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0xa2a020a382c90b292331ef36e62a2680e3df7e90
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 1.76 and disposition ratio 3.65, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 38.6), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:28:58 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $60.3k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $9.53k | $12.3k | $79.8k | $79.8k |
| Win rate | 86% | 66% | 75% | 75% |
| ROI | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.025 | 0.364 | 0.364 |
| Markets | 7 | 27 | 60 | 60 |
| Best day | $-2.86k | $9.69k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 39.37 | 2.93 | 4.41 | 4.41 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.36k | $423 | $550 | $546 |
| Median trade PnL | $226 | $47 | $47 | $47 |
| Payoff ratio | 6.56 | 1.54 | 1.48 | 1.47 |
| Largest win | $4.27k | $4.27k | $8.63k | $8.63k |
| Largest loss | $-248 | $-5.09k | $-5.09k | $-5.09k |
| Expectancy | $1.36k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.64k | $5.33k | $5.33k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.021 | 0.532 | 0.532 |
| Calmar | 6.163 | 6.163 | 6.163 | 6.163 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 43% | 36% | 7% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 85% | 32% | 32% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 95% | 51% | 51% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 6 | 15 | 15 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 771 | 1711 | 5934 | 5934 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 27 | 60 | 60 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 87% | 87% |
| Avg entry price | 0.616 | 0.510 | 0.505 | 0.505 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.404 | 0.172 | 0.046 | 0.046 |
| Maker share (notional) | 73% | 65% | 61% | 61% |
| Two-sided share | 29% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 22 | 51 | 51 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.00 | 1.02 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
| Add-to-winner share | 82% | 82% | 82% | 82% |
| Average-down share | 18% | 17% | 15% | 15% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.82 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 78% | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0410 | 0.0704 | 0.0657 | 0.0657 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1557 | 0.1656 | 0.1264 | 0.1256 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.999 | 0.999 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-2.13k | $-757 | $-337 | $-334 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -15.4% | -27.9% | 60.2% | 59.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0128 | 0.0128 | 0.0128 | 0.0128 |
| Alpha ($) | $-8.64k | $-8.64k | $-8.64k | $-8.64k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1481.2% | -1481.2% | -1481.2% | -1481.2% |
| Contrarian score | 0.027 | 0.027 | 0.027 | 0.027 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0047 | -0.0047 | -0.0047 | -0.0047 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.28e-19; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $15.3k |
| $15.3k |
| Worst day | $-2.86k | $-9.31k | $-9.31k | $-9.31k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $423 |
| $550 |
| $546 |
| <0.10 |
| 100% |
| 50% |
| 60% |
| 60% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 50% | 74% | 74% | 5% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | 50% | 83% | 83% | 9% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 80% | 73% | 73% | 36% |
| >0.90 | 0% | 80% | 83% | 83% | 47% |
| 33% |
| 47% |
| 47% |
| Spread capture | -0.0595 | -0.0200 | -0.0137 | -0.0137 |
| Inventory turnover | 771.00 | 1711.00 | 5934.00 | 5934.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.19 | 2.06 | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Avg ticket | $438 | $343 | $340 | $340 |
| Median ticket | $60 | $41 | $30 | $30 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1349.00 | -1349.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.81 |
| 1.76 |
| 1.76 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $80.5k | 76% | 143 |
| Soccer | $-709 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x43bde2aa… | $9.26k | $18.9k | 49.0% |
| 0xa947b7c6… | $6.99k | $94.9k | 7.4% |
| 0x2c37e07b… | $6.44k | $43.6k | 14.7% |
| 0xc09537a0… | $6.02k | $10.6k | 56.7% |
| 0xad344163… | $5.04k | $89.7k | 5.6% |
| 0x2a0e8ce7… | $4.45k | $44.9k | 9.9% |
| 0xc41f543c… | $4.32k | $31.3k | 13.8% |
| 0xf134b5d6… | $4.14k | $313 | 1325.0% |
| 0x99f0c39e… | $4k | $62.2k | 6.4% |
| 0x0891e479… | $3.93k | $57k | 6.9% |
| 0xae9433e4… | $3.86k | $13k | 29.6% |
| 0xe6f040d2… | $3.2k | $45.3k | 7.1% |
| 0xb81d9a63… | $2.95k | $139k | 2.1% |
| 0xaf767784… | $2.76k | $22k | 12.6% |
| 0x89ea2f4b… | $2.45k | $4.66k | 52.6% |
| 935 |
| 935 |
| 935 |
| 935 |