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0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 4585 with median hold 33.6 hours, maker share only 19%.
Capital velocity 2.0 and held-to-resolution 88% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:08:51 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $41.1k | $66.1k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $6.82k | $84.4k | $462k |
| Win rate | N/A | 86% | 74% | 71% |
| ROI | N/A | 377% | 140% | 51% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.870 | 0.194 | 0.185 |
| Markets | 10 | 35 | 103 | 342 |
| Best day | N/A | $2k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 40.43 | 105.19 | 6.04 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $975 | $2.48k | $2.3k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $916 | $181 | $149 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 6.74 | 37.87 | 2.53 |
| Largest win | N/A | $2.61k | $27.9k | $54k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-173 | $-218 | $-12.7k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $10.5k | $18.8k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 4.372 | 0.732 | 0.256 |
| Calmar | 2.240 | 2.240 | 2.240 | 2.240 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 41.5 | 41.5 | 41.5 | 41.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 36% | 32% | 8% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 82% | 36% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 95% | 54% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 13 | 80 | 443 | 4585 |
| Unique markets | 10 | 35 | 103 | 342 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 87% | 82% |
| Avg entry price | 0.327 | 0.172 | 0.143 | 0.205 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.150 | 0.115 | 0.071 | 0.018 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 5% | 8% | 19% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.6 | 19.7 | 52.7 | 97.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.6 | 2.9 | 16.2 | 33.6 |
| Max concurrent | 9 | 34 | 98 | 316 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.00 | 5.05 | 2.01 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 43% | 48% | 50% |
| Average-down share | 50% | 43% | 51% | 50% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 93% | 92% | 88% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.8350 | 0.4243 | 0.4034 | 0.1954 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.8350 | 0.3227 | 0.2511 | 0.2246 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.414 | 0.462 | 0.512 | 0.543 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-2.03k | $-1.78k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 664.1% | 268.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0367 | -0.0367 | -0.0367 | -0.0367 |
| Alpha ($) | $783 | $783 | $783 | $783 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.041 | 0.041 | 0.041 | 0.041 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0354 | -0.0354 | -0.0354 | -0.0354 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.80e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $40.8k |
| $78.9k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-2.57k | $-5.27k | $-66.1k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $975 |
| $2.48k |
| $2.3k |
| <0.10 |
| 100% |
| 40% |
| 67% |
| 72% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 67% | 73% | 79% | 31% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 88% | 79% | 23% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 53% | 19% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 75% | 55% | 25% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 13.00 | 80.00 | 443.00 | 4585.00 |
| Capital velocity | 35.17 | 1.95 | 2.23 | 1.98 |
| Avg ticket | $666 | $585 | $461 | $392 |
| Median ticket | $479 | $217 | $149 | $82 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2.00 | -3.46 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.38 |
| 1.38 |
| 1.21 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Trump | $150k | 89% | 36 |
| Iran | $129k | 65% | 69 |
| Politics | $116k | 70% | 44 |
| Iran Ceasefire | $41.5k | 100% | 2 |
| Soccer | $23.6k | 67% | 3 |
| Eurovision | $7.28k | 67% | 6 |
| Music | $6.31k | 100% | 3 |
| AI | $-5.93k | 67% | 3 |
| Peru | $-3.7k | 0% | 2 |
| Economy | $3.52k | 100% | 2 |
| Fed Chair | $-3.44k | 25% | 4 |
| Geopolitics | $-1.78k | 40% | 5 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xaa145cf5… | $54.9k | $7.23k | 759.1% |
| 0x46c09232… | $52.3k | $9.59k | 545.7% |
| 0x8b369e10… | $48.5k | $43.8k | 110.9% |
| 0xa70fc369… | $41.5k | $48.6k | 85.3% |
| 0x16608c4f… | $33k | $11.4k | 289.4% |
| 0x136f4e24… | $27.9k | $12.1k | 230.6% |
| 0x86f5b0f1… | $25.2k | $27.5k | 91.7% |
| 0x27182c8b… | $24k | $33.3k | 72.0% |
| 0x51a7c8af… | $21.7k | $16.6k | 130.4% |
| 0x5341e90b… | $16.5k | $23.3k | 70.7% |
| 0x4ba34832… | $16.2k | $4.05k | 399.7% |
| 0x6114a8a3… | $-12.7k | $51.3k | -24.8% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $-11.5k | $35k | -32.8% |
| 0xa6e388d8… | $10.4k | $8.42k | 123.6% |
| 0xfedc0556… | $9.26k | $6.73k | 137.6% |
| 539 |
| 539 |
| 539 |
| 539 |