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0xb595d09ce5bbc4d39e3b3d04e80c402d2c8d5922
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
96% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (99%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.08).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:55:44 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.57k | N/A | $52.6k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $4.58k | $10.8k | $86.3k | $130k |
| Win rate | 98% | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| ROI | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.102 | 1.124 | 0.460 |
| Markets | 245 | 1338 | 5822 | 24905 |
| Best day | $2.62k | $5.31k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 22.21 | 2.34 | 10.29 | 13.86 |
| Mean trade PnL | $16 | $8 | $15 | $13 |
| Median trade PnL | $1 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.49 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Largest win | $492 | $1.11k | $6.35k | $6.35k |
| Largest loss | $-180 | $-6.43k | $-6.43k | $-6.43k |
| Expectancy | $16 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.14k | $2.54k | $3.39k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.793 | 0.247 |
| Calmar | 10.845 | 10.845 | 10.845 | 10.845 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 10% | 24% | 6% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 35% | 34% | 22% | 15% |
| Concentration top-10 | 51% | 40% | 30% | 23% |
| Max win streak | 132 | 548 | 2117 | 2117 |
| Max loss streak | 3 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 445 | 2329 | 11086 | 59416 |
| Unique markets | 245 | 1338 | 5822 | 24905 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.954 | 0.968 | 0.957 | 0.963 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.035 | 0.009 | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 56% | 50% | 56% | 59% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| Max concurrent | 182 | 1005 | 4458 | 15048 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.53 | 0.33 |
| Add-to-winner share | 48% | 52% | 35% | 32% |
| Average-down share | 22% | 28% | 29% | 25% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.77 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 74% | 75% | 77% | 64% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0030 | 0.0085 | 0.0040 | 0.0033 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0250 | 0.0135 | 0.0059 | 0.0044 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.753 | 0.530 | 0.304 | 0.246 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-1 | $-1 | $-1 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -24.9% | -5.9% | -3.4% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0196 | -0.0196 | -0.0196 | -0.0196 |
| Alpha ($) | $-302 | $-302 | $-302 | $-302 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -54.3% | -54.3% | -54.3% | -54.3% |
| Contrarian score | -0.118 | -0.118 | -0.118 | -0.118 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0071 | -0.0071 | -0.0071 | -0.0071 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 4.19e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $7.98k |
| $14.7k |
| Worst day | $2.62k | $-1.53k | $-4.84k | $-24k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $8 |
| $15 |
| $13 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 100% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 60% | 63% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 82% | 62% | 61% | 0% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 82% | 89% | 89% | 89% | 4% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 99% | 100% | 100% | 96% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | 0.0189 | 0.0104 | 0.0097 | 0.0196 |
| Inventory turnover | 445.00 | 2329.00 | 11086.00 | 59416.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.87 | 1.04 | 1.02 | 2.81 |
| Avg ticket | $346 | $424 | $365 | $283 |
| Median ticket | $56 | $50 | $48 | $32 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -344.40 | -582.97 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.49 |
| 0.48 |
| 0.52 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Tennis | $84.1k | 100% | 5736 |
| Sports | $28.8k | 99% | 3397 |
| Esports | $17.1k | 100% | 806 |
| uncategorized | $165 | 100% | 38 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x88a946b2… | $-6.39k | $9.19k | -69.5% |
| 0x0d12b69f… | $6.35k | $5.55k | 114.5% |
| 0x0e8f20ce… | $3.46k | $25.5k | 13.5% |
| 0x7848707d… | $3.29k | $25.7k | 12.8% |
| 0xff155b0c… | $3.25k | $20.6k | 15.7% |
| 0x7d86aec5… | $2.43k | $29.4k | 8.3% |
| 0x4fec729b… | $2.38k | $9.52k | 25.0% |
| 0xb0ba17d1… | $2.26k | $62.7k | 3.6% |
| 0x47e66226… | $2.2k | $26.8k | 8.2% |
| 0x9c21cf3f… | $1.97k | $10k | 19.6% |
| 0x111077c0… | $1.77k | $4.23k | 41.9% |
| 0xffb691b8… | $1.75k | $2.14k | 81.8% |
| 0x5750f841… | $1.69k | $27.3k | 6.2% |
| 0xe7ff1dfc… | $1.6k | $10.2k | 15.7% |
| 0xe2bef86e… | $1.45k | $16k | 9.1% |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 9 |