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0x986b121c40e715167dde178b8520bf132a57bdc6
Favorite GrinderGrade Barchetypes-v1
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
99% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (95%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.03).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 15:52:26 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-347k
Open PnL
$51
Max drawdown
$359k
Underwater days
217
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.12k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $1.12k | $-40.7k | $-41.9k | $-119k |
| Win rate | 100% | 78% | 96% | 95% |
| ROI | 1% | -3% | -1% | -1% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | -0.339 | -0.130 | -0.160 |
| Markets | 13 | 297 | 2245 | 6818 |
| Best day | $995 | $8.88k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| Mean trade PnL | $93 | $-111 | $-18 | $-12 |
| Median trade PnL | $77 | $10 | $1 | $2 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Largest win | $301 | $1.14k | $2.59k | $3.64k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-32.7k | $-32.7k | $-32.7k |
| Expectancy | $93 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $17.3k | $10.8k | $8.75k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | -0.187 | -0.066 | -0.090 |
| Calmar | -0.966 | -0.966 | -0.966 | -0.966 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 216.5 | 216.5 | 216.5 | 216.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 27% | 41% | 15% | 6% |
| Concentration top-5 | 68% | 69% | 41% | 22% |
| Concentration top-10 | 97% | 74% | 53% | 33% |
| Max win streak | 12 | 62 | 672 | 672 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 177 | 5259 | 14653 | 66260 |
| Unique markets | 13 | 297 | 2245 | 6818 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 114% | 103% | 98% |
| Avg entry price | 0.991 | 0.979 | 0.966 | 0.979 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.130 | 0.015 | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Maker share (notional) | 54% | 48% | 38% | 49% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2.9 | 6.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 4.0 |
| Max concurrent | 13 | 230 | 1871 | 5248 |
| Disposition ratio | 11.78 | 1.29 | 29.07 | 475.76 |
| Add-to-winner share | 88% | 75% | 74% | 89% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 24% | 20% | 8% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 78% | 83% | 76% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0003 | 0.0205 | 0.0161 | 0.0166 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0003 | 0.0816 | 0.0165 | 0.0268 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.996 | 0.957 | 0.894 | 0.872 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-4 | $-0 | $10 | $3 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.3386 | 0.3386 | 0.3386 | 0.3386 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.23k | $-1.23k | $-1.23k | $-1.23k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -89.1% | -89.1% | -89.1% | -89.1% |
| Contrarian score | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 | 0.091 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0002 | -0.0002 | -0.0002 | -0.0002 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 100.0%
- Tilted Gambler: 61.9%
- Scalper: 56.5%
- News Sniper: 51.2%
- Conviction Holder: 36.8%