0x9f47…af93

0x9f47f1fcb1701bf9eaf31236ad39875e5d60af93

News SniperGrade CStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: Tilted Gambler

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 26 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.56 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 4.3 days), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 12:41:52 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$574k

Open PnL

Max drawdown

$515k

Underwater days

546

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$574k
Realized PnL	$0	$0	$0	$574k
Win rate	N/A	N/A	N/A	46%
ROI	N/A	N/A	N/A	6%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	-0.063
Markets	0	0	0	172
Best day	$0	$0

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.30
Mean trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$586
Median trade PnL	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-2
Payoff ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	1.52
Largest win	N/A	N/A	N/A	$277k
Largest loss	N/A	N/A	N/A	$-171k
Expectancy	N/A

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	N/A	N/A	$8.67k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	-0.034
Calmar	-0.633	-0.633	-0.633	-0.633
Drawdown duration (days)	545.5	545.5	545.5	545.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	N/A	N/A	N/A	6%
Concentration top-5	N/A	N/A	N/A	20%
Concentration top-10	N/A	N/A	N/A	29%
Max win streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	14
Max loss streak	N/A	N/A	N/A	34

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	0	0	0	29824
Unique markets	0	0	0	172
Active days ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	15%
Avg entry price	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.058
Portfolio HHI	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.049
Maker share (notional)	N/A	N/A	N/A	82%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	728.8
Holding time median (h)	N/A	N/A	N/A	104.2
Max concurrent	N/A	N/A	N/A	132
Disposition ratio	N/A	N/A	N/A	2.13
Add-to-winner share	N/A	N/A	N/A	62%
Average-down share	N/A	N/A	N/A	28%
Tilt ratio	N/A

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	N/A	N/A	N/A	72%
Brier (weighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1493
Brier (unweighted)	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.1219
Entry timing mean	N/A	N/A	N/A	0.562
Exit quality ($)	N/A	N/A	N/A	$1.13k
Exit quality ROI gap	N/A	N/A	N/A	7.1%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	0.0237	0.0237	0.0237	0.0237
Alpha ($)	$933	$933	$933	$933
Alpha ROI gap	36.8%	36.8%	36.8%	36.8%
Contrarian score	0.223	0.223	0.223	0.223
Post-fill drift	-0.0040	-0.0040	-0.0040	-0.0040
Post-fill candles (mean)	6.0	6.0	6.0	6.0
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 45.5%
Tilted Gambler: 42.0%
Conviction Holder: 41.8%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 38.6%
Scalper: 23.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.72e-86; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x85ecdbccbf… entry 0.243 timing 0.53
0x5a61a89ba1… entry 0.250
0x1313781571… entry 0.060
0x642fcb3aa2… entry 0.060
0xf7917970ac… entry 0.070
0x0a3ad41787… entry 0.072
0x233f8db87f… entry 0.097
0x62374d2618… entry 0.087
0xf3a7a2365b… entry 0.001
0x230144e34a… entry 0.001 timing 0.97
0x55c551896c… entry 0.001
0xb92f22143e… entry 0.001 timing 0.97
0x291fdff658… entry 0.093 timing 0.46
0x14a087f7b1… entry 0.048 timing 0.99
0x987a07767c… entry 0.296
0xa4c6117c3e… entry 0.140 timing 0.96
0x9ebd0659ad… entry 0.035 timing 0.15
0x3dd8fa0869… entry 0.280
0x1652ed7c83… entry 0.021 timing 0.96
0xd1cfd61da9… entry 0.217 timing 0.12

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0x9f47…af93

0x9f47f1fcb1701bf9eaf31236ad39875e5d60af93

Secondary: Tilted Gambler

This wallet is categorized as a News Sniper because activity comes in bursts and entries arrive late in the market lifecycle.

Weekly activity shows 26 quiet weeks between spikes, and mean entry timing is 0.56 into the market life (later = closer to resolution).

Holds stay short (median 4.3 days), matching event-driven rather than early forecasting.

A close second label is Tilted Gambler, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$574k

Realized PnL

$574k

Win rate

N/A

46%

ROI

N/A

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

-0.063

Markets

172

Best day

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

N/A

1.30

Mean trade PnL

N/A

$586

Median trade PnL

N/A

$-2

Payoff ratio

N/A

1.52

Largest win

N/A

$277k

Largest loss

N/A

$-171k

Expectancy

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$8.67k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

-0.034

Calmar

-0.633

Drawdown duration (days)

545.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

N/A

Concentration top-5

N/A

20%

Concentration top-10

N/A

29%

Max win streak

N/A

Max loss streak

N/A

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

29824

Unique markets

172

Active days ratio

N/A

15%

Avg entry price

N/A

0.058

Portfolio HHI

N/A

0.049

Maker share (notional)

N/A

82%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

N/A

728.8

Holding time median (h)

N/A

104.2

Max concurrent

N/A

132

Disposition ratio

N/A

2.13

Add-to-winner share

N/A

62%

Average-down share

N/A

28%

Tilt ratio

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

N/A

72%

Brier (weighted)

N/A

0.1493

Brier (unweighted)

N/A

0.1219

Entry timing mean

N/A

0.562

Exit quality ($)

N/A

$1.13k

Exit quality ROI gap

N/A

7.1%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

0.0237

Alpha ($)

$933

Alpha ROI gap

36.8%

Contrarian score

0.223

Post-fill drift

-0.0040

Post-fill candles (mean)

6.0

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

News Sniper: 45.5%

Tilted Gambler: 42.0%

Conviction Holder: 41.8%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 38.6%

Scalper: 23.7%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.72e-86; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x85ecdbccbf… entry 0.243 timing 0.53
0x5a61a89ba1… entry 0.250
0x1313781571… entry 0.060
0x642fcb3aa2… entry 0.060
0xf7917970ac… entry 0.070
0x0a3ad41787… entry 0.072
0x233f8db87f… entry 0.097
0x62374d2618… entry 0.087
0xf3a7a2365b… entry 0.001
0x230144e34a… entry 0.001 timing 0.97
0x55c551896c… entry 0.001
0xb92f22143e… entry 0.001 timing 0.97
0x291fdff658… entry 0.093 timing 0.46
0x14a087f7b1… entry 0.048 timing 0.99
0x987a07767c… entry 0.296
0xa4c6117c3e… entry 0.140 timing 0.96
0x9ebd0659ad… entry 0.035 timing 0.15
0x3dd8fa0869… entry 0.280
0x1652ed7c83… entry 0.021 timing 0.96
0xd1cfd61da9… entry 0.217 timing 0.12

Sports	$-251k	43%	309
Boxing	$187k	64%	14
u.s. election	$180k	31%	13
Dem Nominee	$126k	80%	10
State Presidential Election	$-89.9k	31%	32
potusbanner	$81.2k	40%	20
Debate	$77.5k	100%	2
Biden	$74.9k	60%	20
Soccer	$68.1k	61%	18
2026 Winter Games	$65.6k	56%	9
Politics	$52.1k	47%	77
Trump	$50.5k	56%	9

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0x96f6fb65…	$277k	$287k	96.5%
0xb4961db4…	$170k	$417k	40.8%
0x99a76eb4…	$-170k	$184k	-92.3%
0xfdcd333f…	$133k	$59.9k	222.7%
0xc6485bb7…	$114k	$406k	28.2%
0x2a63e805…	$109k	$143k	76.3%
0x65348300…	$82.3k	$351k	23.4%
0xae4735f6…	$69.9k	$19.4k	359.4%
0xe64f063b…	$65.2k	$158k	41.3%
0x4873de62…	$63.2k	$61.2k	103.3%
0x475e0fd3…	$-56.3k	$62.1k	-90.7%
0xb65fd8a2…	$52.9k	$60.3k	87.8%
0x9e9adb89…	$51.9k	$56.7k	91.6%
0xcf263497…	$50.1k	$187k	26.7%
0x265366ed…	$48.6k	$232k	20.9%

0x9f47…af93

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x9f47…af93

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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