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0xadfa…324e
0xadfaada4a21c0b3d5c6459f2374d1e3dfd43324e
Tilted GamblerGrade Farchetypes-v1
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 3.54 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 81.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:46:23 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-69.2k
Open PnL
$-89.6k
Max drawdown
$227k
Underwater days
112
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $34.4k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $9.12k | $35.7k | $-78.9k | $20.4k |
| Win rate | 100% | 100% | 49% | 50% |
| ROI | 61% | 95% | -7% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.529 | 0.002 | -0.034 |
| Markets | 2 | 16 | 247 | 1443 |
| Best day | $102 | $24.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Mean trade PnL | $4.56k | $5.1k | $-299 | $14 |
| Median trade PnL | $4.56k | $5.52k | $-40 | $0 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| Largest win | $5.28k | $7.32k | $10.3k | $14.7k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-16.1k | $-18k |
| Expectancy | $4.56k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $9.3k | $13.4k | $15k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.002 | -0.030 |
| Calmar | -0.304 | -0.304 | -0.304 | -0.304 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 111.5 | 111.5 | 111.5 | 111.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 58% | 21% | 2% | 0% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 88% | 7% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 12% | 3% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 7 | 21 | 32 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 42 | 100 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 13 | 338 | 6177 | 25104 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 16 | 247 | 1443 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 86% | 93% | 96% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.405 | 0.476 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.505 | 0.074 | 0.006 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 100% | 100% | 98% | 93% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 6.8 | 9.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 9 | 106 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 0.10 | 0.28 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 41% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 39% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 0% | 2% | 7% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1436 | 0.2288 | 0.2371 | 0.2396 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1480 | 0.2266 | 0.2244 | 0.2356 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.922 | 0.799 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $21 | $-7 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1136 | -0.1136 | -0.1136 | -0.1136 |
| Alpha ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -30.8% | -30.8% | -30.8% | -30.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 | -0.173 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1298 | -0.1298 | -0.1298 | -0.1298 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
- Scalper: 66.1%
- News Sniper: 50.9%
- Contrarian Fader: 39.5%
- Longshot Hunter: 15.1%