0x98ad…5bd0

0x98ad6e5ebaf33d5627294f521fe33d42fa005bd0

ScalperGrade DStatistically unusual win patternarchetypes-v1

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 808 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 12%.

Capital velocity 1.4 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Updated 2026-07-19 12:25:26 UTC

Lifetime PnL

$24.6k

Open PnL

$-12k

Max drawdown

$539

Underwater days

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL (leaderboard)	N/A	$23.4k	N/A	N/A
Realized PnL	$1.15k	$36.6k	$36.6k	$36.6k
Win rate	57%	75%	75%	75%
ROI	42%	118%	118%	118%
Sharpe (daily)	N/A	1.190	1.190	1.190
Markets	13	166	166	166
Best day	$-539	$6.41k

Performance

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Profit factor	2.06	7.79	7.79	7.79
Mean trade PnL	$82	$321	$321	$321
Median trade PnL	$49	$264	$264	$264
Payoff ratio	1.54	2.54	2.54	2.54
Largest win	$925	$2.96k	$2.96k	$2.96k
Largest loss	$-327	$-400	$-400	$-400
Expectancy	$82

Risk

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
PnL volatility	N/A	$2.81k	$2.81k	$2.81k
Sortino (daily)	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Calmar	43.413	43.413	43.413	43.413
Drawdown duration (days)	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5

Consistency

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Concentration top-1	28%	6%	6%	6%
Concentration top-5	84%	19%	19%	19%
Concentration top-10	100%	29%	29%	29%
Max win streak	2	17	17	17
Max loss streak	1	2	2	2

Odds bucket	24h win rate	7d win rate	30d win rate	All-time win rate	Notional (all)

Activity

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Trade count	99	808	808	808
Unique markets	13	166	166	166
Active days ratio	200%	114%	114%	114%
Avg entry price	0.387	0.300	0.300	0.300
Portfolio HHI	0.127	0.012	0.012	0.012
Maker share (notional)	8%	12%	12%	12%
Two-sided share	N/A

Behavior

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Holding time avg (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Holding time median (h)	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Max concurrent	11	138	138	138
Disposition ratio	0.84	0.73	0.73	0.73
Add-to-winner share	71%	59%	59%	59%
Average-down share	29%	38%	38%	38%
Tilt ratio	2.73

Markets / calibration

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
Held to resolution	84%	84%	84%	84%
Brier (weighted)	0.2389	0.2868	0.2868	0.2868
Brier (unweighted)	0.2321	0.3322	0.3322	0.3322
Entry timing mean	0.999	0.999	0.999	0.999
Exit quality ($)	$-0	$-0	$-0	$-0
Exit quality ROI gap	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%	-0.0%

Style

Metric	24h	7d	30d	All-time
CLV mean	-0.0777	-0.0777	-0.0777	-0.0777
Alpha ($)	$76	$76	$76	$76
Alpha ROI gap	68.1%	68.1%	68.1%	68.1%
Contrarian score	0.009	0.009	0.009	0.009
Post-fill drift	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Post-fill candles (mean)	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Post-fill observations	N/A

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.6%
News Sniper: 60.5%
Tilted Gambler: 45.7%
Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.6%
Conviction Holder: 34.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 2.58e-22; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x7dfb97ebf6… entry 0.296 timing 1.00
0xf872609056… entry 0.213 timing 1.00
0xa012ca9a1c… entry 0.281 timing 1.00
0x802081afa9… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xfb012a2859… entry 0.140 timing 1.00
0xc1550b7b17… entry 0.214 timing 1.00
0x2b42478cc8… entry 0.224 timing 1.00
0x3d00af4fbf… entry 0.281 timing 1.00
0x6bb4467922… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xd12be6aad1… entry 0.202 timing 1.00
0x54d28cd2d6… entry 0.172 timing 1.00
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.201 timing 1.00
0x481b9d32c1… entry 0.187 timing 1.00
0x76d4d6f9ca… entry 0.114 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.258 timing 1.00
0xcdb7bcb59c… entry 0.167 timing 1.00
0xf77a105872… entry 0.288 timing 1.00
0x86eae0c9bb… entry 0.112 timing 1.00
0x93fdab6b60… entry 0.170 timing 1.00

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0x98ad…5bd0

0x98ad6e5ebaf33d5627294f521fe33d42fa005bd0

Secondary: News Sniper

This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.

Trade count is 808 with median hold 0.0 hours, maker share only 12%.

Capital velocity 1.4 and held-to-resolution 84% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.

A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.

Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL (leaderboard)

N/A

$23.4k

N/A

Realized PnL

$1.15k

$36.6k

Win rate

57%

75%

ROI

42%

118%

Sharpe (daily)

N/A

1.190

Markets

166

Best day

$-539

$6.41k

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Profit factor

2.06

7.79

Mean trade PnL

$82

$321

Median trade PnL

$49

$264

Payoff ratio

1.54

2.54

Largest win

$925

$2.96k

Largest loss

$-327

$-400

Expectancy

$82

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

PnL volatility

N/A

$2.81k

Sortino (daily)

N/A

Calmar

43.413

Drawdown duration (days)

0.5

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Concentration top-1

28%

Concentration top-5

84%

19%

Concentration top-10

100%

29%

Max win streak

Max loss streak

Odds bucket

24h win rate

7d win rate

30d win rate

All-time win rate

Notional (all)

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Trade count

808

Unique markets

166

Active days ratio

200%

114%

Avg entry price

0.387

0.300

Portfolio HHI

0.127

0.012

Maker share (notional)

12%

Two-sided share

N/A

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Holding time avg (h)

0.0

Holding time median (h)

0.0

Max concurrent

138

Disposition ratio

0.84

0.73

Add-to-winner share

71%

59%

Average-down share

29%

38%

Tilt ratio

2.73

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

Held to resolution

84%

Brier (weighted)

0.2389

0.2868

Brier (unweighted)

0.2321

0.3322

Entry timing mean

0.999

Exit quality ($)

$-0

Exit quality ROI gap

-0.0%

Metric

24h

30d

All-time

CLV mean

-0.0777

Alpha ($)

$76

Alpha ROI gap

68.1%

Contrarian score

0.009

Post-fill drift

N/A

Post-fill candles (mean)

N/A

Post-fill observations

N/A

Archetype scores

Scalper: 67.6%

News Sniper: 60.5%

Tilted Gambler: 45.7%

Early-Bird Forecaster: 34.6%

Conviction Holder: 34.6%

Statistically unusual win pattern

Joint probability 2.58e-22; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.

0x7dfb97ebf6… entry 0.296 timing 1.00
0xf872609056… entry 0.213 timing 1.00
0xa012ca9a1c… entry 0.281 timing 1.00
0x802081afa9… entry 0.211 timing 1.00
0xfb012a2859… entry 0.140 timing 1.00
0xc1550b7b17… entry 0.214 timing 1.00
0x2b42478cc8… entry 0.224 timing 1.00
0x3d00af4fbf… entry 0.281 timing 1.00
0x6bb4467922… entry 0.260 timing 1.00
0xd12be6aad1… entry 0.202 timing 1.00
0x54d28cd2d6… entry 0.172 timing 1.00
0x4e3f68e094… entry 0.201 timing 1.00
0x481b9d32c1… entry 0.187 timing 1.00
0x76d4d6f9ca… entry 0.114 timing 1.00
0xd4234bfe82… entry 0.258 timing 1.00
0xcdb7bcb59c… entry 0.167 timing 1.00
0xf77a105872… entry 0.288 timing 1.00
0x86eae0c9bb… entry 0.112 timing 1.00
0x93fdab6b60… entry 0.170 timing 1.00

Market (condition)	PnL	Cost	ROI
0xe52dc95b…	$2.96k	$239	1236.1%
0x39536432…	$1.74k	$800	217.4%
0x481b9d32…	$1.73k	$400	433.5%
0x76d4d6f9…	$1.24k	$160	775.4%
0x54d28cd2…	$1.2k	$250	481.5%
0x4e3f68e0…	$993	$250	397.1%
0xd12be6aa…	$990	$250	396.0%
0x561772b9…	$978	$544	179.8%
0xa808dffe…	$949	$551	172.2%
0xf8726090…	$925	$250	370.1%
0xc1550b7b…	$918	$250	367.0%
0x2b42478c…	$864	$250	345.7%
0x93fdab6b…	$832	$170	490.0%
0x86eae0c9…	$791	$100	791.0%
0xcdb7bcb5…	$748	$150	498.7%

0x98ad…5bd0

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

Share

0x98ad…5bd0

Equity curve

Board ranks

Window metrics

Performance

Risk

Consistency

Activity

Behavior

Markets / calibration

Style

Archetype scores

Statistically unusual win pattern

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