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0xb27b…5b82 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0xb27b…5b82
0xb27bc932bf8110d8f78e55da7d5f0497a18b5b82
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 71% and two-sided activity is 100%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 30794.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (57%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 14:40:47 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $5.08k | N/A | N/A | $768k |
| Realized PnL | $4.6k | $-36.3k | $5.92k | $5.92k |
| Win rate | 52% | 47% | 48% | 48% |
| ROI | 1% | -2% | 0% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.103 | 0.245 | 0.492 |
| Markets | 85 | 85 | 85 | 85 |
| Best day | $6.47k | $6.47k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.09 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Mean trade PnL | $10 | $-13 | $1 | $1 |
| Median trade PnL | $15 | $-25 | $-14 | $-14 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Largest win | $918 | $2.12k | $6.47k | $6.47k |
| Largest loss | $-1.02k | $-2.75k | $-7.78k | $-7.78k |
| Expectancy | $10 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.38k | $8.7k | $11.3k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.133 | 0.366 | 1.178 |
| Calmar | 35.902 | 35.902 | 35.902 | 35.902 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| Max loss streak | 6 | 8 | 11 | 11 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 30794 | 30794 | 30794 | 30794 |
| Unique markets | 85 | 85 | 85 | 85 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.504 | 0.504 | 0.504 | 0.504 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.016 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 71% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Two-sided share | 100% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 67 | 67 | 67 | 67 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Add-to-winner share | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% |
| Average-down share | 39% | 39% | 39% | 39% |
| Tilt ratio | 1.55 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1090 | 0.0954 | 0.1019 | 0.1019 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0814 | 0.0729 | 0.0765 | 0.0765 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 | 0.998 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-37 | $-53 | $-29 | $-29 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 105.1% | 214.4% | 226.9% | 226.9% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0006 | -0.0006 | -0.0006 | -0.0006 |
| Alpha ($) | $-303 | $-303 | $-303 | $-303 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -4379.3% | -4379.3% | -4379.3% | -4379.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.008 | 0.008 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.2300 | 0.2300 | 0.2300 | 0.2300 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| Worst day | $6.47k | $-4.06k | $-13.6k | $-13.6k |
| Spread capture | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 | 0.0018 |
| Inventory turnover | 30794.00 | 30794.00 | 30794.00 | 30794.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.31 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $10.4k | 48% | 9294 |
| Crypto | $-2.44k | 47% | 543 |
| uncategorized | $-2k | 48% | 163 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xdf467409… | $-7.78k | $7.78k | -100.0% |
| 0x22ebb1fd… | $7.49k | $4.93k | 152.0% |
| 0x082c8a87… | $5.2k | $4.21k | 123.6% |
| 0xe0d368a7… | $4.82k | $3.29k | 146.7% |
| 0xd7291fcd… | $-4.62k | $4.62k | -100.0% |
| 0x88bf2b5c… | $-4.56k | $4.56k | -100.0% |
| 0xad06fcb1… | $-4.05k | $4.05k | -100.0% |
| 0x8cdfb908… | $-3.93k | $3.93k | -100.0% |
| 0x0ade7528… | $-3.85k | $3.85k | -100.0% |
| 0x76130ad8… | $3.68k | $5.76k | 64.0% |
| 0xf206ab7e… | $-3.54k | $3.54k | -100.0% |
| 0x01be546a… | $-3.47k | $3.47k | -100.0% |
| 0x6a9c0a19… | $3.42k | $5.37k | 63.7% |
| 0x429bb927… | $3.41k | $1.7k | 200.4% |
| 0x15bdfe36… | $-3.3k | $3.3k | -100.0% |