Loading trader…
0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 5.47 and disposition ratio 1.74, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 980.5), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:29:36 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | ∞ |
| Realized PnL | $-380k | $-611k | $-2.45M | $672k |
| Win rate | 25% | 36% | 49% | 52% |
| ROI | -50% | -20% | -8% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.030 | -0.244 | 0.030 |
| Markets | 13 | 24 | 123 | 221 |
| Best day | $-211k | $668k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.18 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 1.03 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-31.6k | $-27.8k | $-18.4k | $1.31k |
| Median trade PnL | $-27.1k | $-17.8k | $0 | $5 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.53 | 0.98 | 0.77 | 0.97 |
| Largest win | $63k | $650k | $650k | $874k |
| Largest loss | $-148k | $-479k | $-1.05M | $-1.05M |
| Expectancy | $-31.6k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $309k | $356k | $331k |
| Sortino (daily) | 0.032 | -0.052 | -0.225 | 0.032 |
| Calmar | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 | 0.290 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 38.5 | 38.5 | 38.5 | 38.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 27% | 30% | 6% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 77% | 78% | 25% | 10% |
| Concentration top-10 | 99% | 93% | 41% | 18% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Max loss streak | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 1146 | 4481 | 33362 | 63130 |
| Unique markets | 13 | 24 | 123 | 221 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 120% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.550 | 0.491 | 0.529 | 0.534 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.321 | 0.209 | 0.025 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | 42% | 63% | 55% | 64% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Max concurrent | 8 | 15 | 88 | 148 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.02 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 1.74 |
| Add-to-winner share | 50% | 67% | 96% | 96% |
| Average-down share | 50% | 25% | 2% | 2% |
| Tilt ratio | 2.67 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 64% | 63% | 69% | 62% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3238 | 0.2655 | 0.1942 | 0.2085 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.2126 | 0.2250 | 0.1734 | 0.1924 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.980 | 0.971 | 0.978 | 0.963 |
| Exit quality ($) | $19.9k | $-29k | $-9.01k | $-3.42k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 8.2% | -11.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0995 | 0.0995 | 0.0995 | 0.0995 |
| Alpha ($) | $-19 | $-19 | $-19 | $-19 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
| Contrarian score | -0.399 | -0.399 | -0.399 | -0.399 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1159 | 0.1159 | 0.1159 | 0.1159 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Post-fill observations |
Joint probability 1.96e-10; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
| $668k |
| ∞ |
| Worst day | $-211k | $-211k | $-928k | $-928k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $-27.8k |
| $-18.4k |
| $1.31k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 9% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 35% | 16% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 60% | 55% | 57% | 57% | 36% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 0% | 33% | 70% | 64% | 43% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 71% | 4% |
| 4% |
| 13% |
| 16% |
| Spread capture | -0.0109 | -0.0057 | -0.0062 | -0.0025 |
| Inventory turnover | 1146.00 | 4481.00 | 33362.00 | 63130.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.20 | 0.86 |
| Avg ticket | $921 | $835 | $1.06k | $902 |
| Median ticket | $12 | $13 | $10 | $10 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2084.70 | -525.00 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.69 |
| 8.60 |
| 5.47 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $702k | 51% | 459 |
| Soccer | $381k | 50% | 4 |
| Tennis | $-347k | 55% | 38 |
| tyson fury | $-36k | 0% | 2 |
| NCAA | $-30.9k | 0% | 2 |
| Europa League | $3.64k | 100% | 2 |
| Formula 1 | $-319 | 0% | 1 |
| Politics | $65 | 100% | 1 |
| 2026 NHL Playoffs | $7 | 100% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xff1ec56e… | $-1.05M | $1.05M | -100.0% |
| 0xe6906202… | $-875k | $875k | -100.0% |
| 0xed4fa0c7… | $874k | $216k | 404.2% |
| 0x6d621f9a… | $-841k | $853k | -98.5% |
| 0xba0e7ea7… | $794k | $134k | 594.4% |
| 0x94e50623… | $-771k | $771k | -100.0% |
| 0xdb80cb22… | $712k | $308k | 230.9% |
| 0x26c10c27… | $667k | $592k | 112.8% |
| 0x776956c5… | $650k | $550k | 118.1% |
| 0xe70fd51f… | $-622k | $622k | -100.0% |
| 0xebb200cb… | $-584k | $584k | -100.0% |
| 0x5159f1ae… | $584k | $556k | 104.9% |
| 0x1f5cd4d1… | $581k | $642k | 90.5% |
| 0xeebaa583… | $563k | $955k | 58.9% |
| 0x825bc415… | $-549k | $549k | -100.0% |
| 10878 |
| 10878 |
| 10878 |
| 10878 |