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0xacd9…3d87
0xacd943c52e0ba8efcabfeaddfa3ca17c1a5a3d87
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
79% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (64%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.85).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:43:27 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$458k
Open PnL
$0
Max drawdown
$17.1k
Underwater days
492
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $458k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $459k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 64% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.101 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 363 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.48 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $944 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $19 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.85 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $439k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-47.7k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5.29k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.194 |
| Calmar | 18.667 | 18.667 | 18.667 | 18.667 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 33% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 41% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 25 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 13 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9401 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 363 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 48% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.740 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.068 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 68% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 260.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 36.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 260 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.58 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 69% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 28% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 65% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0314 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.1078 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.781 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.29k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | 23.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1078 | 0.1078 | 0.1078 | 0.1078 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.58k | $-2.58k | $-2.58k | $-2.58k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -20.9% | -20.9% | -20.9% | -20.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.068 | -0.068 | -0.068 | -0.068 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0046 | -0.0046 | -0.0046 | -0.0046 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 65.7%
- News Sniper: 57.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 45.2%
- Scalper: 39.5%
- Conviction Holder: 34.0%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 4.42e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x8afc47b527… entry 0.134 timing 0.19
- 0x6e857650c5… entry 0.130
- 0xc1dfae9ff4… entry 0.258
- 0x3a88ec8286… entry 0.199 timing 0.09
- 0x2155999848… entry 0.033 timing 0.25
- 0x0e7f99d1ec… entry 0.150