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0xb7aba0e44edb6773c3b3a8308aae8a24781fa2d1
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.29 of market life) and 94% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (109.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:00:35 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.15k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.33k | $6.58k | $20.8k | $44.9k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| ROI | 67% | 94% | 58% | 81% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.483 | 0.102 | 0.092 |
| Markets | 0 | 3 | 11 | 34 |
| Best day | $1.15k | $5.25k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.33k | $3.29k | $2.97k | $2.14k |
| Median trade PnL | $1.33k | $3.29k | $3.5k | $1.25k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Largest win | $1.33k | $5.25k | $5.25k | $8.48k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Expectancy | $1.33k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.95k | $6.09k | $4.22k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.043 | 0.053 |
| Calmar | 1.363 | 1.363 | 1.363 | 1.363 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 80% | 25% | 19% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 92% | 67% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 87% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 2 | 7 | 21 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 3 | 11 | 109 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 3 | 11 | 34 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 75% | 26% | 27% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.515 | 0.598 | 0.555 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 0.591 | 0.215 | 0.085 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 17.4 | 11.9 | 19.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 9.3 | 7.1 | 11.6 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 3 | 11 | 32 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 7.56 | 0.97 | 1.77 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 100% | 100% | 94% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1600 | 0.2331 | 0.1281 | 0.1867 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1600 | 0.2112 | 0.1690 | 0.2481 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.698 | 0.484 | 0.287 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.3985 | -0.3985 | -0.3985 | -0.3985 |
| Alpha ($) | $-38 | $-38 | $-38 | $-38 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -6.9% | -6.9% | -6.9% | -6.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.551 | 0.551 | 0.551 | 0.551 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0286 | -0.0286 | -0.0286 | -0.0286 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $21.7k |
| $21.7k |
| Worst day | $1.15k | $-3 | $-20.6k | $-20.6k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $3.29k |
| $2.97k |
| $2.14k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 10% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 49% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% | 40% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 3.00 | 11.00 | 109.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $2.33k | $3.44k | $660 |
| Median ticket | N/A | $2k | $1.99k | $45 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -0.50 | -1.43 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $28.8k | 100% | 15 |
| Sports | $15.9k | 100% | 5 |
| uncategorized | $205 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2b150ab0… | $8.48k | $3.64k | 233.3% |
| 0x9acea27b… | $7.11k | $7.63k | 93.2% |
| 0x6813f094… | $5.25k | $5k | 105.0% |
| 0xfffe245e… | $4.97k | $12.8k | 38.9% |
| 0x411dacd2… | $4.1k | $5.43k | 75.4% |
| 0xd6955b92… | $3.5k | $9k | 38.9% |
| 0x81e812ef… | $1.85k | $1.63k | 113.2% |
| 0xe433fb5a… | $1.35k | $1.27k | 105.8% |
| 0xb8d1db7f… | $1.33k | $2k | 66.7% |
| 0xc0759881… | $1.29k | $1k | 128.9% |
| 0x71e51f1a… | $1.25k | $1.54k | 81.2% |
| 0xd3bac601… | $877 | $452 | 194.1% |
| 0x7ccef3c8… | $854 | $1k | 85.4% |
| 0xeb7ee865… | $784 | $816 | 96.1% |
| 0x0c23d940… | $583 | $320 | 182.5% |
| 108 |
| 108 |
| 108 |
| 108 |