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0x950ea3d54a52dca7ec54e7a0338812450268f8e5
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.33 of market life) and 82% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (250.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:19:23 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $47.8k | $60.1k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $0 | $0 | $18.2k |
| Win rate | N/A | N/A | N/A | 86% |
| ROI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 28% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.445 | -0.027 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Best day | N/A | $16k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.22 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $2.61k |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | N/A | N/A | $559 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.87 |
| Largest win | N/A | N/A | N/A | $12.3k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-4.32k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | N/A | $5.33k | $9.08k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 0.906 | -0.022 |
| Calmar | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.305 | -0.305 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 102.5 | 102.5 | 102.5 | 102.5 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 46% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% |
| Max win streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 24% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.030 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.281 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 71.8 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 26.3 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | N/A | 13 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.00 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | N/A | 50% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | N/A | 82% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.0931 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.3162 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.333 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | N/A | N/A | $-195 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | N/A | N/A | -6.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.1831 | 0.1831 | 0.1831 | 0.1831 |
| Alpha ($) | $327 | $327 | $327 | $327 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Contrarian score | 0.356 | 0.356 | 0.356 | 0.356 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0208 | -0.0208 | -0.0208 | -0.0208 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Post-fill observations | 250 |
| $16k |
| $29.2k |
| Worst day | N/A | $0 | $-4.03k | $-56k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| N/A |
| N/A |
| $2.61k |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 4% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 67% | 29% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 100% | 67% |
| >0.90 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | N/A | 250.00 |
| Capital velocity | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.45 |
| Avg ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $1.16k |
| Median ticket | N/A | N/A | N/A | $4 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | -1.14 |
| Quiet weeks | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 0.27 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Big Tech | $12.3k | 100% | 1 |
| Trump | $5.88k | 100% | 1 |
| Parent For Derivative | $124 | 100% | 2 |
| Geopolitics | $-76 | 67% | 3 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x93f2e17c… | $12.3k | $14.2k | 86.6% |
| 0xe4b9a52d… | $5.88k | $43.9k | 13.4% |
| 0x80059ff4… | $-634 | $6.82k | -9.3% |
| 0xa9937410… | $559 | $400 | 139.7% |
| 0x6a4d97b6… | $100 | $50 | 199.7% |
| 0x3fc804e4… | $24 | $10 | 244.8% |
| 250 |
| 250 |
| 250 |