0xac47…d234

0xac4773707daddd3792efed5a91f5ec7651a7d234

Tilted GamblerGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 4.20 and disposition ratio 0.01, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 141.4), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 12:44:25 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$-200k

Open PnL

Max drawdown

$402k

Underwater days

142

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$34.4k	$131k	N/A
Realized PnL	$0	$73.4k	$-41.6k	$-200k
Win rate	N/A	67%	30%	40%
ROI	N/A	129%	-5%	-4%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	0.369	-0.019	-0.035
Markets	0	7	145	596
Best day	N/A	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	735.36	0.91	0.92
Mean trade PnL	N/A	$24.5k	$-327	$-329
Median trade PnL	N/A	$20.9k	$-50	$-40
Payoff ratio	N/A	367.68	2.10	1.38
Largest win	N/A	$52.6k	$61.5k	$65.4k
Largest loss	N/A	$-100	$-49.3k	$-73.9k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	$36.4k	$25.2k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	0.490	-0.016	-0.032
Calmar	-0.496	-0.496	-0.496	-0.496
Drawdown duration (days)	141.5	141.5	141.5	141.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	71%	7%	2%
Concentration top-5	N/A	100%	30%	7%
Concentration top-10	N/A	100%	51%	13%
Max win streak	N/A	2	5	14
Max loss streak	N/A	6	18	18

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	9	877	10440
Unique markets	0	7	145	596
Active days ratio	N/A	100%	96%	75%
Avg entry price	N/A	0.520	0.209	0.274
Portfolio HHI	N/A	0.270	0.025	0.007
Maker share (notional)	N/A	0%	10%	31%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	20.9	15.3	8.3
Holding time median (h)	N/A	11.0	1.0	0.2
Max concurrent	N/A	7	124	399
Disposition ratio	N/A	0.11	0.14	0.01
Add-to-winner share	N/A	50%	31%	39%
Average-down share	N/A	0%	33%	37%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	100%	86%	66%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	0.2751	0.2320	0.2397
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	0.1344	0.1632	0.1945
Entry timing mean	N/A	0.541	0.860	0.914
Exit quality ($)	N/A	$0	$462	$133
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	0.0%	6.6%	2.4%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.1550	0.1550	0.1550	0.1550
Alpha ($)	$-2	$-2	$-2	$-2
Alpha ROI gap	-8.1%	-8.1%	-8.1%	-8.1%
Contrarian score	-0.299	-0.299	-0.299	-0.299
Post-fill drift	0.2155	0.2155	0.2155	0.2155
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.3	5.3	5.3	5.3
Post-fill observations	709

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Scalper: 68.6%
News Sniper: 59.6%
Contrarian Fader: 45.9%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 25.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.44e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x914abe14ed… entry 0.270 timing 0.45
0xdbbbbd6ea7… entry 0.270 timing 0.12
0x75d555ac2f… entry 0.223 timing 0.94
0x826887e3ac… entry 0.110 timing 0.97
0x889e0fa1c4… entry 0.300 timing 0.83
0x441073d876… entry 0.190 timing 0.82
0x017f79842c… entry 0.190 timing 0.31
0x8765cc2b3c… entry 0.250 timing 0.99
0x187651dbb6… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x40daefad04… entry 0.080 timing 0.98
0x36f93dcdb7… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
0xee119a12bd… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0x6bb8b2483e… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0x639c60e4a7… entry 0.040
0xea3754aba6… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x7dd18710e4… entry 0.250 timing 0.97

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0xac47…d234

0xac4773707daddd3792efed5a91f5ec7651a7d234

Secondary: Scalper

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 4.20 and disposition ratio 0.01, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 141.4), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$34.4k

$131k

N/A

Realized PnL

$73.4k

$-41.6k

$-200k

Win rate

N/A

67%

30%

40%

ROI

N/A

129%

-5%

-4%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

0.369

-0.019

-0.035

Markets

145

596

Best day

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

735.36

0.91

0.92

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$24.5k

$-327

$-329

Median trade PnL

N/A

$20.9k

$-50

$-40

Payoff ratio

N/A

367.68

2.10

1.38

Largest win

N/A

$52.6k

$61.5k

$65.4k

Largest loss

N/A

$-100

$-49.3k

$-73.9k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$36.4k

$25.2k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

0.490

-0.016

-0.032

Calmar

-0.496

Drawdown duration (days)

141.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

71%

Concentration top-5

N/A

100%

30%

Concentration top-10

N/A

100%

51%

13%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

877

10440

Unique markets

145

596

Active days ratio

N/A

100%

96%

75%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.520

0.209

0.274

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.270

0.025

0.007

Maker share (notional)

N/A

10%

31%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

20.9

15.3

8.3

Holding time median (h)

N/A

11.0

1.0

0.2

Max concurrent

N/A

124

399

Disposition ratio

N/A

0.11

0.14

0.01

Add-to-winner share

N/A

50%

31%

39%

Average-down share

N/A

33%

37%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

100%

86%

66%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.2751

0.2320

0.2397

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.1344

0.1632

0.1945

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.541

0.860

0.914

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$462

$133

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

0.0%

6.6%

2.4%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.1550

Alpha ($)

$-2

Alpha ROI gap

-8.1%

Contrarian score

-0.299

Post-fill drift

0.2155

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.3

Post-fill observations

709

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Scalper: 68.6%

News Sniper: 59.6%

Contrarian Fader: 45.9%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 25.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.44e-15; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x914abe14ed… entry 0.270 timing 0.45
0xdbbbbd6ea7… entry 0.270 timing 0.12
0x75d555ac2f… entry 0.223 timing 0.94
0x826887e3ac… entry 0.110 timing 0.97
0x889e0fa1c4… entry 0.300 timing 0.83
0x441073d876… entry 0.190 timing 0.82
0x017f79842c… entry 0.190 timing 0.31
0x8765cc2b3c… entry 0.250 timing 0.99
0x187651dbb6… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x40daefad04… entry 0.080 timing 0.98
0x36f93dcdb7… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
0xee119a12bd… entry 0.270 timing 1.00
0x6bb8b2483e… entry 0.280 timing 1.00
0x639c60e4a7… entry 0.040
0xea3754aba6… entry 0.290 timing 1.00
0x7dd18710e4… entry 0.250 timing 0.97

Esports	$-116k	35%	107
Sports	$-63.4k	41%	462
Tennis	$-24.2k	55%	22
NFL Playoffs	$15.7k	75%	4
uncategorized	$-6.95k	0%	2
Geopolitics	$-4.03k	0%	1
Soccer	$-1.27k	25%	4
Economy	$-200	0%	1
Politics	$-194	0%	1
fomc	$-2	50%	2

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x2bd6c718…	$-73.9k	$73.9k	-100.0%
0xf0164e96…	$61.5k	$46.3k	132.7%
0xdbcd44dc…	$58.6k	$61.1k	95.9%
0xae125829…	$53.5k	$28.8k	185.7%
0xe5a3bc99…	$53.4k	$35.6k	149.7%
0xfb22501f…	$52.6k	$34k	154.8%
0xa2dbbde3…	$51.8k	$27.4k	189.3%
0x061b574c…	$-49.3k	$49.3k	-100.0%
0x441073d8…	$48k	$11.3k	426.3%
0xab3f1533…	$-47.7k	$47.7k	-100.0%
0xe6ef89a8…	$-46.4k	$46.4k	-100.0%
0xabcd9497…	$45.4k	$29k	156.4%
0xbeaebbf4…	$45.1k	$68.8k	65.6%
0x04941edc…	$-44.2k	$123k	-35.8%
0x1289e96f…	$-43.7k	$43.7k	-100.0%

0xac47…d234

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0xac47…d234

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

Hour of day (UTC)

Day of week (UTC)

Fills per week