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0xb21c…3aed
0xb21ccb71b958c8eb0d25f4286592f45c31e43aed
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
83% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (85%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.48).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:48:04 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$84.2k
Open PnL
$-76.7k
Max drawdown
$21k
Underwater days
251
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $44.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $6.43k | $19.6k | $155k | $157k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 89% | 85% |
| ROI | 7% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.079 | 0.385 | 0.097 |
| Markets | 7 | 36 | 124 | 124 |
| Best day | $25 | $9.4k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 2.92 | 2.79 |
| Mean trade PnL | $803 | $783 | $297 | $269 |
| Median trade PnL | $723 | $600 | $162 | $139 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.35 | 0.48 |
| Largest win | $2.2k | $2.8k | $12.8k | $12.8k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-9k | $-9k |
| Expectancy | $803 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $9.61k | $7.17k | $1.98k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.289 | 0.068 |
| Calmar | 4.016 | 4.016 | 4.016 | 4.016 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 34% | 14% | 4% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 94% | 48% | 16% | 15% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 73% | 24% | 23% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 25 | 79 | 79 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 31 | 31 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 176 | 1172 | 4000 | 4000 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 36 | 124 | 124 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 107% | 107% |
| Avg entry price | 0.930 | 0.956 | 0.962 | 0.962 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.193 | 0.052 | 0.013 | 0.013 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 96% | 96% | 96% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.4 | 13.1 | 10.8 | 10.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.3 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 8 | 20 | 20 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 82% | 0% | 0% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 13% | 100% | 100% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 33% | 23% | 16% | 16% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0049 | 0.0045 | 0.0192 | 0.0201 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0040 | 0.0041 | 0.0435 | 0.0607 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.997 | 0.888 | 0.923 | 0.923 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-44 | $-349 | $-27 | $-24 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.5% | -1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0255 | 0.0255 | 0.0255 | 0.0255 |
| Alpha ($) | $-33 | $-33 | $-33 | $-33 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0123 | -0.0123 | -0.0123 | -0.0123 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 84.4%
- Scalper: 56.0%
- News Sniper: 48.7%
- Contrarian Fader: 34.8%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%