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0xc1aa5dcf7da77df63b1dd3aea86156cc9405b4be
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 7 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.87 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.7 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:10:03 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.37k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.41k | $1.41k | $4.28k | $8.04k |
| Win rate | 83% | 83% | 81% | 82% |
| ROI | 14% | 14% | 15% | 18% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.368 | 0.325 | 0.168 |
| Markets | 9 | 9 | 30 | 53 |
| Best day | $1.08k | $1.08k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 57.24 | 57.24 | 6.92 | 5.29 |
| Mean trade PnL | $234 | $234 | $204 | $212 |
| Median trade PnL | $82 | $82 | $72 | $49 |
| Payoff ratio | 11.45 | 11.45 | 1.63 | 1.20 |
| Largest win | $934 | $934 | $1.23k | $2.14k |
| Largest loss | $-25 | $-25 | $-587 | $-1k |
| Expectancy | $234 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $409 | $395 | $376 |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 14.657 | 16.641 | 0.370 |
| Calmar | 4.432 | 4.432 | 4.432 | 4.432 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 64% | 64% | 21% | 18% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 79% | 56% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 96% | 85% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 18 | 18 | 57 | 93 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 9 | 30 | 53 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 200% | 21% | 13% |
| Avg entry price | 0.819 | 0.819 | 0.768 | 0.756 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.662 | 0.662 | 0.154 | 0.098 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 45.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 9 | 29 | 49 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.15 | 0.94 |
| Add-to-winner share | 88% | 88% | 72% | 79% |
| Average-down share | 13% | 13% | 28% | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.19 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 100% | 92% | 89% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0183 | 0.0183 | 0.0399 | 0.0718 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0509 | 0.0509 | 0.1138 | 0.1621 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.990 | 0.990 | 0.975 | 0.870 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $5 | $-14 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0423 | -0.0423 | -0.0423 | -0.0423 |
| Alpha ($) | $-119 | $-119 | $-119 | $-119 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -30.2% | -30.2% | -30.2% | -30.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.148 | -0.148 | -0.148 | -0.148 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0789 | -0.0789 | -0.0789 | -0.0789 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $1.85k |
| $2.14k |
| Worst day | $1.08k | $-20 | $-20 | $-1.21k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $234 |
| $204 |
| $212 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 75% | 75% | 1% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 92% | 95% | 74% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 24% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 18.00 | 18.00 | 57.00 | 93.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.09 | 1.09 | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Avg ticket | $616 | $616 | $575 | $590 |
| Median ticket | $237 | $237 | $100 | $100 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -0.60 | 0.57 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 0.19 |
| 0.21 |
| 0.55 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $8.95k | 86% | 28 |
| Iran Offensive Strikes | $-998 | 50% | 2 |
| Politics | $109 | 100% | 3 |
| Geopolitics | $-100 | 0% | 1 |
| Trump | $62 | 50% | 2 |
| Iran | $13 | 100% | 1 |
| Up or Down | $4 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x82c9e0a5… | $2.14k | $3.65k | 58.7% |
| 0xf3eb354e… | $1.23k | $6.93k | 17.7% |
| 0xed4fa0c7… | $1.18k | $3k | 39.3% |
| 0x49bc4114… | $-1k | $1k | -100.0% |
| 0x029737e7… | $934 | $8.97k | 10.4% |
| 0x0dc1e2c1… | $838 | $1.5k | 55.8% |
| 0x58b67089… | $705 | $3k | 23.5% |
| 0x63368281… | $642 | $3.52k | 18.2% |
| 0x45c6d692… | $328 | $800 | 41.0% |
| 0xf8734a88… | $323 | $800 | 40.3% |
| 0xc11d3a1a… | $158 | $200 | 79.2% |
| 0xcdd1bdd0… | $153 | $250 | 61.3% |
| 0x590a8294… | $-149 | $3.12k | -4.8% |
| 0xd5ea5f68… | $134 | $250 | 53.7% |
| 0xe4b9a52d… | $112 | $4.99k | 2.3% |
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