0xb8e3…aaf2

0xb8e32d575b8d360f90bcc95596e9a0bee444aaf2

News SniperGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Early-Bird Forecaster

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 75 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.39 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 44.6 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Early-Bird Forecaster, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 13:02:56 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$-12.1k

Open PnL

$-26.9k

Max drawdown

$21.4k

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$1.13k	N/A	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$13.5k	$14.9k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	100%	100%
ROI	N/A	N/A	87%	53%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	-0.433	0.104	0.037
Markets	0	0	6	24
Best day	$1.61k	$1.61k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$4.51k	$2.97k
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	$2.18k	$1.31k
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Largest win	N/A	N/A	$10.6k	$10.6k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$1.07k	$4.67k	$1.46k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	-0.386	0.084	0.018
Calmar	1.511	1.511	1.511	1.511
Drawdown duration (days)	11.5	11.5	11.5	11.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	78%	71%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	100%	100%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	100%	100%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	3	4
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	89	763
Unique markets	0	0	6	24
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	43%	6%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	0.458	0.683
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	0.242	0.138
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	32%	20%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	14.5	155.0
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	4.7	44.6
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	5	17
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	1.15	0.38
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	75%	47%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	0%	42%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	67%	75%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	0.2101	0.1436
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	0.1574	0.1332
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	0.634	0.393
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	$-0	$-693
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	-0.0%	-5.5%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0892	0.0892	0.0892	0.0892
Alpha ($)	$-78	$-78	$-78	$-78
Alpha ROI gap	-2.7%	-2.7%	-2.7%	-2.7%
Contrarian score	-0.112	-0.112	-0.112	-0.112
Post-fill drift	0.0321	0.0321	0.0321	0.0321
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.9	5.9	5.9	5.9
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 56.1%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 52.3%
Scalper: 50.4%
Tilted Gambler: 50.0%
Contrarian Fader: 42.4%

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0xb8e3…aaf2

0xb8e32d575b8d360f90bcc95596e9a0bee444aaf2

News SniperGrade Carchetypes-v1

Secondary: Early-Bird Forecaster

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 75 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.39 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 44.6 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Early-Bird Forecaster, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$1.13k

N/A

Realized PnL

$13.5k

$14.9k

Win rate

N/A

100%

ROI

N/A

87%

53%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

-0.433

0.104

0.037

Markets

Best day

$1.61k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$4.51k

$2.97k

Median trade PnL

N/A

$2.18k

$1.31k

Payoff ratio

N/A

Largest win

N/A

$10.6k

Largest loss

N/A

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$1.07k

$4.67k

$1.46k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

-0.386

0.084

0.018

Calmar

1.511

Drawdown duration (days)

11.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

78%

71%

Concentration top-5

N/A

100%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

763

Unique markets

Active days ratio

N/A

43%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.458

0.683

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.242

0.138

Maker share (notional)

N/A

32%

20%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

14.5

155.0

Holding time median (h)

N/A

4.7

44.6

Max concurrent

N/A

Disposition ratio

N/A

1.15

0.38

Add-to-winner share

N/A

75%

47%

Average-down share

N/A

42%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

67%

75%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2101

0.1436

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.1574

0.1332

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.634

0.393

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$-0

$-693

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

-0.0%

-5.5%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0892

Alpha ($)

$-78

Alpha ROI gap

-2.7%

Contrarian score

-0.112

Post-fill drift

0.0321

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.9

Post-fill observations

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xd6a5a44e…	$10.6k	$9.4k	112.8%
0xd8b0ecf3…	$2.18k	$3.67k	59.5%
0x306d10d4…	$1.31k	$12.5k	10.5%
0x90c6511d…	$761	$2.57k	29.6%
0x10dc09c7…	$0	$0	0.0%

0xb8e3…aaf2

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

0xb8e3…aaf2

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week

Sports	$10.6k	100%	1
Tennis	$2.18k	100%	1
Trump	$1.31k	100%	1
Politics	$761	100%	1
Gaza	$0	N/A	0