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0x9c95…ed41
0x9c95df82fe2f55f522cee739cefb08f528dded41
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 11431 with median hold 5.2 hours, maker share only 58%.
Capital velocity 3.1 and held-to-resolution 45% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade F scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:27:03 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$127k
Open PnL
$-612k
Max drawdown
$68.7k
Underwater days
68
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $22.4k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $20.7k | $27.4k | $80.1k | $982k |
| Win rate | 100% | 88% | 88% | 79% |
| ROI | 189% | 134% | 126% | 119% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.527 | -0.023 | 0.046 |
| Markets | 7 | 11 | 37 | 706 |
| Best day | $-850 | $16.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 249.79 | 259.11 | 58.39 |
| Mean trade PnL | $5.17k | $3.43k | $4.45k | $2.77k |
| Median trade PnL | $1.75k | $1.73k | $1.73k | $170 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 35.68 | 37.02 | 15.96 |
| Largest win | $17k | $17k | $17k | $22.9k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-110 | $-200 | $-12.8k |
| Expectancy | $5.17k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $6.07k | $7.03k | $6.17k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 3.694 | -0.030 | 0.052 |
| Calmar | 1.854 | 1.854 | 1.854 | 1.854 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 82% | 61% | 21% | 2% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 98% | 79% | 10% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 97% | 18% |
| Max win streak | 4 | 7 | 7 | 36 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 75 | 157 | 889 | 11431 |
| Unique markets | 7 | 11 | 37 | 706 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 80% | 67% |
| Avg entry price | 0.408 | 0.453 | 0.317 | 0.353 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.660 | 0.452 | 0.061 | 0.005 |
| Maker share (notional) | 34% | 39% | 73% | 58% |
| Two-sided share | 14% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.7 | 49.2 | 42.3 | 10.9 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.8 | 56.5 | 56.4 | 5.2 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 7 | 14 | 321 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.48 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 1.44 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 34% | 1% | 19% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 66% | 99% | 68% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 50% | 62% | 38% | 45% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.4236 | 0.3396 | 0.2942 | 0.3190 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3498 | 0.3281 | 0.3076 | 0.2920 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.983 | 0.401 | 0.448 | 0.786 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-26 | $565 | $1.04k | $-99 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.9% | 11.8% | 21.7% | -2.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0840 | -0.0840 | -0.0840 | -0.0840 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1 | $-1 | $-1 | $-1 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| Contrarian score | 0.126 | 0.126 | 0.126 | 0.126 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1064 | -0.1064 | -0.1064 | -0.1064 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 61.8%
- News Sniper: 60.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 46.3%
- Contrarian Fader: 38.9%
- Longshot Hunter: 33.5%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 6.93e-7; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xff1ec56e0e… entry 0.170
- 0xcaaa1338d3… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
- 0x0f97e83935… entry 0.250 timing 0.99
- 0xc679b550c1… entry 0.200
- 0x1a3679091b… entry 0.290
- 0xb982a477dd… entry 0.240 timing 1.00
- 0x53c099f2ed… entry 0.230
- 0x2b88f04d52… entry 0.170