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0xbadb9af986ee66437bd39e6cd3d3036cbbdc31a7
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.70 and disposition ratio 1.39, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 14.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:13:04 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.38k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.82k | $6.05k | $17.3k | $42.2k |
| Win rate | 52% | 45% | 44% | 46% |
| ROI | 14% | 7% | 5% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.513 | 0.307 | 0.254 |
| Markets | 40 | 205 | 803 | 1269 |
| Best day | $483 | $3.18k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.36 | 1.16 | 1.11 | 1.15 |
| Mean trade PnL | $50 | $20 | $15 | $24 |
| Median trade PnL | $12 | $-29 | $-19 | $-15 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.26 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.34 |
| Largest win | $986 | $1.23k | $2.66k | $2.66k |
| Largest loss | $-1.28k | $-1.28k | $-2.98k | $-2.98k |
| Expectancy | $50 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.56k | $1.72k | $2.36k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.300 | 0.340 |
| Calmar | 11.126 | 11.126 | 11.126 | 11.126 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 38% | 10% | 4% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 60% | 17% | 7% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | 5 | 11 | 25 | 25 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1547 | 5168 | 21687 | 43051 |
| Unique markets | 40 | 205 | 803 | 1269 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 36% |
| Avg entry price | 0.413 | 0.413 | 0.460 | 0.461 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.044 | 0.008 | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Maker share (notional) | 61% | 42% | 39% | 55% |
| Two-sided share | 43% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 26 | 172 | 695 | 870 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.90 | 1.71 | 1.33 | 1.39 |
| Add-to-winner share | 78% | 69% | 75% | 75% |
| Average-down share | 21% | 30% | 23% | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | 4.43 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 47% | 62% | 65% | 53% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1828 | 0.1913 | 0.1919 | 0.1902 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1776 | 0.1777 | 0.1674 | 0.1713 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.992 | 0.994 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-4 | $2 | $1 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -1.5% | 0.2% | -0.3% | -0.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0199 | 0.0199 | 0.0199 | 0.0199 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.013 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1298 | -0.1298 | -0.1298 | -0.1298 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 3 |
Joint probability 6.13e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $4.73k |
| $16.3k |
| Worst day | $483 | $-2k | $-2.14k | $-2.14k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $20 |
| $15 |
| $24 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 3% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 32% | 27% | 22% | 23% | 17% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 61% | 61% | 61% | 59% | 39% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 86% | 83% | 83% | 41% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 1% |
| 49% |
| 44% |
| 36% |
| Spread capture | -0.0399 | -0.0252 | -0.0245 | -0.0167 |
| Inventory turnover | 1547.00 | 5168.00 | 21687.00 | 43051.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.09 | 1.02 | 1.11 | 1.07 |
| Avg ticket | $14 | $18 | $20 | $18 |
| Median ticket | $4 | $3 | $3 | $4 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -3706.00 | -353.56 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 4.06 |
| 4.07 |
| 3.70 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $42.3k | 47% | 1650 |
| Crypto | $-1.8k | 22% | 50 |
| Esports | $1.01k | 65% | 17 |
| Sports | $460 | 100% | 1 |
| uncategorized | $370 | 33% | 9 |
| PGA | $-162 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x114792a4… | $-2.98k | $4.36k | -68.3% |
| 0xcdea52cb… | $-2.35k | $2.35k | -100.0% |
| 0x0183e6a8… | $2.31k | $958 | 241.1% |
| 0xfd5b5e33… | $-2.31k | $2.31k | -100.0% |
| 0x75edbe92… | $-2.05k | $2.05k | -100.0% |
| 0x8d5fdaa1… | $-2k | $2k | -100.0% |
| 0x6d0081e7… | $-1.99k | $1.99k | -100.0% |
| 0x022ee86d… | $-1.86k | $1.86k | -100.0% |
| 0x8fb53142… | $-1.84k | $1.84k | -100.0% |
| 0xaf8d263f… | $-1.8k | $1.8k | -100.0% |
| 0xa9e4855c… | $-1.72k | $1.72k | -100.0% |
| 0x1293be03… | $-1.72k | $1.97k | -87.2% |
| 0xf8c52822… | $1.63k | $1.07k | 151.7% |
| 0xb863c343… | $-1.6k | $1.6k | -100.0% |
| 0x5f2a326d… | $-1.6k | $1.6k | -100.0% |
| 3 |
| 3 |
| 3 |