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0x9c26…74bc
0x9c2617462567859fcf5764e03b9a687ebca274bc
Tilted GamblerGrade Carchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Tilted Gambler because size and pacing escalate after losses, with a strong disposition effect.
Tilt ratio is 4.95 and disposition ratio 6.83, so losses tend to be followed by larger or faster activity.
Ticket size is jumpy (stdev/median 203.1), another sign of reactive sizing rather than a steady plan.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:26:06 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$200k
Open PnL
$-16.7k
Max drawdown
$58.8k
Underwater days
20
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.32k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $-2.65k | $-5.41k | $23.9k | $230k |
| Win rate | 0% | 40% | 83% | 89% |
| ROI | -20% | -25% | 1% | 1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.290 | -0.007 | 0.145 |
| Markets | 2 | 13 | 45 | 191 |
| Best day | $-211 | $6.78k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.39 | 2.70 |
| Mean trade PnL | $-2.65k | $-1.08k | $583 | $1.2k |
| Median trade PnL | $-2.65k | $-1.84k | $400 | $374 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| Largest win | N/A | $591 | $26.4k | $42.5k |
| Largest loss | $-2.65k | $-2.65k | $-52.1k | $-52.1k |
| Expectancy | $-2.65k |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.38k | $11k | $5.97k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.278 | -0.004 | 0.101 |
| Calmar | 3.397 | 3.397 | 3.397 | 3.397 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 | 14.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 100% | 36% | 36% | 11% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 100% | 68% | 37% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 100% | 86% | 51% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 1 | 13 | 30 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 13 | 229 | 2281 | 15012 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 13 | 45 | 191 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 100% | 100% | 86% |
| Avg entry price | 0.891 | 0.894 | 0.935 | 0.950 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.502 | 0.211 | 0.076 | 0.016 |
| Maker share (notional) | 53% | 63% | 78% | 72% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.8 | 17.4 | 121.9 | 228.4 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.8 | 20.3 | 36.4 | 47.9 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 6 | 28 | 113 |
| Disposition ratio | 3.62 | 3.45 | 8.29 | 6.83 |
| Add-to-winner share | 0% | 89% | 9% | 81% |
| Average-down share | 100% | 11% | 90% | 16% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.15 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 25% | 52% | 55% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0119 | 0.0450 | 0.0275 | 0.0081 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0119 | 0.0926 | 0.0738 | 0.0411 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.700 | 0.646 | 0.556 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-4.29k | $-1.01k | $391 | $-113 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -32.1% | -4.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.0030 | -0.0030 | -0.0030 | -0.0030 |
| Alpha ($) | $-321 | $-321 | $-321 | $-321 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% | -1.4% |
| Contrarian score | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 | 0.226 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 | -0.0014 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Tilted Gambler: 100.0%
- Favorite Grinder: 89.1%
- Scalper: 41.9%
- Conviction Holder: 34.5%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 30.7%