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0x9709…52ab
0x970998da056e60c707d9b1fc55cfdf3d68c252ab
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
51% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (76%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.76).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade A scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:26:21 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$130k
Open PnL
$640
Max drawdown
$5.21k
Underwater days
5
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $104k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $14.1k | $107k | $129k |
| Win rate | N/A | 92% | 85% | 76% |
| ROI | N/A | 2% | 6% | 6% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.198 | 0.299 | 0.271 |
| Markets | 21 | 291 | 693 | 1033 |
| Best day | N/A | $9.14k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 1.64 | 3.11 | 2.45 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $82 | $181 | $118 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $2 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.14 | 0.55 | 0.76 |
| Largest win | N/A | $11.9k | $13.3k | $13.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-10.8k | $-10.8k | $-10.8k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $13.3k | $10.4k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.213 | 2.683 | 1.357 |
| Calmar | 24.813 | 24.813 | 24.813 | 24.813 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 39% | 11% | 7% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 85% | 34% | 23% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 93% | 56% | 38% |
| Max win streak | 11 | 38 | 43 | 43 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 108 | 878 | 3854 | 6359 |
| Unique markets | 21 | 291 | 693 | 1033 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 102% |
| Avg entry price | 0.900 | 0.675 | 0.695 | 0.649 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.205 | 0.030 | 0.009 | 0.007 |
| Maker share (notional) | 94% | 40% | 61% | 60% |
| Two-sided share | 5% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.2 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 8.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Max concurrent | 11 | 221 | 451 | 602 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | 76% | 61% | 63% |
| Average-down share | N/A | 16% | 29% | 29% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.12 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 13% | 67% | 59% | 53% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0018 | 0.0520 | 0.0476 | 0.0596 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0593 | 0.0765 | 0.0856 | 0.1073 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.353 | 0.629 | 0.539 | 0.571 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $158 | $53 | $29 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | 15.5% | 38.2% | 82.5% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1091 | 0.1091 | 0.1091 | 0.1091 |
| Alpha ($) | $-1.84k | $-1.84k | $-1.84k | $-1.84k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -129.6% | -129.6% | -129.6% | -129.6% |
| Contrarian score | -0.006 | -0.006 | -0.006 | -0.006 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0287 | -0.0287 | -0.0287 | -0.0287 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 59.3%
- Scalper: 57.5%
- News Sniper: 40.4%
- Tilted Gambler: 33.2%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 28.2%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 2.78e-6; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
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