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0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
78% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (97%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (0.05).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
Separately, skill grade C scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 12:26:19 UTC
Not currently ranked on a published top-50 board.
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | $1.25k | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $6 | $342 | $-13.8k | $67.3k |
| Win rate | 75% | 97% | 98% | 97% |
| ROI | 0% | 0% | -0% | 0% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 0.260 | -0.079 | 0.065 |
| Markets | 8 | 36 | 196 | 1781 |
| Best day | $1.06k | $1.06k |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit factor | 1.51 | 31.01 | 0.33 | 1.42 |
| Mean trade PnL | $1 | $10 | $-69 | $37 |
| Median trade PnL | $1 | $1 | $1 | $3 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| Largest win | $15 | $128 | $1.58k | $11.6k |
| Largest loss | $-11 | $-11 | $-7.55k | $-36.3k |
| Expectancy | $1 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $436 | $2.49k | $5.76k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | 0.523 | -0.040 | 0.036 |
| Calmar | 0.761 | 0.761 | 0.761 | 0.761 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 108.0 | 108.0 | 108.0 | 108.0 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 53% | 35% | 48% | 10% |
| Concentration top-5 | 100% | 75% | 86% | 29% |
| Concentration top-10 | 100% | 92% | 92% | 42% |
| Max win streak | 3 | 31 | 137 | 178 |
| Max loss streak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade count | 61 | 209 | 825 | 9290 |
| Unique markets | 8 | 36 | 196 | 1781 |
| Active days ratio | 200% | 86% | 93% | 82% |
| Avg entry price | 0.992 | 0.989 | 0.994 | 0.965 |
| Portfolio HHI | 0.413 | 0.190 | 0.058 | 0.006 |
| Maker share (notional) | 60% | 27% | 25% | 24% |
| Two-sided share | 0% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | 1.5 | 17.2 | 15.5 | 25.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | 1.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Max concurrent | 6 | 34 | 184 | 1586 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.48 |
| Add-to-winner share | 86% | 56% | 77% | 73% |
| Average-down share | 14% | 40% | 17% | 23% |
| Tilt ratio | 0.75 |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Held to resolution | 100% | 97% | 94% | 88% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0091 | 0.0160 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.0000 | 0.0004 | 0.0071 | 0.0147 |
| Entry timing mean | 0.781 | 0.731 | 0.624 | 0.493 |
| Exit quality ($) | $-0 | $-0 | $18 | $38 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | -0.0% | -0.0% | 0.3% | 2.7% |
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLV mean | 0.0120 | 0.0120 | 0.0120 | 0.0120 |
| Alpha ($) | $304 | $304 | $304 | $304 |
| Alpha ROI gap | -38.8% | -38.8% | -38.8% | -38.8% |
| Contrarian score | -0.157 | -0.157 | -0.157 | -0.157 |
| Post-fill drift | 0.0073 | 0.0073 | 0.0073 | 0.0073 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Post-fill observations |
| $2.9k |
| $23.6k |
| Worst day | $1.06k | $-250 | $-12.7k | $-55.5k |
Completeness: partial. Null metrics render as N/A, never zero. Full methodology
| $10 |
| $-69 |
| $37 |
| <0.10 |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| N/A |
| 43% |
| 0% |
| 0.10–0.40 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 56% | 0% |
| 0.40–0.60 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 69% | 17% |
| 0.60–0.90 | N/A | N/A | 33% | 73% | 5% |
| >0.90 | 100% | 100% | 99% | 99% | 78% |
| 0% |
| 1% |
| N/A |
| Spread capture | 0.0012 | 0.0002 | -0.0154 | N/A |
| Inventory turnover | 61.00 | 209.00 | 825.00 | 9290.00 |
| Capital velocity | 2.64 | 0.13 | 0.53 | 0.89 |
| Avg ticket | $379 | $943 | $2.19k | $1.32k |
| Median ticket | $196 | $180 | $220 | $155 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -1.10 | -17.47 |
| Quiet weeks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0.30 |
| 0.74 |
| 1.29 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Iran | $50k | 96% | 103 |
| Parent For Derivative | $-35k | 90% | 21 |
| Trump | $28k | 97% | 310 |
| Politics | $-18.8k | 94% | 336 |
| Soccer | $-13.1k | 50% | 4 |
| iraq | $11.6k | 100% | 1 |
| NFL Playoffs | $10.9k | 97% | 38 |
| Sports | $-9.36k | 97% | 35 |
| Iran Ceasefire | $8.28k | 100% | 1 |
| Reza Pahlavi | $8.01k | 100% | 1 |
| Culture | $4.01k | 98% | 103 |
| Iran Offensive Strikes | $2.84k | 100% | 8 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3488f31e… | $-33.4k | $162k | -20.7% |
| 0x4b7cd105… | $-29.9k | $31.8k | -94.1% |
| 0x70909f0b… | $-14k | $21.4k | -65.5% |
| 0x86f5b0f1… | $-13.1k | $190k | -6.9% |
| 0x86ede428… | $11.6k | $39.6k | 29.3% |
| 0x306d10d4… | $10.8k | $30.4k | 35.5% |
| 0xdb80cb22… | $-9.9k | $21.4k | -46.2% |
| 0x8183a221… | $9.89k | $8.85k | 111.8% |
| 0x6114a8a3… | $9.66k | $46.1k | 21.0% |
| 0x6aa39e48… | $-9k | $39.2k | -23.0% |
| 0x891d4a75… | $8.89k | $52.4k | 17.0% |
| 0xa70fc369… | $8.28k | $116k | 7.1% |
| 0x6d0e09d0… | $8.14k | $53.6k | 15.2% |
| 0x61ce3773… | $8.01k | $32.9k | 24.3% |
| 0x03bc660a… | $-7.64k | $57.9k | -13.2% |
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| 286 |
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