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0x9412…0cd0 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x9412…0cd0
0x9412cdfc1e3171e1aabb013d0f494986445d0cd0
This wallet is categorized as a Market Maker because it mostly provides liquidity rather than taking directional bets.
Maker share of notional is 81% and two-sided activity is 99%, which is structurally different from taker-heavy styles.
Inventory turns over quickly (turnover 9607.0), consistent with quoting both sides and recycling risk.
Little of its inventory is held to resolution (33%), so PnL comes from the spread and flow rather than forecast outcomes.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:43:08 UTC
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $22k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $648 | $24.7k | $25.6k | $25.6k |
| Win rate | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| ROI | 1% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.626 | 0.696 | 0.484 |
| Markets | 142 | 161 | 161 | 161 |
| Best day | $769 | $13.9k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.03 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.05 |
| Mean trade PnL | $2 | $7 | $5 | $5 |
| Median trade PnL | $0 | $1 | $1 | $1 |
| Payoff ratio | 1.03 | 1.09 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Largest win | $1.44k | $6.14k | $6.14k | $6.14k |
| Largest loss | $-1.22k | $-3.69k | $-3.69k | $-3.69k |
| Expectancy | $2 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $5.08k | $3.53k | $2.89k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 2.340 | 1.974 | 0.884 |
| Calmar | 24.110 | 24.110 | 24.110 | 24.110 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 | 18.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 22% | 6% | 3% | 3% |
| Concentration top-10 | 35% | 11% | 6% | 6% |
| Max win streak | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 8670 | 9607 | 9607 | 9607 |
| Unique markets | 142 | 161 | 161 | 161 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | 0.516 | 0.517 | 0.517 | 0.517 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.015 | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | 81% | 81% | 81% | 81% |
| Two-sided share | 100% |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | 77 | 89 | 89 | 89 |
| Disposition ratio | 2.79 | 2.96 | 2.96 | 2.96 |
| Add-to-winner share | 54% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Average-down share | 33% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.91 |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | 32% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1477 | 0.1453 | 0.1485 | 0.1485 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1268 | 0.1190 | 0.1204 | 0.1204 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.993 | 0.993 | 0.993 | 0.993 |
| Exit quality ($) | $0 | $-0 | $-0 | $-0 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% | -0.0% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0024 | 0.0024 | 0.0024 | 0.0024 |
| Alpha ($) | $-25 | $-25 | $-25 | $-25 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -30.4% | -30.4% | -30.4% | -30.4% |
| Contrarian score | -0.059 | -0.059 | -0.059 | -0.059 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.1056 | 0.1056 | 0.1056 | 0.1056 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| Worst day | $769 | $-1.36k | $-2.24k | $-3.47k |
| Spread capture | -0.0678 | -0.0677 | -0.0677 | -0.0677 |
| Inventory turnover | 8670.00 | 9607.00 | 9607.00 | 9607.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.99 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $25.2k | 50% | 5110 |
| Crypto | $399 | 50% | 498 |
| uncategorized | $-10 | 50% | 42 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0xaf228685… | $6.14k | $62 | 9900.0% |
| 0x6b34bf9d… | $3.99k | $879 | 453.2% |
| 0xf9434556… | $2.03k | $1.39k | 146.2% |
| 0x4e5193eb… | $950 | $489 | 194.2% |
| 0xe11bf9d2… | $902 | $503 | 179.3% |
| 0x583d6541… | $-821 | $5.65k | -14.5% |
| 0xabb04dd1… | $-816 | $4.49k | -18.2% |
| 0xf27ffbfb… | $-764 | $2.18k | -35.1% |
| 0x823060f0… | $-750 | $2.97k | -25.2% |
| 0xa603f730… | $-749 | $3.54k | -21.2% |
| 0x580fd493… | $-746 | $3.69k | -20.2% |
| 0x508bc760… | $-741 | $2.73k | -27.1% |
| 0xa1de36d9… | $-734 | $2.91k | -25.2% |
| 0x173713fb… | $728 | $2.25k | 32.3% |
| 0xcfd23465… | $-716 | $3.27k | -21.9% |