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0x9b97…5e12
0x9b979a065641e8cfde3022a30ed2d9415cf55e12
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
71% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (91%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.14).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:22:51 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$439k
Open PnL
$-4.02M
Max drawdown
$26k
Underwater days
37
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $439k |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $20 | $8.41M |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | 100% | 91% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | 0% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.383 | -0.100 | 0.173 |
| Markets | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4910 |
| Best day | $0 | $0 |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.53 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $10 | $1.79k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | $10 | $7 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.14 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | $19 | $12.3M |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-6.27M |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $1 | $8 | $4.15k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.144 | -0.039 | 0.166 |
| Calmar | 16.496 | 16.496 | 16.496 | 16.496 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 | 21.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | 92% | 31% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 68% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | 100% | 78% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | 2 | 178 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 20 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 1 | 4 | 51964 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4910 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | 100% | 17% | 70% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | 0.012 | 0.016 | 0.848 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | 1.000 | 0.994 | 0.011 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | 0% | 100% | 79% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 105.1 | 51.0 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 105.1 | 2.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | 1 | 2 | 2243 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.55 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 69% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 33% | 45% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0000 | 0.0646 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | 0.0030 | 0.0302 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.975 | 0.519 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | $-0 | $-2.46k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | 0.0% | 29.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0641 | 0.0641 | 0.0641 | 0.0641 |
| Alpha ($) | $-154 | $-154 | $-154 | $-154 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -41.5% | -41.5% | -41.5% | -41.5% |
| Contrarian score | -0.029 | -0.029 | -0.029 | -0.029 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0118 | 0.0118 | 0.0118 | 0.0118 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 97.6%
- News Sniper: 64.5%
- Scalper: 53.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 42.4%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 28.1%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 8.78e-48; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0xcdb1f04009… entry 0.019 timing 0.90
- 0x2e9325844c… entry 0.091
- 0x8d4c6f42e8… entry 0.005
- 0x9e342ce3ea… entry 0.062
- 0xfe3a3a895a… entry 0.059
- 0x07f66a1f4a… entry 0.062
- 0x35ce4c1d9b… entry 0.059
- 0xfd820623ac… entry 0.038
- 0x5265e62016… entry 0.210
- 0xe62a729327… entry 0.290
- 0x124a517b8a… entry 0.012
- 0xe818a18ddc… entry 0.290 timing 0.88
- 0x3577cc620d… entry 0.149
- 0x3ecf6a3a2e… entry 0.230
- 0xe9ceb28f86… entry 0.210
- 0x16e7f4d65f… entry 0.100
- 0x2dcfcb6d3a… entry 0.110
- 0xa6ba15e8fd… entry 0.240
- 0x01d78034f2… entry 0.024
- 0xb8b052ae8a… entry 0.199