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0xc15b833b6991e5dbcaca029f7d0f951e5db238af
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Contrarian Fader because fills lean against recent price moves and it averages down.
Contrarian score is -0.46 (negative = buying against recent moves) with average-down share 83%.
Holds stretch longer (median 4.1 days) while waiting for reversion.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:10:04 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $4.06k | N/A | $68.8k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $12.6k | $285k | $293k |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 88% | 85% |
| ROI | N/A | 7% | 15% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.056 | 0.221 | 0.058 |
| Markets | 9 | 17 | 73 | 125 |
| Best day | $3.04k | $10.5k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 7.14 | 2.48 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $3.16k | $6.79k | $3.18k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $3.11k | $5.76k | $2.22k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.96 | 0.45 |
| Largest win | N/A | $6.31k | $62.2k | $62.2k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-19.6k | $-65.6k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.11k | $12k | $14.7k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.063 | 0.214 | 0.044 |
| Calmar | 0.489 | 0.489 | 0.489 | 0.489 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 40.5 | 40.5 | 40.5 | 40.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 50% | 16% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 38% | 34% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 58% | 48% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 4 | 25 | 25 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 114 | 180 | 3295 | 6121 |
| Unique markets | 9 | 17 | 73 | 125 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 80% | 71% |
| Avg entry price | 0.918 | 0.774 | 0.825 | 0.726 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.166 | 0.173 | 0.031 | 0.027 |
| Maker share (notional) | 96% | 62% | 65% | 78% |
| Two-sided share | 11% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 28.6 | 25.3 | 425.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.1 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 98.7 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 5 | 20 | 47 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 24.06 | 12.15 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 50% | 50% | 15% |
| Average-down share | 50% | 50% | 50% | 83% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 0% | 32% | 43% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.0042 | 0.0414 | 0.0454 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.0042 | 0.1019 | 0.0993 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.619 | 0.622 | 0.672 | 0.568 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $-671 | $-189 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | -6.4% | -17.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0130 | 0.0130 | 0.0130 | 0.0130 |
| Alpha ($) | $-12.6k | $-12.6k | $-12.6k | $-12.6k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -256.3% | -256.3% | -256.3% | -256.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.462 | -0.462 | -0.462 | -0.462 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0109 | -0.0109 | -0.0109 | -0.0109 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $31.5k |
| $46.2k |
| Worst day | $3.04k | $-8.52k | $-27.5k | $-58.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $3.16k |
| $6.79k |
| $3.18k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 67% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 33% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 64% | 71% | 4% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 83% | 34% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 60% |
| 6% |
| 1% |
| 3% |
| Spread capture | -0.0066 | 0.0004 | -0.0231 | -0.0074 |
| Inventory turnover | 114.00 | 180.00 | 3295.00 | 6121.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | 2.02 | 1.16 | 1.48 |
| Avg ticket | $1.07k | $2.17k | $660 | $1.28k |
| Median ticket | $119 | $96 | $37 | $36 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -164.70 | 25.82 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| 0.98 |
| 2.15 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $143k | 83% | 35 |
| Geopolitics | $76.8k | 83% | 6 |
| Politics | $43.8k | 89% | 18 |
| Tennis | $41.7k | 100% | 4 |
| Iran | $-32.8k | 76% | 17 |
| Eurovision | $12.4k | 75% | 4 |
| Finance | $3.49k | 100% | 1 |
| Iran Regime | $1.94k | 100% | 2 |
| Trump | $1.09k | 100% | 1 |
| Enrich | $870 | 100% | 1 |
| Middle East | $303 | 100% | 1 |
| Israel | $177 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd86a8160… | $-65.6k | $119k | -55.2% |
| 0x5efa976e… | $62.2k | $437k | 14.2% |
| 0x0e4a0c93… | $-38.2k | $376k | -10.2% |
| 0xbbc6689d… | $38.2k | $293k | 13.0% |
| 0xa5501b4d… | $-28.8k | $28.8k | -100.0% |
| 0xc395f375… | $22.4k | $57.6k | 38.9% |
| 0x4da73e81… | $22.1k | $40.2k | 55.1% |
| 0xbdb32603… | $-19.6k | $19.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x84ceac32… | $18.3k | $37.6k | 48.6% |
| 0x4d1ee0c0… | $17.7k | $178k | 9.9% |
| 0x3c995fa8… | $17k | $33k | 51.5% |
| 0x74ab8269… | $16.2k | $17.5k | 92.3% |
| 0x32046bdc… | $15.2k | $34.8k | 43.7% |
| 0x94e50623… | $14.1k | $15.9k | 88.7% |
| 0x4a0aa5a5… | $12.5k | $137k | 9.1% |
| 2269 |
| 2269 |
| 2269 |
| 2269 |