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0x92ebac769a27f21adeaead74086adaf48d4e9fcd
Secondary: Scalper
This wallet is categorized as an Early-Bird Forecaster because it enters early and often holds positions through resolution.
Mean entry timing is early (0.31 of market life) and 79% of resolved inventory is still held at settle.
Turnover stays low (11467.0), so the book looks like patient forecast positions rather than flow trading.
A close second label is Scalper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:14:51 UTC
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | N/A | $72.1k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $10.2k | $15.9k | $116k | $123k |
| Win rate | 86% | 88% | 83% | 81% |
| ROI | 6% | 6% | 8% | 8% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.605 | 0.872 | 0.751 |
| Markets | 4 | 18 | 244 | 313 |
| Best day | $-0 | $9.13k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 2207.53 | 613.58 | 12.60 | 9.66 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1.46k | $610 | $366 | $317 |
| Median trade PnL | $858 | $88 | $65 | $55 |
| Payoff ratio | 367.92 | 80.03 | 2.51 | 2.31 |
| Largest win | $6.18k | $6.18k | $17.8k | $17.8k |
| Largest loss | $-5 | $-11 | $-1.68k | $-2.19k |
| Expectancy | $1.46k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $3.45k | $4.56k | $4.21k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 8.269 | 6.295 |
| Calmar | 173.107 | 173.107 | 173.107 | 173.107 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 68% | 44% | 13% | 12% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 86% | 32% | 29% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 97% | 44% | 40% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 488 | 991 | 10266 | 11467 |
| Unique markets | 4 | 18 | 244 | 313 |
| Active days ratio | 100% | 57% | 90% | 93% |
| Avg entry price | 0.551 | 0.475 | 0.455 | 0.456 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.638 | 0.299 | 0.016 | 0.014 |
| Maker share (notional) | 70% | 73% | 67% | 65% |
| Two-sided share | 50% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Holding time median (h) | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Max concurrent | 4 | 17 | 212 | 264 |
| Disposition ratio | 0.57 | 1.78 | 1.32 | 1.14 |
| Add-to-winner share | 37% | 48% | 68% | 65% |
| Average-down share | 63% | 52% | 32% | 34% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 88% | 82% | 79% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0526 | 0.0738 | 0.0697 | 0.0731 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1228 | 0.1612 | 0.1302 | 0.1345 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | 0.195 | 0.310 | 0.312 |
| Exit quality ($) | $5.76k | $1.73k | $-21 | $-13 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 32.5% | 35.6% | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1005 | -0.1005 | -0.1005 | -0.1005 |
| Alpha ($) | $-379 | $-379 | $-379 | $-379 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -70.2% | -70.2% | -70.2% | -70.2% |
| Contrarian score | -0.078 | -0.078 | -0.078 | -0.078 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.1103 | -0.1103 | -0.1103 | -0.1103 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $19.9k |
| $19.9k |
| Worst day | $-0 | $-0 | $-676 | $-731 |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $610 |
| $366 |
| $317 |
| <0.10 |
| 0% |
| 67% |
| 84% |
| 83% |
| 2% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 100% | 100% | 68% | 63% | 11% |
| 0.40–0.60 | 100% | 67% | 77% | 77% | 10% |
| 0.60–0.90 | 100% | 100% | 91% | 90% | 22% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 97% | 95% | 55% |
| 39% |
| 39% |
| 35% |
| Spread capture | -0.0390 | -0.0019 | -0.0020 | -0.0051 |
| Inventory turnover | 488.00 | 991.00 | 10266.00 | 11467.00 |
| Capital velocity | 1.62 | 1.72 | 1.91 | 1.93 |
| Avg ticket | $554 | $426 | $282 | $273 |
| Median ticket | $49 | $38 | $25 | $24 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -645.50 | -3.74 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.62 |
| 1.57 |
| 1.48 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Sports | $121k | 80% | 328 |
| Tennis | $2.81k | 85% | 55 |
| Soccer | $-140 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3984132d… | $17.8k | $2.97k | 600.0% |
| 0x7f481c96… | $7.76k | $36.1k | 21.5% |
| 0xaeec5397… | $6.93k | $115k | 6.0% |
| 0x43bde2aa… | $6.09k | $5.43k | 112.2% |
| 0x1525f6e3… | $5.42k | $6.25k | 86.7% |
| 0xc09537a0… | $4.36k | $5.77k | 75.4% |
| 0xecba7b1d… | $3.56k | $45.4k | 7.8% |
| 0x917aa2a9… | $3.18k | $58.2k | 5.5% |
| 0x99f0c39e… | $2.54k | $19.7k | 12.9% |
| 0x971eb98d… | $2.43k | $14.7k | 16.5% |
| 0xb8c4eb2b… | $2.12k | $4.83k | 44.0% |
| 0xa947b7c6… | $2.11k | $17.6k | 12.0% |
| 0x08d56195… | $1.95k | $12.5k | 15.6% |
| 0xae9433e4… | $1.91k | $23k | 8.3% |
| 0x04b6d663… | $1.85k | $4.94k | 37.3% |
| 534 |
| 534 |
| 534 |
| 534 |