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0xba38…e406
0xba389f76b0119aed07c53c9029852664bd97e406
Tilted GamblerGrade Darchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 2.86 and disposition ratio 0.43, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 148.2), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:07:29 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$661k
Open PnL
$-924k
Max drawdown
$389k
Underwater days
40
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $99.5k | $309k | $661k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $110k | $533k | ∞ |
| Win rate | N/A | 89% | 83% | 64% |
| ROI | N/A | 103% | 78% | 35% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.068 | 0.635 | 0.189 |
| Markets | 4 | 33 | 105 | 812 |
| Best day | N/A | $40.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 69.46 | 16.38 | 2.37 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $5.78k | $7.4k | $2.12k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $1.02k | $1.69k | $185 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 8.17 | 3.28 | 1.34 |
| Largest win | N/A | $41.4k | $42.4k | $48.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-1.26k | $-7.61k | $-61.4k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $21.7k | $30.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.653 | 0.885 | 0.176 |
| Calmar | 1.731 | 1.731 | 1.731 | 1.731 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 39.5 | 39.5 | 39.5 | 39.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 37% | 7% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 82% | 29% | 7% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 97% | 48% | 12% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 11 | 13 | 28 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 12 | 773 | 2258 | 18269 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 33 | 105 | 812 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 90% | 91% |
| Avg entry price | 0.490 | 0.525 | 0.541 | 0.511 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.545 | 0.096 | 0.025 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 71% | 69% | 73% | 71% |
| Two-sided share | 25% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.8 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Max concurrent | 3 | 19 | 64 | 406 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.33 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 0.43 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 100% | 80% | 64% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.53 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 60% | 54% | 58% | 49% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3083 | 0.2256 | 0.2138 | 0.2127 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3498 | 0.2571 | 0.2434 | 0.2255 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.966 | 0.908 | 0.885 | 0.861 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $-3 | $-11 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | -1.2% | -0.3% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.2058 | -0.2058 | -0.2058 | -0.2058 |
| Alpha ($) | $27 | $27 | $27 | $27 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.609 | -0.609 | -0.609 | -0.609 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0173 | -0.0173 | -0.0173 | -0.0173 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 67.2%
- News Sniper: 57.8%
- Scalper: 57.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 53.0%
- Conviction Holder: 23.1%