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0x93fb…3e4a
0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a
This wallet is categorized as a Scalper because it trades frequently, exits quickly, and rarely holds to resolution.
Trade count is 9914 with median hold 37.4 hours, maker share only 55%.
Capital velocity 1.2 and held-to-resolution 60% point to selling out rather than waiting for settlement.
Separately, skill grade D scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
A statistically unusual win pattern flag is present (cheap held-to-resolution wins with a very low joint entry probability); it does not change the behavioral archetype.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:23:53 UTC
Lifetime PnL
$-291k
Open PnL
$-586k
Max drawdown
$684k
Underwater days
367
Equity curve
Board ranks
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $35.9k | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $0 | $35.4k | $138k | $280k |
| Win rate | N/A | 100% | 95% | 46% |
| ROI | N/A | 263% | 30% | 10% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.282 | -0.090 | -0.024 |
| Markets | 2 | 20 | 88 | 273 |
| Best day | $2.04k | $52.3k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | N/A | ∞ | 170.37 | 1.32 |
| Mean trade PnL | N/A | $8.85k | $3.63k | $995 |
| Median trade PnL | N/A | $6.36k | $1.63k | $-11 |
| Payoff ratio | N/A | N/A | 9.47 | 1.58 |
| Largest win | N/A | $21.9k | $21.9k | $202k |
| Largest loss | N/A | N/A | $-807 | $-99.3k |
| Expectancy | N/A |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $21.7k | $22.3k | $20.7k |
| Sortino (daily) | -0.041 | 0.532 | -0.085 | -0.033 |
| Calmar | -0.426 | -0.426 | -0.426 | -0.426 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 366.5 | 366.5 | 366.5 | 366.5 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | N/A | 62% | 16% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | N/A | 100% | 51% | 25% |
| Concentration top-10 | N/A | 100% | 72% | 38% |
| Max win streak | N/A | 4 | 17 | 17 |
| Max loss streak | N/A | N/A | 1 | 29 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 3 | 213 | 2184 | 9914 |
| Unique markets | 2 | 20 | 88 | 273 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 114% | 103% | 91% |
| Avg entry price | 0.250 | 0.179 | 0.299 | 0.280 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.999 | 0.129 | 0.129 | 0.022 |
| Maker share (notional) | 0% | 37% | 31% | 55% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | 6.9 | 75.5 | 302.6 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | 1.0 | 11.5 | 37.4 |
| Max concurrent | 1 | 13 | 56 | 160 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.11 | 0.55 | 0.06 |
| Add-to-winner share | 100% | 83% | 63% | 68% |
| Average-down share | 0% | 17% | 32% | 31% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | 75% | 64% | 60% |
| Brier (weighted) | N/A | 0.4884 | 0.0680 | 0.1630 |
| Brier (unweighted) | N/A | 0.4411 | 0.2537 | 0.1637 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.198 | 0.518 | 0.880 | 0.590 |
| Exit quality ($) | N/A | $-0 | $-935 | $-1.42k |
| Exit quality ROI gap | N/A | -0.0% | -0.7% | 3.8% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 | 0.0031 |
| Alpha ($) | $-53.8k | $-53.8k | $-53.8k | $-53.8k |
| Alpha ROI gap | -80.8% | -80.8% | -80.8% | -80.8% |
| Contrarian score | 0.126 | 0.126 | 0.126 | 0.126 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0012 | 0.0012 | 0.0012 | 0.0012 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Scalper: 46.3%
- Conviction Holder: 31.1%
- Early-Bird Forecaster: 30.3%
- Tilted Gambler: 30.0%
- News Sniper: 26.7%
Statistically unusual win pattern
Joint probability 1.69e-9; confirmers: size_outlier, unhedged_contrast. Statistical flag only — not an accusation.
- 0x3aaf9f3407… entry 0.239 timing 1.00
- 0x2dc87336b7… entry 0.220 timing 0.90
- 0x467176b307… entry 0.179
- 0xe3e150ecca… entry 0.210
- 0x79bda8a6e6… entry 0.254
- 0x8ee2f16403… entry 0.242
- 0x633719397b… entry 0.250
- 0xc952d0cfab… entry 0.208
- 0xb9ec4394b0… entry 0.085
- 0x3ac961dca3… entry 0.252
- 0x5c7f5407e4… entry 0.050