0xaf0f3a3f50fe55a9f963a2e88d3ecfca7fe73f10
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.
Weekly activity shows 2 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.99 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).
Holds stay short (median 2.3 hours), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:44:26 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.42k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.72k | $751 | $-12k | $-15.7k |
| Win rate | 75% | 60% | 41% | 40% |
| ROI | 45% | 5% | -17% | -16% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.050 | -0.124 | -0.138 |
| Markets | 4 | 9 | 77 | 121 |
| Best day | $1.37k | $1.82k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 3.72 | 1.15 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Mean trade PnL | $679 | $75 | $-152 | $-130 |
| Median trade PnL | $1.15k | $483 | $-250 | $-215 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.24 | 0.77 | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Largest win | $1.42k | $1.42k | $5.03k | $5.03k |
| Largest loss | $-1k | $-1.74k | $-3.78k | $-3.78k |
| Expectancy | $679 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1.91k | $1.99k | $1.27k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | -0.111 | -0.099 |
| Calmar | -0.739 | -0.739 | -0.739 | -0.739 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 | 70.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 30% | 17% | 7% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 67% | 25% | 18% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 36% | 27% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 6 | 13 | 111 | 176 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 9 | 77 | 121 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 80% | 77% | 45% |
| Avg entry price | 0.507 | 0.418 | 0.417 | 0.118 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.282 | 0.132 | 0.020 | 0.015 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 21.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Max concurrent | 2 | 5 | 44 | 72 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.84 | 0.36 | 0.69 | 0.84 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 56% | 57% | 60% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1630 | 0.1311 | 0.1899 | 0.1963 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1935 | 0.1685 | 0.2148 | 0.2134 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.996 | 0.994 | 0.994 | 0.990 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-1 | $307 | $33 | $22 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.1% | 10.1% | -0.3% | -0.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0252 | -0.0252 | -0.0252 | -0.0252 |
| Alpha ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| Contrarian score | -0.153 | -0.153 | -0.153 | -0.153 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0301 | -0.0301 | -0.0301 | -0.0301 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $4.93k |
| $4.93k |
| Worst day | $1.37k | $-3.86k | $-4.13k | $-4.13k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $75 |
| $-152 |
| $-130 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| 100% |
| 25% |
| 20% |
| 10% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 20% | 29% | 26% | 27% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 100% | 47% | 47% | 54% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 75% | 86% | 9% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 6.00 | 13.00 | 111.00 | 176.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.71 | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.58 |
| Avg ticket | $1.72k | $1.47k | $877 | $858 |
| Median ticket | $1.49k | $1.5k | $700 | $625 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -6.70 | 1.90 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 0.81 |
| 0.97 |
| 0.98 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-18.2k | 39% | 119 |
| Soccer | $1.85k | 100% | 1 |
| Nate Diaz | $641 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1cbfc85e… | $5.03k | $2.75k | 182.8% |
| 0x0189df05… | $-3.78k | $3.78k | -100.0% |
| 0x744df2cb… | $-3k | $3k | -100.0% |
| 0x106ccc45… | $-3k | $3k | -100.0% |
| 0xa1b2aedf… | $-2.5k | $2.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x17a81ab0… | $-2k | $2k | -100.0% |
| 0x6e9f90a6… | $1.85k | $2.09k | 88.5% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $-1.74k | $1.74k | -100.0% |
| 0xc34c1e1c… | $1.53k | $994 | 153.8% |
| 0x48880e33… | $-1.5k | $1.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x8e044952… | $-1.5k | $1.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x20fac1c9… | $-1.5k | $1.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x8a8c6632… | $1.44k | $1k | 143.9% |
| 0x029737e7… | $1.42k | $3.02k | 47.1% |
| 0x2c37e07b… | $1.4k | $500 | 280.0% |
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