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 56 | 821 | 8515 | 50287 |
| Unique markets | 20 | 102 | 293 | 851 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 99% |
| Avg entry price | 0.102 | 0.061 | 0.055 | 0.059 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.307 | 0.062 | 0.163 | 0.047 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 97% | 98% | 84% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 4.0 | 92.6 | 243.0 | 715.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 4.0 | 101.8 | 214.7 | 393.3 |
| Max concurrent | 19 | 99 | 265 | 730 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.42 | 1.73 | 1.41 |
| Add-to-winner share | 14% | 64% | 59% | 53% |
| Average-down share | 24% | 19% | 36% | 45% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.18 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 95% | 89% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0311 | 0.0958 | 0.0958 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.1254 | 0.0186 | 0.0186 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.477 | 0.585 | 0.692 | 0.710 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $1.25k | $312 | $312 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | 221.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0098 | -0.0098 | -0.0098 | -0.0098 |
| Alpha ($) | $-3.03k | $-3.03k | $-3.03k | $-3.03k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -19.4% | -19.4% | -19.4% | -19.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.098 | -0.098 | -0.098 | -0.098 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0006 | -0.0006 | -0.0006 | -0.0006 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Contrarian Fader: 59.1%
- Longshot Hunter: 58.2%
- Conviction Holder: 53.8%
- Scalper: 39.2%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 35.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 3.11e-47; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x6bbbb71216… entry 0.028 timing 0.12
- 0x9777a1c227… entry 0.020 timing 0.70
- 0xa54c0af6aa… entry 0.045
- 0xce38d56d40… entry 0.045
- 0x69a24b337e… entry 0.030 timing 0.14
- 0xee307e0609… entry 0.030 timing 0.14
- 0xc0aee4f9e7… entry 0.045
- 0xb42fa5db3f… entry 0.024 timing 0.87
- 0x3c1e350aa8… entry 0.024 timing 0.87
- 0xb52949f462… entry 0.024 timing 0.88
- 0x054725b2a7… entry 0.031 timing 0.62
- 0xb934f70138… entry 0.024 timing 0.87
- 0xabb68414dc… entry 0.024 timing 0.04
- 0x1e82871013… entry 0.020 timing 0.67
- 0xdd3d104667… entry 0.031 timing 0.62
- 0x04816f7f30… entry 0.030 timing 0.14
- 0x8e29cb5c6b… entry 0.030 timing 0.14
- 0xe22296145e… entry 0.030 timing 0.14
- 0x05297f854d… entry 0.031 timing 0.62