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0x91aa…19b8 · Polymarket trader | Prediction Market News0X
0x91aa…19b8
0x91aab8d0ae5c7dde7d9ea7ca49aeb985e09819b8
Secondary: News Sniper
This wallet is categorized as a Favorite Grinder because most of its notional sits in high-priced (favorite) outcomes.
82% of closed cost sits above 90¢, so structural win rate is high (58%) while payoff ratio stays compressed (1.00).
That mix is the classic grind: many small favorite wins, occasional cliff losses when a favorite fails.
A close second label is News Sniper, so the book also shows some of that style.
Separately, skill grade B scores forecast quality (Brier/CLV/risk-adjusted return) and is not part of the behavioral label.
Updated 2026-07-19 13:23:45 UTC
Window metrics
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL (leaderboard) | N/A | $20.9k | $49.4k | N/A |
| Realized PnL | $2.05k | $26.1k | $79.3k | $138k |
| Win rate | 56% | 55% | 56% | 58% |
| ROI | 5% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Sharpe (daily) | N/A | 1.004 | 1.217 | 0.939 |
| Markets | 0 | 0 | 869 | 869 |
| Best day | $332 | $8.22k |
Performance
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Profit factor | 1.26 | 1.53 | 1.48 | 1.36 |
| Mean trade PnL | $18 | $30 | $23 | $20 |
| Median trade PnL | $13 | $6 | $4 | $5 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.99 | 1.23 | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Largest win | $1.64k | $1.69k | $3.32k | $3.32k |
| Largest loss | $-944 | $-1.37k | $-1.37k | $-2.42k |
| Expectancy | $18 |
Risk
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| PnL volatility | N/A | $2.97k | $1.74k | $1.66k |
| Sortino (daily) | N/A | N/A | 4.802 | 3.943 |
| Calmar | 128.268 | 128.268 | 128.268 | 128.268 |
| Drawdown duration (days) | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
Consistency
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Concentration top-1 | 13% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Concentration top-5 | 36% | 9% | 3% | 2% |
| Concentration top-10 | 53% | 14% | 5% | 4% |
| Max win streak | 6 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
| Max loss streak | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Odds bucket | 24h win rate | 7d win rate | 30d win rate | All-time win rate | Notional (all) |
|---|
|
Activity
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Trade count | 0 | 0 | 13969 | 13969 |
| Unique markets | 0 | 0 | 869 | 869 |
| Active days ratio | N/A | N/A | 100% | 100% |
| Avg entry price | N/A | N/A | 0.731 | 0.731 |
| Portfolio HHI | N/A | N/A | 0.010 | 0.010 |
| Maker share (notional) | N/A | N/A | 67% | 67% |
| Two-sided share | N/A |
Behavior
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Holding time avg (h) | N/A | N/A | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Holding time median (h) | N/A | N/A | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Max concurrent | N/A | N/A | 675 | 675 |
| Disposition ratio | N/A | N/A | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Add-to-winner share | N/A | N/A | 55% | 55% |
| Average-down share | N/A | N/A | 40% | 40% |
| Tilt ratio | N/A |
Markets / calibration
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| Held to resolution | N/A | N/A | 66% | 66% |
| Brier (weighted) | 0.1095 | 0.0684 | 0.0335 | 0.0293 |
| Brier (unweighted) | 0.1504 | 0.1241 | 0.1154 | 0.1049 |
| Entry timing mean | N/A | N/A | 0.997 | 0.997 |
| Exit quality ($) | $4 | $-1 | $-1 | $-1 |
| Exit quality ROI gap | 7.8% | 24.8% | 51.6% | 89.6% |
Style
| Metric | 24h | 7d | 30d | All-time |
|---|
| CLV mean | -0.1231 | -0.1231 | -0.1231 | -0.1231 |
| Alpha ($) | $-66 | $-66 | $-66 | $-66 |
| Alpha ROI gap | 185.9% | 185.9% | 185.9% | 185.9% |
| Contrarian score | -0.036 | -0.036 | -0.036 | -0.036 |
| Post-fill drift | -0.0222 | -0.0222 | -0.0222 | -0.0222 |
| Post-fill candles (mean) | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Post-fill observations |
Archetype scores
- Favorite Grinder: 60.6%
- News Sniper: 55.0%
- Scalper: 51.0%
- Contrarian Fader: 32.5%
- Tilted Gambler: 31.9%
| Worst day | $332 | $-240 | $-371 | $-853 |
| Spread capture | N/A | N/A | -0.0320 | -0.0320 |
| Inventory turnover | N/A | N/A | 13969.00 | 13969.00 |
| Capital velocity | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.20 |
| Activity slope (fills/week) | N/A | N/A | -2193.00 | -2193.00 |
| Category | PnL (all) | Win rate | n |
|---|
| Up or Down | $130k | 57% | 6550 |
| uncategorized | $5.14k | 60% | 146 |
| Economy | $861 | 100% | 2 |
| Sports | $522 | 75% | 32 |
| Geopolitics | $447 | 67% | 3 |
| Crypto | $433 | 78% | 114 |
| Iran | $192 | 83% | 6 |
| Big Tech | $169 | 100% | 1 |
| 2026 FIFA World Cup | $159 | 100% | 2 |
| Bitcoin | $153 | 97% | 58 |
| Trump | $91 | 60% | 10 |
| Lid | $-86 | 0% | 1 |
| Market (condition) | PnL | Cost | ROI |
|---|
| 0x56c5b1fa… | $3.19k | $1.58k | 201.3% |
| 0xaa0b8223… | $-1.95k | $3.94k | -49.5% |
| 0x812a40b7… | $-1.5k | $1.5k | -100.0% |
| 0x19d5c993… | $1.49k | $1.01k | 147.5% |
| 0x0359484b… | $-1.44k | $1.44k | -100.0% |
| 0x76d4d6f9… | $1.37k | $370 | 369.8% |
| 0x306bec2f… | $1.33k | $417 | 319.4% |
| 0x24c02b04… | $-1.26k | $1.26k | -100.0% |
| 0x6a425b70… | $1.21k | $1.77k | 68.6% |
| 0x08632cda… | $-1.06k | $1.06k | -100.0% |
| 0x1fe3b074… | $1.02k | $506 | 202.0% |
| 0x71b74fc5… | $-968 | $2.87k | -33.7% |
| 0xe6461b7b… | $913 | $1.18k | 77.3% |
| 0x06388eeb… | $-903 | $4.4k | -20.5% |
| 0x6eb00fc0… | $-890 | $1.81k | -49.2% |