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0xac4a1fabdac2438d6afa2a9e8e83845310a0bf1e
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.80 and disposition ratio 1.51, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 27.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:02:44 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.5k | $33.6k | $61.5k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $3.28k | $21.5k | $120k | $260k |
| Win rate | 64% | 61% | 53% | 48% |
| ROI | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.777 | 0.417 | 0.437 |
| Markets | 155 | 405 | 1586 | 1977 |
| Best day | $1.49k | $17.8k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.19 | 1.57 | 1.76 | 1.47 |
| Mean trade PnL | $36 | $88 | $116 | $51 |
| Median trade PnL | $16 | $17 | $0 | $-0 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.67 | 0.98 | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Largest win | $9.42k | $9.42k | $19k | $39.4k |
| Largest loss | $-4.64k | $-5.32k | $-8.57k | $-31.7k |
| Expectancy | $36 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.16k | $4.63k | $6.22k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.502 | 0.429 |
| Calmar | 12.115 | 12.115 | 12.115 | 12.115 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 24% | 10% | 5% | 5% |
| Concentration top-5 | 60% | 32% | 19% | 13% |
| Concentration top-10 | 75% | 45% | 31% | 20% |
| Max win streak | 8 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| Max loss streak | 4 | 5 | 15 | 21 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 732 | 3240 | 37413 | 63636 |
| Unique markets | 155 | 405 | 1586 | 1977 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.332 | 0.363 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.067 | 0.023 | 0.007 | 0.008 |
| Maker share (notional) | 80% | 87% | 93% | 94% |
| Two-sided share | 22% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 64.4 | 60.2 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 20.4 | 14.2 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 1071 | 1403 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.60 | 1.51 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 61% | 58% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 36% | 39% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.83 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 0% | 62% | 66% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2238 | 0.0706 | 0.0547 | 0.0536 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3681 | 0.1933 | 0.1173 | 0.1036 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.593 | 0.612 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-207 | $-417 | $-187 | $-177 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -7.2% | 187.4% | 82.8% | 85.0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0150 | 0.0150 | 0.0150 | 0.0150 |
| Alpha ($) | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.066 | -0.066 | -0.066 | -0.066 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0154 | -0.0154 | -0.0154 | -0.0154 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations | 3442 |
| $17.8k |
| $21.8k |
| Worst day | $1.49k | $-1.04k | $-6.73k | $-18.2k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $88 |
| $116 |
| $51 |
| <0.10 |
| 86% |
| 88% |
| 62% |
| 43% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 94% | 67% | 64% | 8% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 64% | 63% | 63% | 61% | 6% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 15% | 27% | 37% | 36% | 45% |
| >0.90 | 25% | 21% | 28% | 32% | 39% |
| 39% |
| 32% |
| 33% |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | -0.0046 | -0.0038 |
| Inventory turnover | 732.00 | 3240.00 | 37413.00 | 63636.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.52 | 0.99 | 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Avg ticket | $109 | $120 | $55 | $59 |
| Median ticket | $20 | $28 | $9 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -3792.20 | -5534.51 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.11 |
| 1.33 |
| 4.80 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Iran | $46.2k | 49% | 333 |
| Culture | $42.3k | 48% | 599 |
| Politics | $36.6k | 50% | 903 |
| Peru | $14.4k | 38% | 24 |
| Colombia Election | $14k | 82% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | $11.3k | 43% | 237 |
| Oil | $11.1k | 55% | 71 |
| Finance | $10.5k | 53% | 211 |
| South Korea Elections | $9.94k | 67% | 3 |
| Tech | $-9k | 45% | 83 |
| Trump | $8.77k | 38% | 277 |
| California Midterm | $8.65k | 67% | 6 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x876047c0… | $-19k | $58k | -32.7% |
| 0xa6e388d8… | $11.5k | $47.2k | 24.4% |
| 0x291ff8aa… | $10.6k | $60.8k | 17.4% |
| 0xd3990526… | $9.55k | $6.93k | 137.8% |
| 0x4ba34832… | $-9.44k | $57.8k | -16.3% |
| 0x0ff22cf1… | $9.42k | $11.3k | 83.2% |
| 0x330d5053… | $8.38k | $2.49k | 337.2% |
| 0x8b08f0f9… | $8.21k | $19.1k | 42.9% |
| 0xd86a8160… | $7.68k | $305k | 2.5% |
| 0xc4c3dbcc… | $7.65k | $29.8k | 25.6% |
| 0x16608c4f… | $6.63k | $37.1k | 17.9% |
| 0xb611b3a7… | $6.63k | $24k | 27.7% |
| 0xab1209b7… | $6.6k | $15.2k | 43.3% |
| 0x6105f134… | $6.17k | $1.59k | 388.5% |
| 0xc587bda9… | $5.78k | $21.7k | 26.6% |
| 3442 |
| 3442 |
| 3442 |