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0x9592…a7b8
0x9592adb70397e9de67ba9abe6971e3f50fb7a7b8
Favorite GrinderGrade Carchetypes-v1
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
35% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (91%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.48).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:25:30 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$115k
Open PnL
$-32.5k
Max drawdown
$61.8k
Underwater days
64
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $61.4k | $63.2k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $-17.7k | $4.97k | $169k |
| Win rate | N/A | 86% | 95% | 91% |
| ROI | N/A | -76% | 3% | 16% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.449 | 0.164 | 0.101 |
| Markets | 23 | 71 | 253 | 679 |
| Best day | N/A | $19.5k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | 0.05 | 1.18 | 4.84 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $-2.53k | $31 | $318 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $92 | $9 | $11 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.48 |
| Largest win | N/A | $334 | $12.8k | $33.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | $-18.6k | $-18.6k | $-18.6k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $12.5k | $9.01k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.473 | 0.231 | 0.150 |
| Calmar | 1.854 | 1.854 | 1.854 | 1.854 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 24.0 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 24.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 95% | 30% | 13% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 79% | 39% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 90% | 57% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 33 | 54 | 54 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 87 | 549 | 2323 | 6664 |
| Unique markets | 23 | 71 | 253 | 679 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 114% | 103% | 90% |
| Avg entry price | 0.090 | 0.329 | 0.237 | 0.309 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.142 | 0.117 | 0.052 | 0.025 |
| Maker share (notional) | 18% | 49% | 31% | 33% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 5.2 | 37.4 | 96.1 | 90.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 4.8 | 10.3 | 55.4 | 26.1 |
| Max concurrent | 16 | 67 | 226 | 622 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.33 | 0.91 | 2.01 | 0.70 |
| Add-to-winner share | 91% | 78% | 74% | 73% |
| Average-down share | 9% | 22% | 25% | 26% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 98% | 90% | 90% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.3993 | 0.1185 | 0.0830 | 0.0596 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.3993 | 0.0623 | 0.0767 | 0.0711 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.568 | 0.597 | 0.566 | 0.658 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-5 | $113 | $-69 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -1.8% | 11.4% | 3.7% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0380 | 0.0380 | 0.0380 | 0.0380 |
| Alpha ($) | $-2.23k | $-2.23k | $-2.23k | $-2.23k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -36.8% | -36.8% | -36.8% | -36.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.506 | 0.506 | 0.506 | 0.506 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0503 | 0.0503 | 0.0503 | 0.0503 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 59.2%
- Scalper: 57.8%
- Conviction Holder: 38.9%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 38.1%
- Tilted Gambler: 35.9%