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0xb66582886125a2a2ea966f1ea60ea60b6ecabf8f
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
97% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (83%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.57).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:58:07 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $3.54k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $320 | $27.9k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 83% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 8% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.924 | -0.221 | 0.073 |
| Markets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| Best day | $1.94k | $1.94k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.87 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $320 | $1.55k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $320 | $468 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.57 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $320 | $13.4k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-8.61k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.29k | $2.76k | $3.48k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.542 | -0.159 | 0.080 |
| Calmar | 1.490 | 1.490 | 1.490 | 1.490 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 23% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 77% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 96% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 30 | 35 | 73 | 2612 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 57% | 44% | 31% |
| Avg entry price | 0.930 | 0.873 | 0.892 | 0.861 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.501 | 0.500 | 0.346 | 0.113 |
| Maker share (notional) | 99% | 47% | 8% | 24% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 14.6 | 85.4 | 245.3 | 180.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 14.6 | 71.5 | 191.5 | 18.7 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.31 | 71.19 |
| Add-to-winner share | 35% | 0% | 37% | 78% |
| Average-down share | 59% | 100% | 37% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 100% | 39% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0056 | 0.0018 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0056 | 0.0043 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.607 | 0.606 | 0.614 | 0.611 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-18 | $-1.14k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -0.4% | 5.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0180 | 0.0180 | 0.0180 | 0.0180 |
| Alpha ($) | $-244 | $-244 | $-244 | $-244 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -15.8% | -15.8% | -15.8% | -15.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.108 | 0.108 | 0.108 | 0.108 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0000 | -0.0000 | -0.0000 | -0.0000 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $4.17k |
| $22.6k |
| Worst day | $1.94k | $-6.83k | $-6.83k | $-9.69k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $320 |
| $1.55k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 50% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67% | 3% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 92% | 97% |
| 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | 0.0000 | -0.0631 | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 30.00 | 35.00 | 73.00 | 2612.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 17.69 | 1.76 |
| Avg ticket | $59 | $105 | $1.01k | $1.06k |
| Median ticket | $5 | $10 | $78 | $1 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 5.70 | -14.35 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 1.06 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| fomc | $17.2k | 100% | 3 |
| Reza Pahlavi | $7.96k | 50% | 2 |
| Israel | $2.14k | 100% | 4 |
| Iran Regime | $572 | 100% | 2 |
| Parent For Derivative | $-560 | 60% | 5 |
| Trade War | $402 | 100% | 1 |
| Geopolitics | $181 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe93c89c4… | $13.4k | $266k | 5.0% |
| 0x61ce3773… | $9.82k | $238k | 4.1% |
| 0xdb1ae961… | $-8.61k | $8.61k | -100.0% |
| 0x61b66d02… | $8.01k | $215k | 3.7% |
| 0x257b1820… | $4.47k | $272k | 1.6% |
| 0x46d40e85… | $-4.43k | $269k | -1.6% |
| 0xde04b189… | $2.47k | $92.6k | 2.7% |
| 0xe443dab9… | $-1.86k | $34.7k | -5.4% |
| 0x36e8ca24… | $1.34k | $124k | 1.1% |
| 0x22fe0f99… | $937 | $7.94k | 11.8% |
| 0x680c54c8… | $612 | $14.7k | 4.2% |
| 0x101d521e… | $534 | $10.8k | 5.0% |
| 0x65f204a8… | $402 | $2.58k | 15.6% |
| 0x6897736d… | $320 | $4.17k | 7.7% |
| 0xa1d97efb… | $253 | $3.73k | 6.8% |
| 2609 |
| 2609 |
| 2609 |
| 2609 |