0xa0f21e6d351baa9185716b5c00c2925ed9621848
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 37767 with median hold 2.8 hours, maker share only 3%.
Capital velocity 1.3 and held-to-resolution 88% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:28:56 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $65.3k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $290k | $-960k | $-1.63M |
| Win rate | N/A | 44% | 43% | 41% |
| ROI | N/A | 30% | -17% | -18% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.221 | -0.235 | -0.100 |
| Markets | 122 | 496 | 1162 | 1462 |
| Best day | N/A | $-5.91k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 2.00 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $1.08k | $-750 | $-1k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $-20 | $-36 | $-23 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 2.52 | 0.85 | 0.87 |
| Largest win | N/A | $292k | $292k | $292k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-56.1k | $-353k | $-769k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $141k | $76.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.215 | -0.227 | -0.082 |
| Calmar | -0.761 | -0.761 | -0.761 | -0.761 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 173.5 | 173.5 | 173.5 | 173.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 34% | 8% | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 65% | 28% | 27% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 74% | 38% | 39% |
| Max win streak | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | 6 | 7 | 12 | 14 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3634 | 17860 | 31979 | 37767 |
| Unique markets | 122 | 496 | 1162 | 1462 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 83% | 89% |
| Avg entry price | 0.354 | 0.367 | 0.394 | 0.402 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.178 | 0.038 | 0.013 | 0.019 |
| Maker share (notional) | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 2.7 | 10.5 | 12.4 | 22.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Max concurrent | 113 | 483 | 1132 | 1427 |
| Disposition ratio | 1.08 | 0.98 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| Add-to-winner share | 55% | 49% | 51% | 49% |
| Average-down share | 37% | 45% | 43% | 45% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.91 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 87% | 90% | 88% | 88% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.2330 | 0.1848 | 0.1841 | 0.1856 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1911 | 0.1652 | 0.1639 | 0.1565 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.725 | 0.601 | 0.604 | 0.610 |
| Exit quality ($) | $70 | $22 | $-37 | $-12 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -3.2% | -4.7% | -1.6% | -10.5% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0207 | -0.0207 | -0.0207 | -0.0207 |
| Alpha ($) | $-413 | $-413 | $-413 | $-413 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -48.5% | -48.5% | -48.5% | -48.5% |
| Contrarian score | 0.088 | 0.088 | 0.088 | 0.088 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0139 | -0.0139 | -0.0139 | -0.0139 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 2.70e-5; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $400k |
| $400k |
| Worst day | N/A | $-28.2k | $-482k | $-722k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $1.08k |
| $-750 |
| $-1k |
| <0.10 |
| 25% |
| 7% |
| 7% |
| 5% |
| 1% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 25% | 20% | 16% | 18% | 31% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 31% | 48% | 46% | 46% | 33% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 69% | 75% | 72% | 72% | 31% |
| >0.90 | 83% | 85% | 84% | 87% | 6% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 3634.00 | 17860.00 | 31979.00 | 37767.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.57 | 1.72 | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Avg ticket | $223 | $177 | $247 | $313 |
| Median ticket | $131 | $75 | $92 | $96 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | 2450.60 | 171.35 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.93 |
| 1.19 |
| 1.15 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $-1.04M | 40% | 787 |
| Tennis | $-511k | 45% | 783 |
| MLB | $-82.3k | 13% | 8 |
| NFL Playoffs | $43.2k | 25% | 8 |
| Esports | $-35.2k | 19% | 16 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $-1.56k | 0% | 3 |
| Soccer | $-925 | 33% | 9 |
| US Election | $-805 | 0% | 2 |
| fomc | $-157 | 0% | 1 |
| Wimbledon | $-157 | 33% | 3 |
| Parent For Derivative | $-53 | 0% | 4 |
| Senate | $-8 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x204d24f3… | $-774k | $1.02M | -75.8% |
| 0xc851fc5a… | $-353k | $353k | -100.0% |
| 0x776956c5… | $292k | $265k | 110.1% |
| 0xa9fcabe5… | $226k | $286k | 79.0% |
| 0x95f726bb… | $-224k | $229k | -97.7% |
| 0x5a6619f6… | $198k | $162k | 122.3% |
| 0x17e2f334… | $193k | $94.8k | 203.0% |
| 0x8246b715… | $179k | $87.1k | 205.5% |
| 0x512ecdaf… | $-145k | $145k | -100.0% |
| 0x802adc72… | $-122k | $122k | -100.0% |
| 0xaf767784… | $98.9k | $67.3k | 146.8% |
| 0x9b6fef24… | $-91.9k | $101k | -90.7% |
| 0xccc07a83… | $-84.8k | $89.8k | -94.4% |
| 0xadf4acda… | $83.3k | $58.8k | 141.6% |
| 0xd6001841… | $-69.9k | $78k | -89.6% |
| 962 |
| 962 |
| 962 |
| 962 |