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0xb589734f08a5b12a7b6f30b782a5deeace3f91e3
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 1 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.94 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 0.2 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:58:05 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.6k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $11.2k | $37.6k | $60.9k | $256k |
| Win rate | 100% | 88% | 87% | 72% |
| ROI | 69% | 56% | 39% | 49% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.594 | 0.160 | -0.004 |
| Markets | 8 | 33 | 71 | 358 |
| Best day | $0 | $8.79k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 34.39 | 12.25 | 4.21 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2.24k | $1.57k | $1.15k | $983 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.95k | $1.13k | $1.02k | $537 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 4.91 | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Largest win | $3.87k | $4.84k | $4.84k | $11.5k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-825 | $-1.64k | $-3.48k |
| Expectancy | $2.24k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $4.44k | $3.04k | $4.25k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.156 | -0.004 |
| Calmar | -0.050 | -0.050 | -0.050 | -0.050 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 59.5 | 59.5 | 59.5 | 59.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 35% | 12% | 7% | 3% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 49% | 27% | 11% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 77% | 47% | 19% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 18 | 18 | 24 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 2 | 39 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 61 | 349 | 916 | 4557 |
| Unique markets | 8 | 33 | 71 | 358 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 82% | 55% |
| Avg entry price | 0.641 | 0.608 | 0.624 | 0.526 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.220 | 0.046 | 0.025 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 65% | 69% | 64% | 74% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 21 | 47 | 173 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.83 | 0.97 | 0.95 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 20% | 85% | 80% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 80% | 15% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 57% | 63% | 46% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1819 | 0.1574 | 0.1484 | 0.1924 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1616 | 0.2244 | 0.2017 | 0.2061 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.882 | 0.793 | 0.859 | 0.936 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-343 | $-343 | $156 | $15 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -8.7% | -14.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1660 | 0.1660 | 0.1660 | 0.1660 |
| Alpha ($) | $146 | $146 | $146 | $146 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.055 | -0.055 | -0.055 | -0.055 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1642 | 0.1642 | 0.1642 | 0.1642 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 5.70e-4; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $8.79k |
| $21.9k |
| Worst day | $0 | $-2.82k | $-5.41k | $-18.5k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.57k |
| $1.15k |
| $983 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 100% |
| 67% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 80% | 78% | 51% | 28% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 75% | 76% | 72% | 25% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 92% | 95% | 93% | 41% |
| >0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 6% |
| 3% |
| 6% |
| 6% |
| Spread capture | -0.1606 | -0.0709 | -0.0708 | -0.0571 |
| Inventory turnover | 61.00 | 349.00 | 916.00 | 4557.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.09 | 2.06 | 2.15 | 2.29 |
| Avg ticket | $557 | $399 | $366 | $265 |
| Median ticket | $75 | $70 | $42 | $32 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -74.60 | 14.11 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1.62 |
| 1.69 |
| 0.65 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Esports | $252k | 71% | 259 |
| Sports | $4.84k | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8c23c9a7… | $11.5k | $4.97k | 231.0% |
| 0x3231d0cd… | $10.7k | $3.99k | 266.7% |
| 0x5a46c8df… | $8.91k | $1.87k | 475.7% |
| 0x50b2a7c6… | $8.07k | $2.4k | 336.2% |
| 0x172c084e… | $7.27k | $4k | 181.7% |
| 0x044205f2… | $7.24k | $1.11k | 652.0% |
| 0xf1902c70… | $7.12k | $2.14k | 332.4% |
| 0x1c268a0b… | $6.98k | $5.49k | 127.3% |
| 0xbd55c0aa… | $6.57k | $2k | 328.8% |
| 0xd43f2457… | $6.23k | $4k | 155.8% |
| 0x2608e9d7… | $5.85k | $4.19k | 139.7% |
| 0x5fecb1e5… | $5.6k | $1.22k | 458.5% |
| 0x16411488… | $5.53k | $3.08k | 179.3% |
| 0x71137f41… | $5.13k | $3.99k | 128.4% |
| 0x065e2afa… | $4.93k | $3.95k | 124.7% |
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