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0xa52b785a5510117ac3ae03d75d029f89a36c9480
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
89% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (93%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.13).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:43:51 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $41.5k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $1.07k | $88 | $112k |
| Win rate | N/A | 50% | 84% | 93% |
| ROI | N/A | 3% | 0% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.586 | 0.047 | 0.050 |
| Markets | 3 | 6 | 87 | 1057 |
| Best day | N/A | $975 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 92.56 | 1.00 | 1.77 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $536 | $1 | $104 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $536 | $249 | $31 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 92.56 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| Largest win | N/A | $1.08k | $16.9k | $16.9k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-12 | $-10.4k | $-45.6k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $22.6k | $5.97k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.453 | 0.057 | 0.041 |
| Calmar | 1.611 | 1.611 | 1.611 | 1.611 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 99% | 19% | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 50% | 26% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 66% | 38% |
| Max win streak | 1 | 1 | 17 | 94 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 48 | 53 | 927 | 6543 |
| Unique markets | 3 | 6 | 87 | 1057 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 60% | 73% | 76% |
| Avg entry price | 0.900 | 0.788 | 0.645 | 0.835 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.513 | 0.475 | 0.024 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 50% | 47% | 48% | 30% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 13.2 | 13.9 | 138.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 13.2 | 0.3 | 4.2 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 2 | 44 | 685 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.01 | 2.91 | 0.77 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 100% | 83% | 77% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 0% | 8% | 18% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 0% | 0% | 49% | 64% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0928 | 0.0928 | 0.0062 | 0.0129 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0928 | 0.0928 | 0.0161 | 0.0322 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.269 | 0.610 | 0.913 | 0.664 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-16.9k | $-16.9k | $590 | $22 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -41.2% | -41.2% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0041 | 0.0041 | 0.0041 | 0.0041 |
| Alpha ($) | $-694 | $-694 | $-694 | $-694 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -31.9% | -31.9% | -31.9% | -31.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 | 0.176 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $76.5k |
| $76.5k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-2.77k | $-36.6k | $-57.7k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $536 |
| $1 |
| $104 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 14% |
| 14% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | 33% | 50% | 1% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 100% | 100% | 80% | 2% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 50% | 88% | 75% | 9% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 95% | 96% | 89% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| 0% |
| Spread capture | N/A | 0.0070 | -0.0019 | -0.0196 |
| Inventory turnover | 48.00 | 53.00 | 927.00 | 6543.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.29 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 1.12 |
| Avg ticket | $1.96k | $1.88k | $1.85k | $1.6k |
| Median ticket | $382 | $414 | $142 | $129 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -84.40 | 1.02 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4.47 |
| 2.97 |
| 1.67 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| fomc | $55.4k | 100% | 7 |
| Fed Rates | $40.8k | 100% | 11 |
| Geopolitics | $-40k | 80% | 15 |
| Sports | $13.3k | 94% | 386 |
| Politics | $8.22k | 89% | 36 |
| Crypto | $-7.77k | 92% | 65 |
| Parent For Derivative | $6.32k | 75% | 4 |
| Gov Shutdown | $3.17k | 100% | 7 |
| Economy | $3k | 100% | 14 |
| Trump-Zelenskyy | $3k | 100% | 1 |
| Bitcoin | $2.94k | 95% | 207 |
| transit | $2.4k | 100% | 2 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd4bbf7f6… | $-45.6k | $49k | -93.1% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $16.9k | $16.4k | 103.2% |
| 0xe93c89c4… | $15.5k | $141k | 11.0% |
| 0x257b1820… | $15.3k | $106k | 14.4% |
| 0x53f82bd5… | $12k | $103k | 11.6% |
| 0xde04b189… | $10.5k | $113k | 9.2% |
| 0x4f3421fb… | $-10.4k | $10.7k | -97.3% |
| 0xffdd7741… | $10.4k | $89.6k | 11.6% |
| 0xcb111226… | $9.59k | $75.7k | 12.7% |
| 0x9f41a3e4… | $9.38k | $70.7k | 13.3% |
| 0x3488f31e… | $-9.3k | $9.3k | -100.0% |
| 0x4a68d828… | $7.97k | $130k | 6.1% |
| 0x36e8ca24… | $7.4k | $52.9k | 14.0% |
| 0x0c4cd205… | $-6.5k | $7.98k | -81.4% |
| 0x30d55d81… | $-6.46k | $8.48k | -76.2% |
| 132 |
| 132 |
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