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0xb45a797faa52b0fd8adc56d30382022b7b12192c
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 28.88 and disposition ratio 0.71, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 470.7), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:09:52 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $69k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $601k | $740k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 47% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 64% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.440 | -0.179 | -0.045 |
| Markets | 0 | 1 | 41 | 724 |
| Best day | $0 | $12 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.02 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $31.6k | $338 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $13.2k | $-120 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.17 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $155k | $385k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-303k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5 | $70.4k | $196k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.090 | -0.044 |
| Calmar | -0.703 | -0.703 | -0.703 | -0.703 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 197.5 | 197.5 | 197.5 | 197.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 26% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 74% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 93% | 4% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 19 | 60 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 52 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 12 | 3653 | 38168 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 1 | 41 | 724 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 150% | 96% | 99% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.540 | 0.510 | 0.450 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 1.000 | 0.082 | 0.003 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 100% | 99% | 78% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 4.2 | 1.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 4.0 | 0.4 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 4 | 155 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.60 | 0.71 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 45% | 38% | 59% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 55% | 62% | 19% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 8% | 21% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.1435 | 0.2302 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.2463 | 0.2358 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.962 | 0.882 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-13 | $114 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | -3.4% | -0.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0115 | -0.0115 | -0.0115 | -0.0115 |
| Alpha ($) | $-682 | $-682 | $-682 | $-682 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.457 | 0.457 | 0.457 | 0.457 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0115 | -0.0115 | -0.0115 | -0.0115 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.03e-21; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $68.2k |
| $828k |
| Worst day | $0 | $0 | $-281k | $-554k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| $31.6k |
| $338 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 33% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 48% | 73% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 68% | 16% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | -0.0010 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | 12.00 | 3653.00 | 38168.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | 2.18 | 0.44 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | $48 | $560 | $785 |
| Median ticket | N/A | $10 | $11 | $11 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1007.10 | -260.14 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 28.88 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| uncategorized | $422k | 52% | 31 |
| Sports | $303k | 47% | 2141 |
| NFL Playoffs | $15.2k | 25% | 4 |
| Ethereum | $-16 | 29% | 7 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcaaa1338… | $385k | $115k | 334.8% |
| 0x5c0a2b28… | $329k | $134k | 246.4% |
| 0xc0be070b… | $-303k | $303k | -100.0% |
| 0x21cb8838… | $285k | $198k | 143.9% |
| 0x27b9120c… | $261k | $184k | 142.2% |
| 0xeb70d029… | $-261k | $261k | -100.0% |
| 0xe420719a… | $-254k | $254k | -100.0% |
| 0x15d93d47… | $253k | $748k | 33.9% |
| 0x3911f8ff… | $-245k | $245k | -100.0% |
| 0x489fb508… | $-244k | $252k | -96.6% |
| 0xe05d3953… | $-237k | $237k | -100.0% |
| 0xbb8b1046… | $237k | $156k | 152.4% |
| 0x82e64056… | $-231k | $231k | -100.0% |
| 0x1f2b0f97… | $-230k | $230k | -100.0% |
| 0xc71b8b25… | $228k | $151k | 150.5% |
| 928 |
| 928 |
| 928 |
| 928 |