0x9cb9…32f2

0x9cb990f1862568a63d8601efeebe0304225c32f2

Tilted GamblerGrade FStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 5.74 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 496.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Updated 2026-07-19 12:42:20 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$2.05M

Open PnL

$1.95k

Max drawdown

$843k

Underwater days

101

Equity curve

Board ranks

Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	$2.03k	N/A	$92.1k	∞
Realized PnL	$-18.6k	$-50.2k	$276k	∞
Win rate	33%	45%	44%	42%
ROI	-21%	-8%	6%	8%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	-0.183	0.124	0.078
Markets	11	85	363	1452
Best day	$2.09k	$28.8k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	0.55	0.82	1.12	1.18
Mean trade PnL	$-1.24k	$-479	$684	$813
Median trade PnL	$-160	$-107	$-419	$-108
Payoff ratio	1.09	0.99	1.43	1.63
Largest win	$11.9k	$35k	$161k	$231k
Largest loss	$-19.1k	$-55.9k	$-86k	$-140k
Expectancy	$-1.24k

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$20.2k	$85.1k	$59.6k
Sortino (daily)	0.099	-0.168	0.126	0.091
Calmar	2.427	2.427	2.427	2.427
Drawdown duration (days)	103.0	103.0	103.0	103.0

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	30%	11%	3%	1%
Concentration top-5	72%	32%	16%	4%
Concentration top-10	95%	45%	27%	8%
Max win streak	2	8	8	19
Max loss streak	6	13	15	70

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	89	1470	11054	66047
Unique markets	11	85	363	1452
Active days ratio	200%	114%	103%	90%
Avg entry price	0.382	0.361	0.341	0.380
Portfolio HHI	0.164	0.027	0.009	0.005
Maker share (notional)	16%	29%	50%	62%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	1.2	1.6	1.1	3.1
Holding time median (h)	0.5	0.7	0.1	0.7
Max concurrent	8	73	242	781
Disposition ratio	3.18	0.56	0.07	0.28
Add-to-winner share	74%	53%	49%	52%
Average-down share	26%	45%	48%	40%
Tilt ratio	1.50

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	70%	82%	65%	52%
Brier (weighted)	0.1915	0.2004	0.2070	0.2180
Brier (unweighted)	0.1908	0.2010	0.1856	0.1973
Entry timing mean	0.403	0.268	0.403	0.731
Exit quality ($)	$-552	$-401	$-49	$-48
Exit quality ROI gap	-8.3%	-6.8%	-2.1%	4.3%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.2878	-0.2878	-0.2878	-0.2878
Alpha ($)	$-293	$-293	$-293	$-293
Alpha ROI gap	-8.7%	-8.7%	-8.7%	-8.7%
Contrarian score	-0.313	-0.313	-0.313	-0.313
Post-fill drift	-0.1754	-0.1754	-0.1754	-0.1754
Post-fill candles (mean)	5.7	5.7	5.7	5.7
Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%
Scalper: 58.4%
News Sniper: 51.6%
Contrarian Fader: 48.3%
Conviction Holder: 21.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.77e-63; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x13bc18a3dc… entry 0.260 timing 0.11
0x9f0b598db1… entry 0.250
0x4a575a7cce… entry 0.180 timing 0.10
0x8ae3768af1… entry 0.186
0xab2279fd15… entry 0.300
0xd138accf34… entry 0.204
0x987b4cb722… entry 0.120
0x32e794fbb2… entry 0.190
0x9568185677… entry 0.280
0x89f2589787… entry 0.280
0x26f8bdecc5… entry 0.210 timing 0.89
0x7aea2611f3… entry 0.160 timing 0.97
0x6812025464… entry 0.190 timing 1.00
0xd556599553… entry 0.230 timing 0.16
0xda4f2a655b… entry 0.230 timing 0.20
0x40e9eadecd… entry 0.250 timing 0.98
0xd277196552… entry 0.110 timing 0.99
0x160c30c996… entry 0.220 timing 0.96
0x47c221b416… entry 0.240 timing 0.93

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0x9cb9…32f2

0x9cb990f1862568a63d8601efeebe0304225c32f2

This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.

Tilt ratio is 5.74 and disposition ratio 0.28, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.

Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 496.9), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.

Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

$2.03k

N/A

$92.1k

∞

Realized PnL

$-18.6k

$-50.2k

$276k

∞

Win rate

33%

45%

44%

42%

ROI

-21%

-8%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

-0.183

0.124

0.078

Markets

363

1452

Best day

$2.09k

$28.8k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

0.55

0.82

1.12

1.18

Mean trade PnL

$-1.24k

$-479

$684

$813

Median trade PnL

$-160

$-107

$-419

$-108

Payoff ratio

1.09

0.99

1.43

1.63

Largest win

$11.9k

$35k

$161k

$231k

Largest loss

$-19.1k

$-55.9k

$-86k

$-140k

Expectancy

$-1.24k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$20.2k

$85.1k

$59.6k

Sortino (daily)

0.099

-0.168

0.126

0.091

Calmar

2.427

Drawdown duration (days)

103.0

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

30%

11%

Concentration top-5

72%

32%

16%

Concentration top-10

95%

45%

27%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

1470

11054

66047

Unique markets

363

1452

Active days ratio

200%

114%

103%

90%

Avg entry price

0.382

0.361

0.341

0.380

Portfolio HHI

0.164

0.027

0.009

0.005

Maker share (notional)

16%

29%

50%

62%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

1.2

1.6

1.1

3.1

Holding time median (h)

0.5

0.7

0.1

0.7

Max concurrent

242

781

Disposition ratio

3.18

0.56

0.07

0.28

Add-to-winner share

74%

53%

49%

52%

Average-down share

26%

45%

48%

40%

Tilt ratio

1.50

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

70%

82%

65%

52%

Brier (weighted)

0.1915

0.2004

0.2070

0.2180

Brier (unweighted)

0.1908

0.2010

0.1856

0.1973

Entry timing mean

0.403

0.268

0.403

0.731

Exit quality ($)

$-552

$-401

$-49

$-48

Exit quality ROI gap

-8.3%

-6.8%

-2.1%

4.3%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.2878

Alpha ($)

$-293

Alpha ROI gap

-8.7%

Contrarian score

-0.313

Post-fill drift

-0.1754

Post-fill candles (mean)

5.7

Post-fill observations

Archetype scores

Tilted Gambler: 70.0%

Scalper: 58.4%

News Sniper: 51.6%

Contrarian Fader: 48.3%

Conviction Holder: 21.3%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 1.77e-63; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x13bc18a3dc… entry 0.260 timing 0.11
0x9f0b598db1… entry 0.250
0x4a575a7cce… entry 0.180 timing 0.10
0x8ae3768af1… entry 0.186
0xab2279fd15… entry 0.300
0xd138accf34… entry 0.204
0x987b4cb722… entry 0.120
0x32e794fbb2… entry 0.190
0x9568185677… entry 0.280
0x89f2589787… entry 0.280
0x26f8bdecc5… entry 0.210 timing 0.89
0x7aea2611f3… entry 0.160 timing 0.97
0x6812025464… entry 0.190 timing 1.00
0xd556599553… entry 0.230 timing 0.16
0xda4f2a655b… entry 0.230 timing 0.20
0x40e9eadecd… entry 0.250 timing 0.98
0xd277196552… entry 0.110 timing 0.99
0x160c30c996… entry 0.220 timing 0.96
0x47c221b416… entry 0.240 timing 0.93

Sports	$2.16M	40%	1625
Esports	$-320k	42%	487
Tennis	$268k	52%	351
UFC 325	$-100k	0%	1
Games	$86k	38%	21
uncategorized	$-9.96k	29%	7
Soccer	$-8.84k	0%	1
Europa League	$862	100%	1
Crypto	$-118	33%	3
NFL Playoffs	$-5	0%	1

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xdae2189b…	$231k	$88.7k	260.8%
0x55aaedf5…	$221k	$99.2k	222.6%
0x65ca7588…	$208k	$62.1k	334.8%
0x0b8d965e…	$194k	$75.6k	257.1%
0xefab7efa…	$183k	$125k	146.8%
0x994e4515…	$178k	$58.4k	304.9%
0xd793740e…	$176k	$108k	162.6%
0x607d9dab…	$175k	$89.1k	196.5%
0xff1ec56e…	$161k	$36.3k	442.6%
0x0433839b…	$157k	$87.4k	179.2%
0x998d69f8…	$154k	$75.9k	203.0%
0x9787a306…	$154k	$86.4k	177.8%
0xae9433e4…	$153k	$26.5k	575.7%
0x161ab8ed…	$151k	$89.2k	169.0%
0xf7266d7d…	$149k	$75.8k	196.4%

0x9cb9…32f2

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x9cb9…32f2

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

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