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0xb8a7…7674
0xb8a717fed80eab7258a9ff6ba9961908691d7674
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 1.98 and disposition ratio 55.19, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 41.8), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:02:47 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-8.83k
Open PnL
$-91.9k
Max drawdown
$114k
Underwater days
84
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.78k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.67k | $-3.03k | $-5.55k | $85.6k |
| Win rate | 100% | 75% | 44% | 65% |
| ROI | 16% | -9% | -5% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.343 | -0.263 | -0.008 |
| Markets | 1 | 5 | 17 | 102 |
| Best day | $1.72k | $1.72k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.35 | 0.32 | 5.93 |
| Mean trade PnL | $556 | $-759 | $-347 | $864 |
| Median trade PnL | $353 | $242 | $-42 | $27 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.12 | 0.42 | 3.24 |
| Largest win | $1.18k | $1.18k | $1.18k | $16.6k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-4.7k | $-4.7k | $-4.7k |
| Expectancy | $556 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $711 | $5.1k | $4.07k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.467 | -0.126 | -0.005 |
| Calmar | -0.077 | -0.077 | -0.077 | -0.077 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 45.5 | 45.5 | 45.5 | 45.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 71% | 74% | 43% | 14% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 81% | 49% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 96% | 67% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1 | 40 | 86 | 1003 |
| Unique markets | 1 | 5 | 17 | 102 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 57% | 30% | 26% |
| Avg entry price | 0.817 | 0.826 | 0.845 | 0.853 |
| Portfolio HHI | 1.000 | 0.710 | 0.155 | 0.052 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 6% | 3% | 10% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 3.6 | 19.4 | 21.4 | 218.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 3.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 96.7 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 4 | 9 | 62 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.07 | 0.02 | 55.19 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 86% | 88% | 74% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 14% | 8% | 24% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 75% | 43% | 63% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0214 | 0.0743 | 0.0564 | 0.0264 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0162 | 0.0362 | 0.0376 | 0.1267 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.987 | 0.784 | 0.580 | 0.645 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-3.94k | $-2.39k | $-797 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -16.0% | -15.7% | -0.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0113 | 0.0113 | 0.0113 | 0.0113 |
| Alpha ($) | $812 | $812 | $812 | $812 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Contrarian score | 0.134 | 0.134 | 0.134 | 0.134 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0021 | -0.0021 | -0.0021 | -0.0021 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Post-fill observations | 284 |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 79.7%
- News Sniper: 49.7%
- Scalper: 46.7%
- Conviction Holder: 40.9%
- Favorite Grinder: 32.0%