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0xafe4272b4fb0bcc1d734ee2cdec3e78cdc94f3f7
Secondary: Tilted Gambler
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 6289 with median hold 0.7 hours, maker share only 40%.
Capital velocity 2.1 and held-to-resolution 62% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:44:52 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $43.7k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $7.55k | $50.7k | $195k | $580k |
| Win rate | 100% | 95% | 93% | 96% |
| ROI | 90% | 105% | 99% | 111% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.205 | 0.090 | 0.090 |
| Markets | 12 | 43 | 155 | 467 |
| Best day | $-5.14k | $27k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 102.45 | 19.83 | 25.77 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.89k | $2.31k | $2.61k | $2.46k |
| Median trade PnL | $1.62k | $1.62k | $1.41k | $1.51k |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 4.88 | 1.42 | 1.14 |
| Largest win | $3.9k | $9.24k | $23.3k | $23.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-500 | $-7.17k | $-7.17k |
| Expectancy | $1.89k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $12.4k | $10.9k | $7.6k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.340 | 0.133 | 0.108 |
| Calmar | 1.135 | 1.135 | 1.135 | 1.135 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 52% | 19% | 11% | 4% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 57% | 35% | 14% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 86% | 51% | 22% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 15 | 28 | 112 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 60 | 767 | 2465 | 6289 |
| Unique markets | 12 | 43 | 155 | 467 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 100% | 88% |
| Avg entry price | 0.294 | 0.320 | 0.323 | 0.354 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.140 | 0.037 | 0.015 | 0.004 |
| Maker share (notional) | 10% | 53% | 47% | 40% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 6.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 4.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Max concurrent | 12 | 21 | 90 | 292 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.96 | 2.56 | 3.28 | 1.59 |
| Add-to-winner share | 14% | 41% | 71% | 66% |
| Average-down share | 29% | 34% | 20% | 21% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 48% | 56% | 62% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2225 | 0.2531 | 0.2472 | 0.2685 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2274 | 0.2525 | 0.2663 | 0.2758 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.919 | 0.927 | 0.831 | 0.699 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $111 | $33 | $25 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0018 | -0.0018 | -0.0018 | -0.0018 |
| Alpha ($) | $-29 | $-29 | $-29 | $-29 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.617 | 0.617 | 0.617 | 0.617 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0047 | 0.0047 | 0.0047 | 0.0047 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.02e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $34.9k |
| $34.9k |
| Worst day | $-5.14k | $-11k | $-13.4k | $-21.3k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $2.31k |
| $2.61k |
| $2.46k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | 100% | 84% | 89% | 23% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 99% | 65% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 100% | 12% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 0% |
| 2% |
| 3% |
| 2% |
| Spread capture | N/A | -0.0138 | -0.0110 | 0.0107 |
| Inventory turnover | 60.00 | 767.00 | 2465.00 | 6289.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.82 | 2.49 | 2.13 | 2.10 |
| Avg ticket | $397 | $156 | $171 | $175 |
| Median ticket | $27 | $10 | $7 | $7 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -33.10 | 17.33 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.09 |
| 3.73 |
| 2.50 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $580k | 96% | 236 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe40f10ac… | $23.3k | $30.8k | 75.4% |
| 0x49ad2021… | $18.2k | $5.74k | 316.4% |
| 0xc4ab290e… | $16.1k | $2.4k | 669.2% |
| 0xba0e7ea7… | $15.7k | $2.34k | 669.2% |
| 0x1fb57280… | $13.9k | $15.4k | 89.8% |
| 0x21a3b5f6… | $11.7k | $2.4k | 487.7% |
| 0x8246b715… | $10.4k | $7.58k | 137.5% |
| 0x31771980… | $10.4k | $5.85k | 177.8% |
| 0xae07bcca… | $8.74k | $5.05k | 173.1% |
| 0x83616fcd… | $8.69k | $2.31k | 376.2% |
| 0x912f2dc8… | $8.46k | $4.45k | 190.2% |
| 0x7eb999f6… | $8.44k | $2.93k | 288.3% |
| 0xbf3706ab… | $8.41k | $3.21k | 261.8% |
| 0x6263524a… | $8.07k | $4.16k | 194.1% |
| 0x437b35f6… | $7.92k | $4.08k | 194.1% |
| 560 |
| 560 |
| 560 |
| 560 |